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This paper deals with the problem of model selection for a general class of integer-valued time series. We propose a penalized criterion based on the Poisson quasi-likelihood of the model. Under certain regularity conditions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-21 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

We consider the classical sequential binary hypothesis testing problem in which there are two hypotheses governed respectively by distributions $P_0$ and $P_1$ and we would like to decide which hypothesis is true using a sequential test. It…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Yonglong Li , Vincent Y. F. Tan

We give a probabilistic introduction to determinantal and permanental point processes. Determinantal processes arise in physics (fermions, eigenvalues of random matrices) and in combinatorics (nonintersecting paths, random spanning trees).…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 J. Ben Hough , Manjunath Krishnapur , Yuval Peres , Bálint Virág

The study of properties of mean functionals of random probability measures is an important area of research in the theory of Bayesian nonparametric statistics. Many results are now known for random Dirichlet means, but little is known,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-24 Lancelot F. James , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

It is shown that a random binary process with impulse-like autocorrelation can be generated by randomizing the length of symbols occurring in a random Bernoulli process. Such randomization is achieved by random (or judiciously designed…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-30 W. J. Szajnowski

In this paper, we consider sequences of polynomials that satisfy differential--difference recurrences. Our interest is motivated by the fact that polynomials satisfying such recurrences frequently appear as generating polynomials of integer…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-05-11 Pawel Hitczenko , Amanda Lohss

A result of Chebyshev (1864) and Hoeffding1956}, on bounding an expectation of a given function with respect to a Bernoulli convolution (also called Poisson binomial law, or law of the number of successes in independent trials) with any…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-14 Lutz Mattner

We study the behavior of the random walk in a continuum independent long-range percolation model, in which two given vertices $x$ and $y$ are connected with probability that asymptotically behaves like $|x-y|^{-\alpha}$ with $\alpha>d$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-30 Ercan Sönmez , Arnaud Rousselle

We present a novel framework for kernel learning with sequential data of any kind, such as time series, sequences of graphs, or strings. Our approach is based on signature features which can be seen as an ordered variant of sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-01 Franz J Király , Harald Oberhauser

Our main goal is to study a class of processes whose increments are generated via a cellular automata rule. Given the increments of a simple biased random walk, a new sequence of (dependent) Bernoulli random variables is produced. It is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-24 Andrea Collevecchio , Kais Hamza , Yunxuan Liu

Filtered Poisson processes are often used as reference models for intermittent fluc- tuations in physical systems. Such a process is here extended by adding a noise term, either as a purely additive term to the process or as a dynamical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-05-04 Audun Theodorsen , Odd Erik Garcia , Martin Rypdal

Recently the so-called Prabhakar generalization of the fractional Poisson counting process attracted much interest for his flexibility to adapt real world situations. In this renewal process the waiting times between events are IID…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-10 Thomas M. Michelitsch , Federico Polito , Alejandro P. Riascos

Feller (1945) provided a coupling between the counts of cycles of various sizes in a uniform random permutation of $[n]$ and the spacings between successes in a sequence of $n$ independent Bernoulli trials with success probability $1/n$ at…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Joseph Najnudel , Jim Pitman

A multivariate fractional Poisson process was recently defined in Beghin and Macci (2016) by considering a common independent random time change for a finite dimensional vector of independent (non-fractional) Poisson processes; moreover it…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-13 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci

Years ago Zeev Rudnick defined the ${\lambda}$-Poisson generic sequences as the infinite sequences of symbols in a finite alphabet where the number of occurrences of long words in the initial segments follow the Poisson distribution with…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-29 Verónica Becher , Gabriel Sac Himelfarb

There are numerous examples of natural and artificial processes that represent stochastic sequences of events followed by an absolute refractory period during which the occurrence of a subsequent event is impossible. In the simplest case of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-24 A. V. Paraskevov , A. S. Minkin

We consider an array of random variables, taking values in a complete and separable metric space, that exhibits a kind of symmetry which we call row exchangeability. Given such an array, a natural model for Bayesian nonparametric inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-10 Evan Donald , Jason Swanson

The Bernoulli sieve is the infinite "balls-in-boxes" occupancy scheme with random frequencies $P_k=W_1...W_{k-1}(1-W_k)$, where $(W_k)_{k\in\mn}$ are independent copies of a random variable $W$ taking values in $(0,1)$. Assuming that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-14 Alexander Iksanov

We consider uniform random permutations of length $n$ conditioned to have no cycle longer than $n^\beta$ with $0<\beta<1$, in the limit of large $n$. Since in unconstrained uniform random permutations most of the indices are in cycles of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Volker Betz , Helge Schäfer , Dirk Zeindler

Convergence results for averages of independent replications of counting processes are established in a $p$-variation setting and under certain assumptions. Such convergence results can be combined with functional differentiability results…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-12 Morten Overgaard