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We extend the linear mixed-effects state model to accommodate the correlated individuals and investigate its parameter and state estimation based on disturbance smoothing in this paper. For parameter estimation, EM and score based…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-03 Jie Zhou , Aiping Tang

State estimation refers to determining the states of a dynamical system that starts from a noisy initial condition and evolves under process noise, based on noisy measurements and a known system model. For linear dynamical systems with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Avneet Kaur , Ruikun Zhou , Jun Liu , Kirsten Morris

Filtering and smoothing algorithms for linear discrete-time state-space models with skewed and heavy-tailed measurement noise are presented. The algorithms use a variational Bayes approximation of the posterior distribution of models that…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Henri Nurminen , Tohid Ardeshiri , Robert Piché , Fredrik Gustafsson

State-space models are used in a wide range of time series analysis formulations. Kalman filtering and smoothing are work-horse algorithms in these settings. While classic algorithms assume Gaussian errors to simplify estimation, recent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-02 Jonathan Jonker , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , James V. Burke , Gianluigi Pillonetto , Sarah Webster

A recursive state estimation procedure is derived for a linear time varying system with both parametric uncertainties and stochastic measurement droppings. This estimator has a similar form as that of the Kalman filter with intermittent…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Tong Zhou

We look at a stochastic time-varying optimization problem and we formulate online algorithms to find and track its optimizers in expectation. The algorithms are derived from the intuition that standard prediction and correction steps can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Andrea Simonetto , Paolo Massioni

The Kalman filter is an established tool for the analysis of dynamic systems with normally distributed noise, and it has been successfully applied in numerous application areas. It provides sequentially calculated estimates of the system…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-10-26 S. Eichstädt , N. Makarava , C. Elster

The analysis of high-dimensional dynamical systems generally requires the integration of simulation data with experimental measurements. Experimental data often has substantial amounts of measurement noise that compromises the ability to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Samuel Rudy , Steven Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

We use statistical learning methods to construct an adaptive state estimator for nonlinear stochastic systems. Optimal state estimation, in the form of a Kalman filter, requires knowledge of the system's process and measurement uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-05 Michael Busch , Jeff Moehlis

Smoothing is a specialized form of Bayesian inference for state-space models that characterizes the posterior distribution of a collection of states given an associated sequence of observations. Ramgraber et al. (2023) proposes a general…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-23 Maximilian Ramgraber , Ricardo Baptista , Dennis McLaughlin , Youssef Marzouk

For challenging state estimation problems arising in domains like vision and robotics, particle-based representations attractively enable temporal reasoning about multiple posterior modes. Particle smoothers offer the potential for more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Ali Younis , Erik B. Sudderth

In this paper, we present the optimization formulation of the Kalman filtering and smoothing problems, and use this perspective to develop a variety of extensions and applications. We first formulate classic Kalman smoothing as a least…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , James V. Burke , Gianluigi Pillonetto

We present a Kalman smoothing framework based on modeling errors using the heavy tailed Student's t distribution, along with algorithms, convergence theory, open-source general implementation, and several important applications. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-03-25 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , James V. Burke , Gianluigi Pillonetto

Kalman filtering and smoothing algorithms are used in many areas, including tracking and navigation, medical applications, and financial trend filtering. One of the basic assumptions required to apply the Kalman smoothing framework is that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-03-21 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , James V. Burke

Using a perturbation technique, we derive a new approximate filtering and smoothing methodology generalizing along different directions several existing approaches to robust filtering based on the score and the Hessian matrix of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-06 Giuseppe Buccheri , Giacomo Bormetti , Fulvio Corsi , Fabrizio Lillo

We present a numerically-stable parallel-in-time linear Kalman smoother. The smoother uses a novel highly-parallel QR factorization for a class of structured sparse matrices for state estimation, and an adaptation of the SelInv…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Shahaf Gargir , Sivan Toledo

The augmented, iterated Kalman smoother is applied to system identification for inverse problems in evolutionary differential equations. In the augmented smoother, the unknown, time-dependent coefficients are included in the state vector,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-19 Kurt S. Riedel

A recent line of work has shown that end-to-end optimization of Bayesian filters can be used to learn state estimators for systems whose underlying models are difficult to hand-design or tune, while retaining the core advantages of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Brent Yi , Michelle A. Lee , Alina Kloss , Roberto Martín-Martín , Jeannette Bohg

Filtering is concerned with online estimation of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. In applications where the state is high dimensional, ensemble Kalman filters are often the method of choice. This paper…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Nathan Waniorek

We study the filtering and smoothing problem for continuous-time linear Gaussian systems. While classical approaches such as the Kalman-Bucy filter and the Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS) smoother provide recursive formulas for the conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Masahiro Kurisaki