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A statistical test is presented to decide whether data are adequately described by probabilistic functions of finite state Markov chains (''hidden Markov models'') as applied in the analysis of ion channel data. Particularly, the test can…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-30 J. Timmer , S. Klein

We study the pointwise stabilizability of a discrete-time, time-homogeneous, and stationary Markovian jump linear system. By using measure theory, ergodic theory and a splitting theorem of state space we show in a relatively simple way that…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-02 Xiongping Dai , Yu Huang , Mingqing Xiao

The first aim of the present note is to quantify the speed of convergence of a conditioned process toward its Q-process under suitable assumptions on the quasi-stationary distribution of the process. Conversely, we prove that, if a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

Given a stochastic nonlinear system controlled over a possibly noisy communication channel, the paper studies the largest class of channels for which there exist coding and control policies so that the closed-loop system is stochastically…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Christoph Kawan , Serdar Yüksel

This work is devoted to the almost sure stabilization of adaptive control systems that involve an unknown Markov chain. The control system displays continuous dynamics represented by differential equations and discrete events given by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-07-10 Bernard Bercu , Francois Dufour , G. George Yin

When are quantum filters asymptotically independent of the initial state? We show that this is the case for absolutely continuous initial states when the quantum stochastic model satisfies an observability condition. When the initial system…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-06-15 Ramon van Handel

Max-stable processes are central models for spatial extremes. In this paper, we focus on some space-time max-stable models introduced in Embrechts et al. (2016). The processes considered induce discrete-time Markov chains taking values in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-09 Erwan Koch , Christian Y. Robert

We continue development of the theory of Markov systems initiated in \cite{Wer1}. In this paper, we introduce fundamental Markov systems associated with random dynamical systems and show that the proof of the uniqueness and empiricalness of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-09 Ivan Werner

We explore the concept of a consistent exchangeable survival process - a joint distribution of survival times in which the risk set evolves as a continuous-time Markov process with homogeneous transition rates. We show a correspondence with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-10 Walter Dempsey , Peter McCullagh

For discrete-time Markov chains on general state spaces, we establish criteria for non-ergodicity and non-strong ergodicity, and derive sufficient conditions for non-geometric ergodicity via the theory of minimal nonnegative solutions. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-29 Ling-Di Wang , Yu Chen , Yu-Hui Zhang

Consider a Markov process $\{\Phi(t) : t\geq 0\}$ evolving on a Polish space ${\sf X}$. A version of the $f$-Norm Ergodic Theorem is obtained: Suppose that the process is $\psi$-irreducible and aperiodic. For a given function $f\colon{\sf…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-03 I. Kontoyiannis , S. P. Meyn

In the simplest sequential decision problem for an ergodic stochastic process X, at each time n a decision u_n is made as a function of past observations X_0,...,X_{n-1}, and a loss l(u_n,X_n) is incurred. In this setting, it is known that…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-04 Ramon van Handel

In this short note we provide an elementary proof that a certain type of nonuniform sequential Doeblin minorization condition implies non-uniform sequential "geometric" ergodicity. Using this result several limit theorems for inhomogeneous…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Yeor Hafouta , Brenden Williams

Under multiplicative drift and other regularity conditions, it is established that the asymptotic variance associated with a particle filter approximation of the prediction filter is bounded uniformly in time, and the nonasymptotic,…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-06 Nick Whiteley

We introduce and study time-inhomogeneous quantum Markov chains with parameter $\zeta \ge 0$ and decoherence parameter $0 \leq p \leq 1$ on finite spaces and their large scale equilibrium properties. Here $\zeta$ resembles the inverse…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-12-11 Chia-Han Chou , Wei-Shih Yang

We argue that the spectral theory of non-reversible Markov chains may often be more effectively cast within the framework of the naturally associated weighted-$L_\infty$ space $L_\infty^V$, instead of the usual Hilbert space $L_2=L_2(\pi)$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-30 Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Sean P. Meyn

This article discusses a partially adapted particle filter for estimating the likelihood of a nonlinear structural econometric state space models whose state transition density cannot be expressed in closed form. The filter generates the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-05 Jamie Hall , Michael K. Pitt , Robert Kohn

We establish new conditions for obtaining uniform bounds on the moments of discrete-time stochastic processes. Our results require a weak negative drift criterion along with a state-dependent restriction on the sizes of the one-step jumps…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Arnab Ganguly , Debasish Chatterjee

This paper studies theory and inference related to a class of time series models that incorporates nonlinear dynamics. It is assumed that the observations follow a one-parameter exponential family of distributions given an accompanying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-19 Richard A. Davis , Heng Liu

An autoregressive process with Markov regime is an autoregressive process for which the regression function at each time point is given by a nonobservable Markov chain. In this paper we consider the asymptotic properties of the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Tobias Ryden