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Generalized linear mixed models are powerful tools for analyzing clustered data, where the unknown parameters are classically (and most commonly) estimated by the maximum likelihood and restricted maximum likelihood procedures. However,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Andrea M. Bratsberg , Magne Thoresen , Abhik Ghosh

In this paper, we consider the distribution of the supremum of non-stationary Gaussian processes, and present a new theoretical result on the asymptotic behaviour of this distribution. Unlike previously known facts in this field, our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Valentin Konakov , Vladimir Panov , Vladimir Piterbarg

We establish exponential bounds for the hypergeometric distribution which include a finite sampling correction factor, but are otherwise analogous to bounds for the binomial distribution due to Le\'on and Perron (2003) and Talagrand (1994).…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Evan Greene , Jon A. Wellner

We derive asymptotic formulas for central extended binomial coefficients, which are generalizations of binomial coefficients. To do so, we relate the exact distribution of the sum of independent discrete uniform random variables to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-05 Steffen Eger

Calculation of the distribution of the average value of a Gaussian random field in a finite domain is carried out for different cases. The results of the calculation demonstrate a strong dependence of the width of the distribution on the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-13 S. V. Novikov , M. Van der Auweraer

We investigate a branching random walk where the displacements are independent from the branching mechanism and have a stretched exponential distribution. We describe the positions of the particles in the vicinity of the rightmost particle…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-26 Piotr Dyszewski , Nina Gantert

We prove existence of (at most denumerable many) absolutely continuous invariant probability measures for random one-dimensional dynamical systems with asymptotic expansion. If the rate of expansion (Lyapunov exponents) is bounded away from…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-11-18 Vitor Araujo , Javier Solano

We consider point process convergence for sequences of iid random walks. The objective is to derive asymptotic theory for the largest extremes of these random walks. We show convergence of the maximum random walk to the Gumbel or the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Thomas Mikosch , Jorge Yslas

In this paper we obtain non-uniform exponential upper bounds for the rate of convergence of a version of the algorithm Context, when the underlying tree is not necessarily bounded. The algorithm Context is a well-known tool to estimate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-05-22 Antonio Galves , Florencia Leonardi

This note describes non-asymptotic variance and tail bounds for order statistics of samples of independent identically distributed random variables. Those bounds are checked to be asymptotically tight when the sampling distribution belongs…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-05 Stephane Boucheron , Maud Thomas

We consider maximum rooted tree extension counts in random graphs, i.e., we consider M_n = \max_v X_v where X_v counts the number of copies of a given tree in G_{n,p} rooted at vertex v. We determine the asymptotics of M_n when the random…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-29 Pedro Araújo , Simon Griffiths , Matas Šileikis , Lutz Warnke

We provide explicit nonasymptotic estimates for the rate of convergence of empirical means of Markov chains, together with a Gaussian or exponential control on the deviations of empirical means. These estimates hold under a "positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-11 Aldéric Joulin , Yann Ollivier

In this paper non-asymptotic moment estimates are derived for tail of distribution for discrete time polynomial martingale by means of martingale differences as a rule in the terms of unconditional and unconditional relative moments and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-06 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

Let $\{Z(\tau,s), (\tau,s)\in [a,b]\times[0,T]\}$ with some positive constants $a,b,T$ be a centered Gaussian random field with variance function $\sigma^{2}(\tau,s)$ satisfying $\sigma^{2}(\tau,s)=\sigma^{2}(\tau)$. We firstly derive the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-10 Zhongquan Tan , Shengchao Zheng

Exact upper bounds on the Winsorised-tilted mean of a random variable in terms of its first two moments are given. Such results are needed in work on nonuniform Berry--Esseen-type bounds for general nonlinear statistics. As another…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-24 Iosif Pinelis

The explicit formulae for the height distribution and expected number of local maxima have been obtained for isotropic Gaussian random fields on certain low-dimensional Euclidean space or low-dimensional spheres.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-05 Dan Cheng , Armin Schwartzman

A broad set of sufficient conditions that guarantees the existence of the maximum entropy (maxent) distribution consistent with specified bounds on certain generalized moments is derived. Most results in the literature are either focused on…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-09-29 Prakash Ishwar , Pierre Moulin

Asymptotic estimates of the hitting distribution of a long segment on the real axis for two dimensional random walks on ${\bf Z}^2$ of zero mean and finite variances are obtained: some are general and exhibit its apparent similarity to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-13 Kôhei Uchiyama

We develop approximate estimation methods for exponential random graph models (ERGMs), whose likelihood is proportional to an intractable normalizing constant. The usual approach approximates this constant with Monte Carlo simulations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-11 Angelo Mele , Lingjiong Zhu

We present a generalization of the maximal inequalities that upper bound the expectation of the maximum of $n$ jointly distributed random variables. We control the expectation of a randomly selected random variable from $n$ jointly…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-31 Jiantao Jiao , Yanjun Han , Tsachy Weissman
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