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We consider the goodness-of-fit testing problem of distinguishing whether the data are drawn from a specified distribution, versus a composite alternative separated from the null in the total variation metric. In the discrete case, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-03 Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

We introduce verifiable criteria for weak posterior consistency of identifiable Bayesian nonparametric inference for jump diffusions with unit diffusion coefficient and uniformly Lipschitz drift and jump coefficients in arbitrary dimension.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-13 Jere Koskela , Dario Spano , Paul A. Jenkins

A consistent goodness-of-fit test for distributional regression is introduced. The test statistic is based on a process that traces the difference between a nonparametric and a semi-parametric estimate of the marginal distribution function…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-10 Gitte Kremling , Gerhard Dikta

Space dependent diffusion of micrometer sized particles has been directly observed using digital video microscopy. The particles were trapped between two nearly parallel walls making their confinement position dependent. Consequently, not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 P. Lancon , G. Batrouni , L. Lobry , N. Ostrowsky

We discuss a goodness-of-fit method which tests the compatibility between statistically independent data sets. The method gives sensible results even in cases where the chi^2-minima of the individual data sets are very low or when several…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Maltoni , T. Schwetz

By means of rather general arguments, based on an approach due to Derrida that makes use of samples of finite size, we analyse the effective diffusivity and drift tensors in certain types of random medium in which the motion of the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 D S Dean , I T Drummond , R R Horgan

The drift diffusion model (DDM) is a model of sequential sampling with diffusion (Brownian) signals, where the decision maker accumulates evidence until the process hits a stopping boundary, and then stops and chooses the alternative that…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-12 Drew Fudenberg , Whitney K. Newey , Philipp Strack , Tomasz Strzalecki

Due to the broad applications of elliptical models, there is a long line of research on goodness-of-fit tests for empirically validating them. However, the existing literature on this topic is generally confined to low-dimensional settings,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Siyao Wang , Miles E. Lopes

Suppose that a sequence of data points follows a distribution of a certain parametric form, but that one or more of the underlying parameters may change over time. This paper addresses various natural questions in such a framework. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Nils Lid Hjort , Alex J. Koning

We propose a practical empirical fitting function to characterize the non-Gaussian displacement distribution functions (DispD) often observed for heterogeneous diffusion problems. We first test this fitting function with the problem of a…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2022-07-20 Le Qiao , Nicholas Ilow , Maxime Ignacio , Gary W. Slater

We propose a nonparametric statistical test for goodness-of-fit: given a set of samples, the test determines how likely it is that these were generated from a target density function. The measure of goodness-of-fit is a divergence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-28 Kacper Chwialkowski , Heiko Strathmann , Arthur Gretton

We study a classical Bayesian statistics problem of sequentially testing the sign of the drift of an arithmetic Brownian motion with the $0$-$1$ loss function and a constant cost of observation per unit of time for general prior…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Erik Ekström , Juozas Vaicenavicius

This paper deals with the problem of testing for dispersion parameter change in discretely observed diffusion processes when the observations are contaminated by outliers. To lessen the impact of outliers, we first calculate residuals using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-01 Junmo Song

A large class of goodness-of-fit test statistics based on sup-functionals of weighted empirical processes is proposed and studied. The weight functions employed are Erd\H{o}s-Feller-Kolmogorov-Petrovski upper-class functions of a Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-04 Natalia Stepanova , Tatjana Pavlenko

This paper addresses the nonparametric estimation of the drift function over a compact domain for a time-homogeneous diffusion process, based on high-frequency discrete observations from $N$ independent trajectories. We propose a neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-01 Yuzhen Zhao , Yating Liu , Marc Hoffmann

This paper solves a Bayes sequential impulse control problem for a diffusion, whose drift has an unobservable parameter with a change point. The partially-observed problem is reformulated into one with full observations, via a change of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-08-19 Lokman A. Abbas-Turki , Ioannis Karatzas , Qinghua Li

In this paper, we consider the robust adaptive non parametric estimation problem for the drift coefficient in diffusion processes. An adaptive model selection procedure, based on the improved weighted least square estimates, is proposed.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Evgeny Pchelintsev , Svyatoslav Perelevskiy , Irina Makarova

We introduce exact methods for the simulation of sample paths of one-dimensional diffusions with a discontinuity in the drift function. Our procedures require the simulation of finite-dimensional candidate draws from probability laws…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-24 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth O. Roberts , Kasia B. Taylor

We introduce order-based diffusion processes as the solutions to multidimensional stochastic differential equations, with drift coefficient depending only on the ordering of the coordinates of the process and diffusion matrix proportional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-11 Benjamin Jourdain , Julien Reygner

The principle of smooth fit is probably the most used tool to find solutions to optimal stopping problems of one-dimensional diffusions. It is important, e.g., in financial mathematical applications to understand in which kind of models and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Paavo Salminen , Bao Quoc Ta