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In this paper, new conditions for the stability of V-geometrically ergodic Markov chains are introduced. The results are based on an extension of the standard perturbation theory formulated by Keller and Liverani. The continuity and higher…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-27 Déborah Ferré , Loïc Hervé , James Ledoux

We consider the problem of estimating small ball probabilities $\mathbb P\{f(G) \leqslant \delta \mathbb Ef(G)\}$ for sub-additive,positively homogeneous functions $f$ with respect to the Gaussian measure. We establish estimates that depend…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-29 Grigoris Paouris , Konstantin Tikhomirov , Petros Valettas

This work considers the computation of risk measures for quantities of interest governed by PDEs with Gaussian random field parameters using Taylor approximations. While efficient, Taylor approximations are local to the point of expansion,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-14 Dingcheng Luo , Joshua Chen , Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

This paper applies risk analysis to medical problems, through the properties of nonlinear responses (convex or concave). It shows 1) necessary relations between the nonlinearity of dose-response and the statistical properties of the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-02 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

A methodology is developed to extract $d$ invariant features $W=f(X)$ that predict a response variable $Y$ without being confounded by variables $Z$ that may influence both $X$ and $Y$. The methodology's main ingredient is the penalization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Ian Bounos , Pablo Groisman , Mariela Sued , Esteban Tabak

We take a divide and conquer approach to design controllers for reachability problems given large-scale linear systems with polyhedral constraints on states, controls, and disturbances. Such systems are made of small subsystems with coupled…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-04 Kasra Ghasemi , Sadra Sadraddini , Calin Belta

Several consistency notions are available for a lower prevision P assessed on a set D of gambles (bounded random variables), ranging from the well known coherence to convexity and to the recently introduced 2-coherence and 2-convexity. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Renato Pelessoni , Paolo Vicig

The use of gyrokinetics, wherein phase-space coordinate transformations result in a phase-space dimensionality reduction as well as the removal of fast time scales, has enabled the simulation of microturbulence in fusion devices. The…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2025-09-10 Ronald Remmerswaal , Roman Hatzky , Eric Sonnendrücker

This paper presents a strictly convex chance-constrained stochastic control framework that accounts for uncertainty in control specifications such as reference trajectories and operational constraints. By jointly optimizing control inputs…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-27 Teruki Kato , Ryotaro Shima , Kenji Kashima

Data-driven reachability analysis enables safety verification when first-principles models are unavailable. This requires constructing sets of system models consistent with measured trajectories and noise assumptions. Existing approaches…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Peng Xie , Zhen Zhang , Rolf Findeisen , Amr Alanwar

We study the underdamped Langevin dynamics with invariant measure $\mu(\,\mathrm{d}x\,\mathrm{d}v)\propto \mathrm{e}^{-U(x)-\lvert v\rvert^2/2}\,\mathrm{d}x\,\mathrm{d}v$. Assume that the position marginal $\mu_x(\,\mathrm{d}x)\propto…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Jianfeng Lu

Two key tasks in high-dimensional regularized regression are tuning the regularization strength for accurate predictions and estimating the out-of-sample risk. It is known that the standard approach -- $k$-fold cross-validation -- is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Kevin Luo , Yufan Li , Pragya Sur

Interactions of gauge-invariant systems are severely constrained by several consistency requirements. One is the preservation of the number of gauge symmetries, another is causal propagation. For lower-spin fields, the emphasis is usually…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2013-09-11 Marc Henneaux , Rakibur Rahman

It is a common saying that testing for conditional independence, i.e., testing whether whether two random vectors $X$ and $Y$ are independent, given $Z$, is a hard statistical problem if $Z$ is a continuous random variable (or vector). In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Rajen D. Shah , Jonas Peters

We consider families of strongly consistent multivariate conditional risk measures. We show that under strong consistency these families admit a decomposition into a conditional aggregation function and a univariate conditional risk measure…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-27 Hannes Hoffmann , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Gregor Svindland

There is wide interest in studying how the distribution of a continuous response changes with a predictor. We are motivated by environmental applications in which the predictor is the dose of an exposure and the response is a health…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-10 Antonio Canale , Daniele Durante , David Dunson

We consider an infinite dimensional diffusion on $T^{\mathbb Z^d}$, where $T$ is the circle, defined by an infinitesimal generator of the form $L=\sum_{i\in\mathbb Z^d}\left(\frac{a_i(\eta)}{2}\partial^2_i +b_i(\eta)\partial_i\right)$, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Alejandro F. Ramirez

In this work we analyze the concept of swap-invariance, which is a weaker variant of exchangeability. A random vector $\xi$ in $\mathbb{R}^n$ is called swap-invariant if $\,{\mathbf E}\,\big| \!\sum_j u_j \xi_j \big|\,$ is invariant under…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-06 Felix Nagel

Many machine learning tasks can be formulated as Regularized Empirical Risk Minimization (R-ERM), and solved by optimization algorithms such as gradient descent (GD), stochastic gradient descent (SGD), and stochastic variance reduction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-28 Qi Meng , Yue Wang , Wei Chen , Taifeng Wang , Zhi-Ming Ma , Tie-Yan Liu

We give a sufficient and necessary condition for a probability measure $\mu$ on the real line to satisfy the logarithmic Sobolev inequality for convex functions. The condition is expressed in terms of the unique left-continuous and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Yan Shu , Michał Strzelecki