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In this paper, state and noise covariance estimation problems for linear system with unknown multiplicative noise are considered. The measurement likelihood is modelled as a mixture of two Gaussian distributions and a Student's t…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-29 Xingkai Yu , Ziyang Meng

Data assimilation methodologies are designed to incorporate noisy observations of a physical system into an underlying model in order to infer the properties of the state of the system. Filters refer to a class of data assimilation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-10-13 C. E. A. Brett , K. F. Lam , K. J. H. Law , D. S. McCormick , M. R. Scott , A. M. Stuart

Learning in a non-stationary environment is an inevitable problem when applying machine learning algorithm to real world environment. Learning new tasks without forgetting the previous knowledge is a challenge issue in machine learning. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-07 Honglin Li , Frieder Ganz , Shirin Enshaeifar , Payam Barnaghi

This paper develops a robust extended Kalman filter to estimate the rotor angles and the rotor speeds of synchronous generators of a multimachine power system. Using a batch-mode regression form, the filter processes together predicted…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-06 Marcos Netto , Junbo Zhao , Lamine Mili

In this paper the problem of best linear unbiased estimation is investigated for continuous-time regression models. We prove several general statements concerning the explicit form of the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE), in particular…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-06 Holger Dette , Andrey Pepelyshev , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

This paper discusses stability and robustness properties of a recently proposed observer algorithm for linear time varying systems. The observer is based on the approximation and subsequent modification of the non-negative Lyapunov…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-19 Markus Tranninger , Sergiy Zhuk , Martin Steinberger , Leonid Fridman , Martin Horn

Smoothers are algorithms for Bayesian time series re-analysis. Most operational smoothers rely either on affine Kalman-type transformations or on sequential importance sampling. These strategies occupy opposite ends of a spectrum that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-23 Maximilian Ramgraber , Ricardo Baptista , Dennis McLaughlin , Youssef Marzouk

Ordinary Differential Equations are a simple but powerful framework for modeling complex systems. Parameter estimation from times series can be done by Nonlinear Least Squares (or other classical approaches), but this can give…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Quentin Clairon , Nicolas Brunel

We deduce the asymptotic error distribution of the Euler method for the nonlinear filtering problem with continuous-time observations. Previous works by several authors have shown that the error structure of the method is characterized by…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-10 Teppei Ogihara , Hideyuki Tanaka

Dynamic inference problems in autoregressive (AR/ARMA/ARIMA), exponential smoothing, and navigation are often formulated and solved using state-space models (SSM), which allow a range of statistical distributions to inform innovations and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-31 Jonathan Jonker , Peng Zheng , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin

This report provides a brief historical evolution of the concepts in the Kalman filtering theory since ancient times to the present. A brief description of the filter equations its aesthetics, beauty, truth, fascinating perspectives and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 Shyam Mohan M , Naren Naik , R. M. O. Gemson , M. R. Ananthasayanam

We propose a new class of filtering and smoothing methods for inference in high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, spatio-temporal state-space models. The main idea is to combine the ensemble Kalman filter and smoother, developed in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-22 Matthias Katzfuss , Jonathan R. Stroud , Christopher K. Wikle

Studying the stability of the Kalman filter whose measurements are randomly lost has been an active research topic for over a decade. In this paper we extend the existing results to a far more general setting in which the measurement…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-19 Damián Marelli , Tianju Sui , Eduardo Rohr , Minyue Fu

The purpose of this review is to present a comprehensive overview of the theory of ensemble Kalman-Bucy filtering for continuous-time, linear-Gaussian signal and observation models. We present a system of equations that describe the flow of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral

The Kalman filter is ubiquitous for state space models because of its desirable statistical properties, ease of implementation, and generally good performance. However, it can perform poorly in the presence of outliers, or measurements with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-26 Michael J. Walsh

We present a stochastic predictive controller for discrete time linear time invariant systems under incomplete state information. Our approach is based on a suitable choice of control policies, stability constraints, and employment of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-27 Prabhat Kumar Mishra , Debasish Chatterjee , Daniel E. Quevedo

This paper proposes a simple, accurate and computationally efficient method to apply the ordinary unscented Kalman filter developed in Euclidean space to systems whose dynamics evolve on manifolds.We use the mathematical theory called…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Jae-Hyeon Park , Dong Eui Chang

The filtering distribution captures the statistics of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. Classical particle filters provably approximate this distribution in quite general settings; however they behave…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Edoardo Calvello , Pierre Monmarché , Andrew M. Stuart , Urbain Vaes

This paper considers the simultaneous state and unknown input estimation for continuous-discrete stochastic systems. Two types of approaches (with and without modeling of unknown inputs) which can address this issue are investigated. A…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-12 Peng Lu

Optimal decision-making under partial observability requires reasoning about the uncertainty of the environment's hidden state. However, most reinforcement learning architectures handle partial observability with sequence models that have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-20 Carlos E. Luis , Alessandro G. Bottero , Julia Vinogradska , Felix Berkenkamp , Jan Peters
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