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Risk management in many environmental settings requires an understanding of the mechanisms that drive extreme events. Useful metrics for quantifying such risk are extreme quantiles of response variables conditioned on predictor variables…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-08 Jordan Richards , Raphaël Huser

Forward propagation of input uncertainties in physics-based wildfire models is computationally prohibitive, limiting the use of high-fidelity simulators in risk assessment workflows. This work introduces a geometry-aligned bi-fidelity…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Konstantinos Vogiatzoglou , Costas Papadimitriou , Vasilis Bontozoglou , Petros Koumoutsakos , Han Gao

In recent years wildfires have caused havoc across the world, especially aggravated in certain regions, due to climate change. Remote sensing has become a powerful tool for monitoring fires, as well as for measuring their effects on…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-24 Feliu Serra-Burriel , Pedro Delicado , Fernando M. Cucchietti

Climate change has resulted in a year over year increase in adverse weather and weather conditions which contribute to increasingly severe fire seasons. Without effective mitigation, these fires pose a threat to life, property, ecology,…

Wildfires are a disastrous phenomenon which cause damage to land, loss of property, air pollution, and even loss of human life. Due to the warmer and drier conditions created by climate change, more severe and uncontrollable wildfires are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Omkar Ranadive , Jisu Kim , Serin Lee , Youngseo Cha , Heechan Park , Minkook Cho , Young K. Hwang

Wildfire prediction has become increasingly crucial due to the escalating impacts of climate change. Traditional CNN-based wildfire prediction models struggle with handling missing oceanic data and addressing the long-range dependencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Dayou Chen , Sibo Cheng , Jinwei Hu , Matthew Kasoar , Rossella Arcucci

Fine-grained fire prediction plays a crucial role in emergency response. Infrared images and fire masks provide complementary thermal and boundary information, yet current methods are predominantly limited to binary mask modeling with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Nan Zhou , Huandong Wang , Jiahao Li , Yang Li , Xiao-Ping Zhang , Yong Li , Xinlei Chen

In this paper, we propose a feedback control strategy to protect vulnerable areas from wildfires. We consider a system of coupled partial differential equations (PDEs) that models heat propagation and fuel depletion in wildfires and study…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-09-11 Mohamed Camil Belhadjoudja , Mohamed Maghenem , Emmanuel Witrant , Didier Georges

We present a general stochastic forest-fire model which shows a variety of different structures depending on the parameter values. The model contains three possible states per site (tree, burning tree, empty site) and three parameters (tree…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 B. Drossel , F. Schwabl

Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) have become increasingly important in disaster emergency response by facilitating aerial video analysis. Due to the limited computational resources available on UAVs, large models cannot be run efficiently…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Yanbing Bai , Rui-Yang Ju , Lemeng Zhao , Junjie Hu , Jianchao Bi , Erick Mas , Shunichi Koshimura

In wildfires, burning pieces of ember-firebrands-are carried downstream by wind. At the time of landing, these firebrands can start secondary fires far away from the main burning unit. This phenomenon is called spotting and the secondary…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-11-21 Mohammad Farazmand

Rapid and accurate wildfire detection is crucial for emergency response and environmental management. In airborne and spaceborne missions, real-time algorithms must distinguish between no fire, active fire, and post-fire conditions, and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Mark Moussa , Andre Williams , Seth Roffe , Douglas Morton

Predicting the extent of massive wildfires once ignited is essential to reduce the subsequent socioeconomic losses and environmental damage, but challenging because of the complexity of fire behaviour. Existing physics-based models are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-12 Bo Pang , Sibo Cheng , Yuhan Huang , Yufang Jin , Yike Guo , I. Colin Prentice , Sandy P. Harrison , Rossella Arcucci

With climate change expected to exacerbate fire weather conditions, the accurate anticipation of wildfires on a global scale becomes increasingly crucial for disaster mitigation. In this study, we utilize SeasFire, a comprehensive global…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-10 Dimitrios Michail , Lefki-Ioanna Panagiotou , Charalampos Davalas , Ioannis Prapas , Spyros Kondylatos , Nikolaos Ioannis Bountos , Ioannis Papoutsis

Wildfires are a significant threat to ecosystems and human infrastructure, leading to widespread destruction and environmental degradation. Recent advancements in deep learning and generative models have enabled new methods for wildfire…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Hao Wang , Sayed Pedram Haeri Boroujeni , Xiwen Chen , Ashish Bastola , Huayu Li , Wenhui Zhu , Abolfazl Razi

With fires becoming increasingly frequent and severe across the globe in recent years, understanding climate change's role in fire behavior is critical for quantifying current and future fire risk. However, global climate models typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-26 Tristan Ballard , Gopal Erinjippurath

Safely moving through environments affected by fire is a critical capability for autonomous mobile robots deployed in disaster response. In this work, we present a novel approach for mobile robots to understand fire through building…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Anton R. Wagner , Madhan Balaji Rao , Xuesu Xiao , Sören Pirk

The knowledge of the movement of animals is important and necessary for ecologists to do further analysis such as exploring the animal migration route. A novel method which is based on the state space modeling has been proposed to track the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-10-17 Hua Bai

Given the recent increase in wildfires, developing a better understanding of their dynamics is crucial. For this purpose, the advection-diffusion-reaction model has been widely used to study wildfire dynamics. In this study, we introduce…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-12-02 Luca Nieding , Cordula Reisch , Dirk Langemann , Adrián Navas-Montilla

Drone swarms coupled with data intelligence can be the future of wildfire fighting. However, drone swarm firefighting faces enormous challenges, such as the highly complex environmental conditions in wildfire scenes, the highly dynamic…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Shijie Pan , Aoran Cheng , Yiqi Sun , Kai Kang , Cristobal Pais , Yulun Zhou , Zuo-Jun Max Shen