English
Related papers

Related papers: Intensity process and compensator: A new filtratio…

200 papers

We consider the passage time problem for L\'evy processes, emphasising heavy tailed cases. Results are obtained under quite mild assumptions, namely, drift to $-\infty$ a.s. of the process, possibly at a linear rate (the finite mean case),…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-24 Ron Doney , Claudia Klüppelberg , Ross Maller

Temporal point processes are the dominant paradigm for modeling sequences of events happening at irregular intervals. The standard way of learning in such models is by estimating the conditional intensity function. However, parameterizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-24 Oleksandr Shchur , Marin Biloš , Stephan Günnemann

An infinite system of point particles placed in $\mathds{R}^d$ is studied. The particles are of two types; they perform random walks in the course of which those of distinct types repel each other. The interaction of this kind induces an…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-18 Yuri Kozitsky , Michael Röckner

For any two-sided jumping $\alpha$-stable process, where $1 < \alpha < 2$, we find an explicit identity for the law of the first hitting time of the origin. This complements existing work in the symmetric case and the spectrally one-sided…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-11 Alexey Kuznetsov , Andreas E. Kyprianou , Juan Carlos Pardo , Alexander R. Watson

We extend the information-based asset-pricing framework by Brody, Hughston \& Macrina to incorporate a stochastic bankruptcy time for the writer of the asset. Our model introduces a non-defaultable cash flow $Z_T$ to be made at time $T$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-15 Mohammed Louriki

Motivated by a risk process with positive and negative premium rates, we consider a real-valued Markov additive process with finitely many background states. This additive process linearly increases or decreases while the background state…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-21 Masakiyo Miyazawa

Recent advances in extreme value theory have established $\ell$-Pareto processes as the natural limits for extreme events defined in terms of exceedances of a risk functional. Here we provide methods for the practical modelling of data…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-21 Emeric Thibaud , Thomas Opitz

Estimation of the intensity of a point process is considered within a nonparametric framework. The intensity measure is unknown and depends on covariates, possibly many more than the observed number of jumps. Only a single trajectory of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-20 Alessio Sancetta

Let ${Z_n}_{n\ge 0}$ be a random walk with a negative drift and i.i.d. increments with heavy-tailed distribution and let $M=\sup_{n\ge 0}Z_n$ be its supremum. Asmussen & Kl{\"u}ppelberg (1996) considered the behavior of the random walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-09 Søren Asmussen , Sergey Foss

This paper is the first part of a series of papers on filtering for partially observed jump diffusions satisfying a stochastic differential equation driven by Wiener processes and Poisson martingale measures. The coefficients of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-18 Fabian Germ , István Gyöngy

This article considers the average optimality for a continuous-time Markov decision process with Borel state and action spaces and an arbitrarily unbounded nonnegative cost rate. The existence of a deterministic stationary optimal policy is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-03-05 Yi Zhang

We work in the setting of the progressive enlargement $\mathbb G$ of a reference filtration $\mathbb F$ through the observation of a random time $\tau$. We study an integral representation property for some classes of $\mathbb…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Anna Aksamit , Monique Jeanblanc , Marek Rutkowski

We prove a transient fluctuation theorem for the currents for continuous-time Markov jump processes with stationary rates, generalizing an asymptotic result by Andrieux and Gaspard [J. Stat. Phys. 127, 107 (2007)] to finite times. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-10-22 Matteo Polettini , Massimiliano Esposito

A stable-like process is a Feller process $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ taking values in $\mathbb{R}^d$ and whose generator behaves, locally, like an $\alpha$-stable L\'evy process, but the index $\alpha$ and all other characteristics may depend on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-19 V. Knopova , A. Kulik , R. Schilling

At the working heart of policy iteration algorithms commonly used and studied in the discounted setting of reinforcement learning, the policy evaluation step estimates the value of states with samples from a Markov reward process induced by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-04 Falcon Z. Dai , Matthew R. Walter

This paper develops a continuous-time filtering framework for estimating a hazard rate subject to an unobservable change-point. This framework naturally arises in both financial and insurance applications, where the default intensity of a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-12 Matteo Buttarazzi , Claudia Ceci

Filtration, flow in narrow channels and traffic flow are examples of processes subject to blocking when the channel conveying the particles becomes too crowded. If the blockage is temporary, which means that after a finite time the channel…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-01 G. Page , J. Resing , P. Viot , J. Talbot

We consider a strong Markov process with killing and prove an approximation method for the distribution of the process conditioned not to be killed when it is observed. The method is based on a Fleming-Viot type particle system with…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-04 Denis Villemonais

The long time behavior of a couple of interacting asymmetric exclusion processes of opposite velocities is investigated in one space dimension. We do not allow two particles at the same site, and a collision effect (exchange) takes place…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-10 Jozsef Fritz , Balint Toth

Let $\tau_r(x,x_0)$ be the time needed for a point $x$ to enter for the first time in a ball $B_r(x_0)$ centered in $x_0$, with small radius $r$. We construct a class of translations on the two torus having particular arithmetic properties…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-07-14 Stefano Galatolo , Pietro Peterlongo