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Nonparametric cointegrating regression models have been extensively used in financial markets, stock prices, heavy traffic, climate data sets, and energy markets. Models with parametric regression functions can be more appealing in practice…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Sepideh Mosaferi , Mark S. Kaiser , Daniel J. Nordman

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

Markov processes are used in a wide range of disciplines, including finance. The transition densities of these processes are often unknown. However, the conditional characteristic functions are more likely to be available, especially for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Song X. Chen , Liang Peng , Cindy L. Yu

We point out that the ideas underlying some test procedures recently proposed for testing post-model-selection (and for some other test problems) in the econometrics literature have been around for quite some time in the statistics…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Hannes Leeb , Benedikt M. Pötscher

Structural change detection problems are often encountered in analytics and econometrics, where the performance of a model can be significantly affected by unforeseen changes in the underlying relationships. Although these problems have a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-29 Pekka Malo , Lauri Viitasaari , Olga Gorskikh , Pauliina Ilmonen

In this paper, a practical estimation method for a regression model is proposed using semiparametric efficient score functions applicable to data with various shapes of errors. First, I derive semiparametric efficient score vectors for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-23 Mijeong Kim

We consider the problem of simultaneous estimation of a sequence of dependent parameters that are generated from a hidden Markov model. Based on observing a noise contaminated vector of observations from such a sequence model, we consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-16 Bowen Gang , Gourab Mukherjee , Wenguang Sun

Markov chain analysis is a key technique in formal verification. A practical obstacle is that all probabilities in Markov models need to be known. However, system quantities such as failure rates or packet loss ratios, etc. are often not --…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Sebastian Junges , Erika Ábrahám , Christian Hensel , Nils Jansen , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Tim Quatmann , Matthias Volk

Multi-type Markov point processes offer a flexible framework for modelling complex multi-type point patterns where it is pertinent to capture both interactions between points as well as large scale trends depending on observed covariates.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-15 Ib Thorsgaard Jensen , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Rasmus Waagepetersen

We propose a method for learning Markov network structures for continuous data without invoking any assumptions about the distribution of the variables. The method makes use of previous work on a non-parametric estimator for mutual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-09 Janne Leppä-aho , Santeri Räisänen , Xiao Yang , Teemu Roos

The modeling and uncertainty quantification of closed curves is an important problem in the field of shape analysis, and can have significant ramifications for subsequent statistical tasks. Many of these tasks involve collections of closed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-15 Hengrui Luo , Justin D. Strait

When considering many survival models, decisions become more challenging in health economic evaluation. In this paper, we present a set of methods to assist with selecting the most appropriate parametric survival models. The methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Ben Lee

Dependability is an umbrella concept that subsumes many key properties about a system, including reliability, maintainability, safety, availability, confidentiality, and integrity. Various dependability modeling techniques have been…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-06-23 Waqar Ahmed , Osman Hasan , Sofiene Tahar

No matter the nature of the response and/or explanatory variables in a regression model, some basic issues such as the existence of an effect of the predictor on the response, or the assessment of a common shape across groups of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-01 María Alonso-Pena , Jose Ameijeiras-Alonso , Rosa M. Crujeiras

Financial spillovers in interconnected systems, such as global banking networks, require tools that capture temporal and frequency dynamics, while incorporating the underlying network topology. While current network time series models are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Cristian F. Jiménez-Varón , Marina I. Knight

We propose a kernel-based nonparametric framework for mean-variance optimization that enables inference on economically motivated shape constraints in finance, including positivity, monotonicity, and convexity. Many central hypotheses in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-26 Rohan Sen

Bayesian nonparametric models offer a flexible and powerful framework for statistical model selection, enabling the adaptation of model complexity to the intricacies of diverse datasets. This survey intends to delve into the significance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Bahman Moraffah

We present an econometric framework that adapts tools for scenario analysis, such as variants of conditional forecasts and generalized impulse responses, for use with dynamic nonparametric models. The proposed algorithms are based on…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-01 Michael Pfarrhofer , Anna Stelzer

An overview of existing nonparametric tests of extreme-value dependence is presented. Given an i.i.d.\ sample of random vectors from a continuous distribution, such tests aim at assessing whether the underlying unknown copula is of the {\em…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-27 Axel Bücher , Ivan Kojadinovic

The problem of testing for the parametric form of the conditional variance is considered in a fully nonparametric regression model. A test statistic based on a weighted $L_2$-distance between the empirical characteristic functions of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-24 Juan Carlos Pardo-Fernandez , M. Dolores Jimenez-Gamero