Related papers: A generalization of Doob's maximal identity
In this paper, we associate, to any submartingale of class $(\Sigma)$, defined on a filtered probability space $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P}, (\mathcal{F}_t)_{t \geq 0})$, which satisfies some technical conditions, a $\sigma$-finite…
We develop the self similarity argument known as sparse domination in an abstract martingale setting, using a continuous time parameter. With this method, we prove a sharp weighted L^p estimate for the maximal operator Y^* of Y with respect…
In this article we study and classify optimal martingales in the dual formulation of optimal stopping problems. In this respect we distinguish between weakly optimal and surely optimal martingales. It is shown that the family of weakly…
The present paper is devoted to the second part of our project on asymmetric maximal inequalities, where we consider martingales in continuous time. Let $(\mathcal M,\tau)$ be a noncommutative probability space equipped with a continuous…
The Doob convergence theorem implies that the set of divergence of any martingale has measure zero. We prove that, conversely, any $G\_{\delta\sigma}$ subset of the Cantor space with Lebesgue-measure zero can be represented as the set of…
Confidence sequences, anytime p-values (called p-processes in this paper), and e-processes all enable sequential inference for composite and nonparametric classes of distributions at arbitrary stopping times. Examining the literature, one…
The concept of finitely additive supermartingales, originally due to Bochner, is revived and developed. We exploit it to study measure decompositions over filtered probability spaces and the properties of the associated Dol\'{e}ans-Dade…
Let $\xi$ be a Dawson--Watanabe superprocess in $\mathbb{R}^d$ such that $\xi_t$ is a.s. locally finite for every $t\geq 0$. Then for $d\geq2$ and fixed $t>0$, the singular random measure $\xi_t$ can be a.s. approximated by suitably…
We present a short and self-contained proof of the following result: a random time is an honest time that avoids all stopping times if and only if it coincides with the (last) time of maximum of a nonnegative local martingale with zero…
Let $(\Omega, \A, \mu)$ be a Lebesgue space and $T$ an ergodic measure preserving automorphism on $\Omega$ with positive entropy. We show that there is a bounded and strictly stationary martingale difference sequence defined on $\Omega$…
Using the spectral measure $\mu_\mathbb{S}$ of the stopping time $\mathbb{S},$ we define the stopping element $X_\mathbb{S}$ as a Daniell integral $\int X_t\,d\mu_\mathbb{S}$ for an adapted stochastic process $(X_t)_{t\in J}$ that is a…
Motivated by a problem posed by Aldous, our goal is to find the maximal-entropy win-martingale: In a sports game between two teams, the chance the home team wins is initially $x_0 \in (0,1)$ and finally 0 or 1. As an idealization we take a…
As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a stochastic maximal inequality derived by using the Taylor expansion, is…
We work under the A\"{\i}d\'{e}kon-Chen conditions which ensure that the derivative martingale in a supercritical branching random walk on the line converges almost surely to a nondegenerate nonnegative random variable that we denote by…
Based on the multidimensional irreducible paving of De March & Touzi, we provide a multi-dimensional version of the quasi sure duality for the martingale optimal transport problem, thus extending the result of Beiglb\"ock, Nutz & Touzi.…
This paper extends results of Mortimer and Williams (1991) about changes of probability measure up to a random time under the assumptions that all martingales are continuous and that the random time avoids stopping times. We consider…
When analyzing probabilistic computations, a powerful approach is to first find a martingale---an expression on the program variables whose expectation remains invariant---and then apply the optional stopping theorem in order to infer…
This note considers the maximal positively invariant set for polynomial discrete time dynamics subject to constraints specified by a basic semialgebraic set. The note utilizes a relatively direct, but apparently overlooked, fact stating…
In this paper we present a Doob type maximal inequality for stochastic processes satisfying the conditional increment control condition. If we assume, in addition, that the margins of the process have uniform exponential tail decay, we…
Given a finite honest time, we first show that the associated Az\'ema optional supermartingale can be expressed as the drawdown and the relative drawdown of some local optional supermartingales with continuous running supremum. The relative…