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Statistical arbitrage exploits temporal price differences between similar assets. We develop a unifying conceptual framework for statistical arbitrage and a novel data driven solution. First, we construct arbitrage portfolios of similar…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Jorge Guijarro-Ordonez , Markus Pelger , Greg Zanotti

We give a collection of explicit sufficient conditions for the true martingale property of a wide class of exponentials of semimartingales. We express the conditions in terms of semimartingale characteristics. This turns out to be very…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-12 David Criens , Kathrin Glau , Zorana Grbac

This paper completes the analysis of Choulli et al. Non-Arbitrage up to Random Horizons and after Honest Times for Semimartingale Models and contains two principal contributions. The first contribution consists in providing and analysing…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-10 Anna Aksamit , Tahir Choulli , Jun Deng , Monique Jeanblanc

Statistical arbitrage exploits temporal price differences between similar assets. We develop a framework to jointly identify similar assets through factors, identify mispricing and form a trading policy that maximizes risk-adjusted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Elliot L. Epstein , Rose Wang , Jaewon Choi , Markus Pelger

We consider a one-period market model composed by a risk-free asset and a risky asset with $n$ possible future values (namely, a $n$-nomial market model). We characterize the lower envelope of the class of equivalent martingale measures in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Andrea Cinfrignini , Davide Petturiti , Barbara Vantaggi

We extend the "No-dynamic-arbitrage and market impact"-framework of Jim Gatheral [Quantitative Finance, 10(7): 749-759 (2010)] to the multi-dimensional case where trading in one asset has a cross-impact on the price of other assets. From…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-28 Michael Schneider , Fabrizio Lillo

A strict local martingale is a local martingale which is not a martingale. There are few explicit examples of "naturally occurring" strict local martingales with jumps available in the literature. The purpose of this paper is to provide…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-26 Philip Protter

We investigate triangular arbitrage within the spot foreign exchange market using high-frequency executable prices. We show that triangular arbitrage opportunities do exist, but that most have short durations and small magnitudes. We find…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-06 Daniel J. Fenn , Sam D. Howison , Mark McDonald , Stacy Williams , Neil F. Johnson

We discuss a class of Backward Stochastic Differential Equations(BSDEs) with no driving martingale. When the randomness of the driver depends on a general Markov process $X$, those BSDEs are denominated Markovian BSDEs and can be associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-29 Adrien Barrasso , Francesco Russo

The concept of conditional expectation is important in applications of probability and statistics in many areas such as reliability engineering, economy, finance, and actuarial sciences due to its property of being the best predictor of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-07 Ismihan Bayramoglu

In this paper we investigate discrete time trading under integer constraints, that is, we assume that the offered goods or shares are traded in integer quantities instead of the usual real quantity assumption. For finite probability spaces…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-28 Stefan Gerhold , Paul Krühner

We consider a discrete-time, generically incomplete market model and a behavioural investor with power-like utility and distortion functions. The existence of optimal strategies in this setting has been shown in a previous paper under…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-23 Miklós Rásonyi , José G. Rodríguez-Villarreal

A constrained informationally efficient market is defined to be one whose price process arises as the outcome of some equilibrium where agents face restrictions on trade. This paper investigates the case of short sale constraints, a setting…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-10 Robert A. Jarrow , Martin Larsson

We analyze the properties of arguably the simplest bilinear stochastic multiplicative process, proposed as a model of financial returns and of other complex systems combining both nonlinearity and multiplicative noise. By construction, it…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Sornette , V. F. Pisarenko

This paper presents sufficient conditions for the existence of stationary optimal policies for average-cost Markov Decision Processes with Borel state and action sets and with weakly continuous transition probabilities. The one-step cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-02-21 Eugene A. Feinberg , Pavlo O. Kasyanov , Nina V. Zadoianchuk

In this paper we investigate the local risk-minimization approach for a semimartingale financial market where there are restrictions on the available information to agents who can observe at least the asset prices. We characterize the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-20 Claudia Ceci , Katia Colaneri , Alessandra Cretarola

The stochastic exponential $Z_t=\exp\{M_t-M_0-(1/2) <M,M>_t\}$ of a continuous local martingale $M$ is itself a continuous local martingale. We give a necessary and sufficient condition for the process $Z$ to be a true martingale in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-12 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Mikhail Urusov

In this paper, we consider a class of slow-fast systems of stochastic partial differential equations where the nonlinearity in the slow equation is not continuous and unbounded. We first provide conditions that ensure the existence of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Sandra Cerrai , Yichun Zhu

We prove a version of First Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing under transaction costs for discrete-time markets with dividend-paying securities. Specifically, we show that the no-arbitrage condition under the efficient friction…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-13 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Rodrigo Rodriguez

We have embedded the classical theory of stochastic finance into a differential geometric framework called Geometric Arbitrage Theory and show that it is possible to: --Write arbitrage as curvature of a principal fibre bundle.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-06 Simone Farinelli