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The observed near-Earth asteroid population contains very few objects with small perihelion distances, say, q<=0.2 au. NEAs that currently have orbits with larger q might be hiding a past evolution during which they have approached closer…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-08-04 Athanasia Toliou , Mikael Granvik , Georgios Tsirvoulis

The object G2 will pass within nearly 100 au from Sgr A* in 2014. Due to its very short periapse, the study of the dynamical evolution of this object in the short-term future may offer some insight into the region surrounding the…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2013-09-25 R. de la Fuente Marcos , C. de la Fuente Marcos

In recent years, nine small near-Earth asteroids were discovered a few hours before the collision with the Earth: these are about one meter in diameter objects that have all disintegrated in the atmosphere, generating bright fireballs…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-22 Albino Carbognani , Marco Fenucci , Raffaele Salerno , Marco Micheli

Near-Earth objects (NEOs) have the potential to cause extensive damage and loss of life on Earth. Advancements in NEO discovery, trajectory prediction, and deflection technology indicate that an impact could be prevented, with sufficient…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-06 C. R. Nugent , K. P. Andersen , James M. Bauer , C. T. Jensen , L. K. Kristiansen , C. P. Hansen , M. M. Nielsen , C. F. Vestergård

We present a framework to conservatively estimate the probability that any particular planet-like transit signal observed by the Kepler mission is in fact a planet, prior to any ground-based follow-up efforts. We use Monte Carlo methods…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-27 Timothy D. Morton , John Asher Johnson

The Mars crossing region constitutes a path to deliver asteroids from the Inner Main Belt to the Earth crossing space. While both the Inner Main Belt and the population of Earth crossing asteroids contains a significant fraction of…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-16 A. O. Ribeiro , F. Roig , M. Cañada-Assandri , J. M. F. Carvano , F. L. Jasmin , A. Alvarez-Candal , R. Gil-Hutton

We present new CCD observations of nine Near-Earth Asteroids carried out between February, 1999 and July, 2000. The bulk of the data was acquired through an R_C filter, while the minor planet 11405 was observed without filter. We could…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-06 Gy. Szabo , B. Csak , K. Sarneczky , L. L. Kiss

Due to the chaotic nature of planetary dynamics, there is a non-zero probability that Mercury's orbit will become unstable in the future. Previous efforts have estimated the probability of this happening between 3 and 5 billion years in the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-01-05 Dorian S. Abbot , Robert J. Webber , Sam Hadden , Darryl Seligman , Jonathan Weare

The asteroid (147857) 2005 UW381 will pass over the supergiant star Betelgeuse on January 2nd 2012. The event is visible on a limited geographical region, and the magnitude drop is only 0.01 magnitudes for a maximum duration of 3.6 seconds.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-12-04 Costantino Sigismondi

Interior to the orbit of Mercury, between 0.07 and 0.21 AU, is a dynamically stable region where a population of asteroids, known as Vulcanoids, may reside. We present the results from our search for Vulcanoids using archival data from the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-01-17 A. J. Steffl , N. J. Cunningham , A. B. Shinn , D. D. Durda , S. A. Stern

We report the direct detection of radiation pressure on the asteroid 2009 BD, one of the smallest multi-opposition near-Earth objects currently known, with H ~ 28.4. Under the purely gravitational model of NEODyS the object is currently…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2011-12-21 Marco Micheli , David J. Tholen , Garrett T. Elliott

The bulk density of an asteroid informs us about its interior structure and composition. To constrain the bulk density one needs an estimate for the mass of the asteroid. The mass is estimated by analyzing an asteroid's gravitational…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-01-15 L. Siltala , M. Granvik

We assess the risk of an Earth impact for asteroid (99942) Apophis by means of a statistical analysis accounting for the uncertainty of both the orbital solution and the Yarkovsky effect. We select those observations with either rigorous…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 D. Farnocchia , S. R. Chesley , P. W. Chodas , M. Micheli , D. J. Tholen , A. Milani , G. T. Elliott , F. Bernardi

The first direct detection of the asteroidal YORP effect, a phenomenon that changes the spin states of small bodies due to thermal reemission of sunlight from their surfaces, was obtained for (54509) YORP 2000 PH5. Such an alteration can…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-16 C. de la Fuente Marcos , R. de la Fuente Marcos

Extrapolation of the astrometric motion of the nearby low-mass star VB 10 indicates that sometime in late December 2011 or during the first 2-3 months of 2012, the star will make a close approach to a background point source. Based on…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-03 Sebastien Lepine , Rosanne DiStefano

Near-Earth asteroid 2024 YR4 was discovered on 2024-12-27 and its probability of Earth impact in December 2032 peaked at about 3% on 2025-02-18. Additional observations ruled out Earth impact by 2025-02-23. However, the probability of lunar…

Hazardous asteroid has been one of the concerns for humankind as fallen asteroid on earth could cost a huge impact on the society.Monitoring these objects could help predict future impact events, but such efforts are hindered by the large…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-05 Thai Duy Quy , Alvin Buana , Josh Lee , Rakha Asyrofi

The orbital evolution of asteroids from the 3:1 and 5:2 resonances with Jupiter under the gravitational influence of planets was investigated both by the Bulirsh-Stoer method and by a symplectic method. The probabilities of collisions of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 S. I. Ipatov

Fifteen orbital clusters (associations) were identified among ~20000 near Earth asteroids (NEAs). All associations were found with a high statistical reliability using a single linkage cluster analysis algorithm and three orbital similarity…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-25 Tadeusz J. Jopek

The DART spacecraft is planned to impact the secondary of the binary asteroid (65803) Didymos in 2022, to assess deflection strategies for planetary defense. The impact will create a crater and release asteroidal material, some of which…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-05 Paul Wiegert