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This work introduces a method to select linear functional measurements of a vector-valued time series optimized for forecasting distant time-horizons. By formulating and solving the problem of sequential linear measurement design as an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Helmuth Naumer , Farzad Kamalabadi

Estimating conditional dependence graphs and precision matrices are some of the most common problems in modern statistics and machine learning. When data are fully observed, penalized maximum likelihood-type estimators have become standard…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-09 Roger Fan , Byoungwook Jang , Yuekai Sun , Shuheng Zhou

The non-linear autoregressive (NLAR) model plays an important role in modeling and predicting time series. One-step ahead prediction is straightforward using the NLAR model, but the multi-step ahead prediction is cumbersome. For instance,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-08 Kejin Wu , Dimitris N. Politis

A linear functional of an object from a convex symmetric set can be optimally estimated, in a worst-case sense, by a linear functional of observations made on the object. This well-known fact is extended here to a nonlinear setting: other…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-25 Simon Foucart

In this paper we investigate the problem of designing experiments for series estimators in nonparametric regression models with correlated observations. We use projection based estimators to derive an explicit solution of the best linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-14 Holger Dette , Maria Konstantinou , Kirsten Schorning

Artificial Neural Networks(ANN) has been phenomenally successful on various pattern recognition tasks. However, the design of neural networks rely heavily on the experience and intuitions of individual developers. In this article, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-19 Zhao Peng

Reduced-rank regression is a dimensionality reduction method with many applications. The asymptotic theory for reduced rank estimators of parameter matrices in multivariate linear models has been studied extensively. In contrast, few…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-13 Efstathia Bura , Sabrina Duarte , Liliana Forzani , Ezequiel Smucler , Mariela Sued

Discriminative latent-variable models are typically learned using EM or gradient-based optimization, which suffer from local optima. In this paper, we develop a new computationally efficient and provably consistent estimator for a mixture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-06-18 Arun Tejasvi Chaganty , Percy Liang

This paper proposes a novel method for learning highly nonlinear, multivariate functions from examples. Our method takes advantage of the property that continuous functions can be approximated by polynomials, which in turn are representable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Sandor Szedmak , Anna Cichonska , Heli Julkunen , Tapio Pahikkala , Juho Rousu

We consider a linear regression model with a spatially correlated error term on a lattice. When estimating coefficients in the linear regression model, the generalized least squares estimator (GLSE) is used if the covariance structures are…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-07 Toshihiro Hirano

We study the optimal linear prediction of a random function that takes values in an infinite dimensional Hilbert space. We begin by characterizing the mean square prediction error (MSPE) associated with a linear predictor and discussing the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Won-Ki Seo

This paper describes several new algorithms for estimating the parameters of a periodic bandlimited signal from samples corrupted by jitter (timing noise) and additive noise. Both classical (non-random) and Bayesian formulations are…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-08 Daniel S. Weller , Vivek K Goyal

This paper proposes a Lasso-type estimator for a high-dimensional sparse parameter identified by a single index conditional moment restriction (CMR). In addition to this parameter, the moment function can also depend on a nuisance function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Denis Nekipelov , Vira Semenova , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Recently, efficient fine-tuning of large-scale pre-trained models has attracted increasing research interests, where linear probing (LP) as a fundamental module is involved in exploiting the final representations for task-dependent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Mingze Gao , Qilong Wang , Zhenyi Lin , Pengfei Zhu , Qinghua Hu , Jingbo Zhou

When multiple models are considered in regression problems, the model averaging method can be used to weigh and integrate the models. In the present study, we examined how the goodness-of-prediction of the estimator depends on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Ryo Ando , Fumiyasu Komaki

We combine Tyler's robust estimator of the dispersion matrix with nonlinear shrinkage. This approach delivers a simple and fast estimator of the dispersion matrix in elliptical models that is robust against both heavy tails and high…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-31 Simon Hediger , Jeffrey Näf , Michael Wolf

We present estimators for a well studied statistical estimation problem: the estimation for the linear regression model with soft sparsity constraints ($\ell_q$ constraint with $0<q\leq1$) in the high-dimensional setting. We first present a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-11 Li Zhang

We discuss local linear smooth backfitting for additive non-parametric models. This procedure is well known for achieving optimal convergence rates under appropriate smoothness conditions. In particular, it allows for the estimation of each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-27 Munir Hiabu , Enno Mammen , Joseph T. Meyer

With the advent of massive data sets much of the computational science and engineering community has moved toward data-intensive approaches in regression and classification. However, these present significant challenges due to increasing…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-25 Julio E. Castrillon-Candas

A key issue in statistics and machine learning is to automatically select the "right" model complexity, e.g., the number of neighbors to be averaged over in k nearest neighbor (kNN) regression or the polynomial degree in regression with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-10-04 Marcus Hutter , Minh-Ngoc Tran
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