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Enlargement of filtrations is a classical topic in the general theory of stochastic processes. This theory has been applied to stochastic finance in order to analyze models with insider information. In this paper we study initial…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-25 Dario Gasbarra , José Igor Morlanes , Esko Valkeila

When the unconditioned process is a diffusion process $X(t)$ of drift $\mu(x)$ and of diffusion coefficient $D=1/2$, the local time $A(t)= \int_{0}^{t} d\tau \delta(X(\tau)) $ at the origin $x=0$ is one of the most important time-additive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-08 Alain Mazzolo , Cécile Monthus

Let $W$ be a standard Brownian motion with $W_0 = 0$ and let $b\colon[0,\infty) \to \mathbb{R}$ be a continuous function with $b(0) > 0$. In this article, we look at the classical First Passage Time (FPT) problem, i.e., the question of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-26 Sören Christensen , Oskar Hallmann , Maike Klein

We discuss the equivalence of definitions for conditional Poisson processes, Cox processes, and stochastic intensities of point processes on the real line. We show that Watanabe's characterisation of conditional Poisson processes in terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Dirk Becherer , Thomas Bernhardt , Pavel Gapeev

A Gaussian Cox process is a popular model for point process data, in which the intensity function is a transformation of a Gaussian process. Posterior inference of this intensity function involves an intractable integral (i.e., the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-01 Bingjing Tang , Julia Palacios

Motivated by entropic optimal transport, time reversal of Markov jump processes in $\mathbb{R}^n$ is investigated. Relying on an abstract integration by parts formula for the carr\'e du champ of a Markov process recently obtained by…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-05 Giovanni Conforti , Christian Léonard

Consider a system of interacting particles indexed by the nodes of a graph whose vertices are equipped with marks representing parameters of the model such as the environment or initial data. Each particle takes values in a countable state…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Ankan Ganguly , Kavita Ramanan

Let $Z=(Z_t)_{t\ge0}$ be a regular diffusion process started at $0$, let $\ell$ be an independent random variable with a strictly increasing and continuous distribution function $F$, and let $\tau_{\ell}=\inf\{t\ge0\vert Z_t=\ell\}$ be the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-08 Goran Peskir

In this article, variational state estimation is examined from the dynamic programming perspective. This leads to two different value functional recursions depending on whether backward or forward dynamic programming is employed. The result…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Filip Tronarp

We study the predictable representation property in the progressive enlargement F^\tau of a reference filtration F by a random time \tau. Our approach is based on the decomposition of any random time into two parts, one overlapping…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Antonella Calzolari , Barbara Torti

In this paper we establish some conditional limit theorems for some critical superprocesses $X=\{X_t, t\ge 0\}$. First we identify the rate of non-extinction. Then we show that, for a large class of functions $f$, conditioned on…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-25 Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song , Rui Zhang

A multi-source quickest detection problem is considered. Assume there are two independent Poisson processes $X^{1}$ and $X^{2}$ with disorder times $\theta_{1}$ and $\theta_{2}$, respectively; that is, the intensities of $X^1$ and $X^2$…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Erhan Bayraktar , H. Vincent Poor

For $d\ge1$ and $r>0$, let $X^{(d;r)}(\cdot)$ be a $d$-dimensional Brownian motion with diffusion coefficient $D$, equipped with an exponential clock with rate $r$. When the clock rings, the process jumps to the origin and begins anew. For…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-20 Ross G. Pinsky

We obtain functional central limit theorems for both discrete time expressions of the form $1/\sqrt{N}\sum_{n=1}^{[Nt]}(F(X(q_1(n)),\ldots, X(q_{\ell}(n)))-\bar{F})$ and similar expressions in the continuous time where the sum is replaced…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-26 Yuri Kifer , S. R. S. Varadhan

We study universal features of the hydrodynamization process in heavy-ion collisions using QCD kinetic theory simulations for a wide range of couplings. We introduce the new concept of limiting attractors, which are obtained by…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-06-25 Kirill Boguslavski , Aleksi Kurkela , Tuomas Lappi , Florian Lindenbauer , Jarkko Peuron

In recent years, a number of functional inequalities have been derived for Poisson random measures, with a wide range of applications. In this paper, we prove that such inequalities can be extended to the setting of marked temporal point…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Ian Flint , Nicolas Privault , Giovanni Luca Torrisi

A multi--state life insurance model is naturally described in terms of the intensity matrix of an underlying (time--inhomogeneous) Markov process which describes the dynamics for the states of an insured person. Between and at transitions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Mogens Bladt , Søren Asmussen , Mogens Steffensen

Inspired by a duration-dependent life insurance model, we consider continuous-time semi-Markov jump processes, initially assumed to have a finite state-space. We develop approximations using jump processes that are time-homogeneous Markov,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Martin Bladt , Andreea Minca , Oscar Peralta

We derive closed-form solutions to the optimal stopping problems related to the pricing of perpetual American standard and lookback put and call options in the extensions of the Black-Merton-Scholes model with progressively enlarged…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-08 Pavel V. Gapeev , Libo Li

We propose a novel, tractable latent state inference scheme for Markov jump processes, for which exact inference is often intractable. Our approach is based on an entropic matching framework that can be embedded into the well-known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Yannick Eich , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl