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We study trade-based manipulation of stock prices from the perspective of complex trading networks constructed by using detailed information of trades. A stock trading network consists of nodes and directed links, where every trader is a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-09 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wen-Jie Xie , Xiong Xiong , Wei Zhang , Yong-Jie Zhang , W. -X. Zhou

Kinetic exchange models have been successful in explaining the shape of the income/wealth distribution in the economies. However, such models usually make some ad-hoc assumptions when it comes to determining the savings factor. Here, we…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-28 Anindya S. Chakrabarti

A class of heterogeneous agent models is investigated where investors switch trading position whenever their motivation to do so exceeds some critical threshold. These motivations can be psychological in nature or reflect behaviour…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 R. Cross , M. Grinfeld , H. Lamba , T. Seaman

The estimation of asset return distributions is crucial for determining optimal trading strategies. In this paper we describe the constrained mixture model, based on a mixture of Gamma and Gaussian distributions, to provide an accurate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-03-15 Iead Rezek

We consider a conditional factor model for a multivariate portfolio of United States equities in the context of analysing a statistical arbitrage trading strategy. A state space framework underlies the factor model whereby asset returns are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Trent Spears , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

This paper develops a feature-driven model for hybrid power plants, enabling them to exploit available contextual information such as historical forecasts of wind power, and make optimal wind power and hydrogen trading decisions in the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-01 Emil Helgren , Jalal Kazempour , Lesia Mitridati

Investors try to predict returns of financial assets to make successful investment. Many quantitative analysts have used machine learning-based methods to find unknown profitable market rules from large amounts of market data. However,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-21 Katsuya Ito , Kentaro Minami , Kentaro Imajo , Kei Nakagawa

Understanding the structure of financial markets deals with suitably determining the functional relation between financial variables. In this respect, important variables are the trading activity, defined here as the number of trades $N$,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-16 Mathias Pohl , Alexander Ristig , Walter Schachermayer , Ludovic Tangpi

We present a simple model of a stock market where a random communication structure between agents gives rise to a heavy tails in the distribution of stock price variations in the form of an exponentially truncated power-law, similar to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-14 Rama Cont , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We introduce solvable stochastic dealer models, which can reproduce basic empirical laws of financial markets such as the power law of price change. Starting from the simplest model that is almost equivalent to a Poisson random noise…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-29 Kenta Yamada , Hideki Takayasu , Takatoshi Ito , Misako Takayasu

We explore various extensions of Challet and Zhang's Minority Game in an attempt to gain insight into the dynamics underlying financial markets. First we consider a heterogeneous population where individual traders employ differing `time…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Neil F. Johnson , Michael Hart , Pak Ming Hui , Dafang Zheng

We consider the problem of option hedging in a market with proportional transaction costs. Since super-replication is very costly in such markets, we replace perfect hedging with an expected loss constraint. Asymptotic analysis for small…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-12 Bruno Bouchard , Ludovic Moreau , Mete H. Soner

While research of reinforcement learning applied to financial markets predominantly concentrates on finding optimal behaviours, it is worth to realize that the reinforcement learning returns $G_t$ and state value functions themselves are of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-21 Colin D. Grab

In this paper we present an interacting-agent model of stock markets. We describe a stock market through an Ising-like model in order to formulate the tendency of traders getting to be influenced by the other traders' investment attitudes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji

A class of conserved models of wealth distributions are studied where wealth (or money) is assumed to be exchanged between a pair of agents in a population like the elastically colliding molecules of a gas exchanging energy. All sorts of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Abhijit Kar Gupta

In our simplified description `wealth' is money ($m$). A kinetic theory of gas like model of money is investigated where two agents interact (trade) selectively and exchange some amount of money between them so that sum of their money is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Abhijit Kar Gupta

Large tick assets, i.e. assets where one tick movement is a significant fraction of the price and bid-ask spread is almost always equal to one tick, display a dynamics in which price changes and spread are strongly coupled. We introduce a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 Gianbiagio Curato , Fabrizio Lillo

Explaining empirically observed wealth and income distributions, featuring power-law tails alongside gamma or log-normal bulk shapes, challenges models that focus on either pairwise competition or individual investment mechanisms. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-19 Yuri Ono , Atsushi Ishida

Econophysics provides a strategy for understanding the potential mechanisms underlying the anomalous distribution of wealth found in real societies. We present a computational nonlinear stochastic model for the distribution of wealth that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Nicola Scafetta , Bruce J. West , Sergio Picozzi

Trading styles can be classified into either trend-following or mean-reverting. If the net trading style is trend-following the traded asset is more likely to move in the same direction it moved previously (the opposite is true if the net…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-20 Lawrence Middleton , James Dodd , Simone Rijavec