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This paper introduces a discrete-time fractional Poisson process defined as a renewal process, where the waiting times follow a discrete Mittag-Leffler distribution. We investigate its fundamental properties by explicitly deriving the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Naohiro Yoshida

This paper introduces a new stochastic process with values in the set Z of integers with sign. The increments of process are Poisson differences and the dynamics has an autoregressive structure. We study the properties of the process and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-12 Giulia Carallo , Roberto Casarin , Christian P. Robert

We consider a weighted sum of a series of independent Poisson random variables and show that it results in a new compound Poisson distribution which includes the Poisson distribution and Poisson distribution of order k. An explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-18 Palaniappan Vellaisamy , Tomoyuki Ichiba

Recently noticed ability of restart to reduce the expected completion time of first-passage processes allows appealing opportunities for performance improvement in a variety of settings. However, complex stochastic processes often exhibit…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-02-27 Sergey Belan

Assuming a $q$-variant of the prime $k$-tuple conjecture uniformly, we compute mixed moments of the number of primes in disjoint short intervals and progressions, respectively. This involves estimating the mean of singular series along…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Sun-Kai Leung

The problem is sequence prediction in the following setting. A sequence $x_1,...,x_n,...$ of discrete-valued observations is generated according to some unknown probabilistic law (measure) $\mu$. After observing each outcome, it is required…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-13 Daniil Ryabko

In time series analysis, statistics based on collections of estimators computed from sub-samples play a crucial role in an increasing variety of important applications. Proving results about the joint asymptotic distribution of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-27 Stanislav Volgushev , Xiaofeng Shao

In counting experiments, one can set an upper limit on the rate of a Poisson process based on a count of the number of events observed due to the process. In some experiments, one makes several counts of the number of events, using…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-11-20 Patrick J. Sutton

We consider Markov chains on the space of (countable) partitions of the interval $[0,1]$, obtained first by size biased sampling twice (allowing repetitions) and then merging the parts with probability $\beta_m$ (if the sampled parts are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eddy Mayer-Wolf , Ofer Zeitouni , Martin P. W. Zerner

This paper explores large sample properties of the two-parameter $(\alpha,\theta)$ Poisson--Dirichlet Process in two contexts. In a Bayesian context of estimating an unknown probability measure, viewing this process as a natural extension…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-21 Lancelot F. James

In this paper we deal with the classical problem of random cover times. We investigate the distribution of the time it takes for a Poisson process of cylinders to cover a set $A \subset \mathbb{R}^d.$ This Poisson process of cylinders is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Erik I. Broman , Filipe Mussini

Binary data are highly common in many applications, however it is usually modelled with the assumption that the data are independently and identically distributed. This is typically not the case in many real-world examples and such the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-12 Louise Kimpton , Peter Challenor , Henry Wynn

The theory of sparse stochastic processes offers a broad class of statistical models to study signals. In this framework, signals are represented as realizations of random processes that are solution of linear stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-17 Julien Fageot , Virginie Uhlmann , Michael Unser

We study the asymptotic behavior of short cycles of random permutations with cycle weights. More specifically, on a specially constructed metric space whose elements encode all possible cycles, we consider a point process containing all…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Oleksii Galganov , Andrii Ilienko

We study the distribution of large prime factors of a random element $u$ of arithmetic sequences satisfying simple regularity and equidistribution properties. We show that if such an arithmetic sequence has level of distribution $1$ the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Abhishek Bharadwaj , Brad Rodgers

We develop constructions for exchangeable sequences of point processes that are rendered conditionally-i.i.d. negative binomial processes by a (possibly unknown) random measure called the base measure. Negative binomial processes are useful…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Creighton Heaukulani , Daniel M. Roy

This work investigates the optimal selection of the $m$th last success in a sequence of $n$ independent Bernoulli trials. We propose a threshold strategy that is $\varepsilon$-optimal under minimal assumptions about the monotonicity of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-13 Zakaria Derbazi

We investigate approximation of a Bernoulli partial sum process to the accompanying Poisson process in the non-i.i.d. case. The rate of closeness is studied in terms of the minimal distance in probability.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Pavel S. Ruzankin , Igor S. Borisov

We study a modification of Kendall's tau-test, replacing his permutations of n different numbers by sequences of length n, where repetition is allowed. In particular, binary sequences are included. Random sequences can be tested.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-04 Peter Lindqvist

Changing time of simple continuous-time Markov counting processes by independent unit-rate Poisson processes results in Markov counting processes for which we provide closed-form transition rates via composition of trajectories and with…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Carles Bretó