Related papers: Frequency estimation based on the cumulated Lomb-S…
Stochastic approximation is a powerful class of algorithms with celebrated success. However, a large body of previous analysis focuses on stochastic approximations driven by contractive operators, which is not applicable in some important…
Uncertainty quantification is essential in decision-making, especially when joint distributions of random variables are involved. While conformal prediction provides distribution-free prediction sets with valid coverage guarantees, it…
We address a parametric joint detection-estimation problem for discrete signals of the form $x(t) = \sum_{n=1}^{N} \alpha_n e^{-i \lambda_n t } + \epsilon_t$, $t \in \mathbb{N}$, with an additive noise represented by independent centered…
We consider the problem to estimate the generalized cepstral coefficients of a stationary stochastic process or stationary multidimensional random field. It turns out that a naive version of the periodogram-based estimator for the…
The goal of this paper is to propose a new approach to asymptotic analysis of the finite predictor for stationary sequences. It produces the exact asymptotics of the relative prediction error and the partial correlation coefficients. The…
This paper studies a spectrum estimation method for the case that the samples are obtained at a rate lower than the Nyquist rate. The method is referred to as the correlogram for undersampled data. The algorithm partitions the spectrum into…
We develop a computational procedure to estimate the covariance hyperparameters for semiparametric Gaussian process regression models with additive noise. Namely, the presented method can be used to efficiently estimate the variance of the…
We consider quantile estimation using Markov chain Monte Carlo and establish conditions under which the sampling distribution of the Monte Carlo error is approximately Normal. Further, we investigate techniques to estimate the associated…
We consider the "multi-frequency" periodogram, in which the putative signal is modelled as a sum of two or more sinusoidal harmonics with idependent frequencies. It is useful in the cases when the data may contain several periodic…
The paper considers the problem of estimating the parameters in a continuous time regression model with a non-Gaussian noise of pulse type. The noise is specified by the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by the mixture of a Brownian motion…
The local regularity of functional time series is studied under $L^p-m-$appro\-ximability assumptions. The sample paths are observed with error at possibly random design points. Non-asymptotic concentration bounds of the regularity…
We consider the nonparametric estimation problem of time-dependent multivariate functions observed in a presence of additive cylindrical Gaussian white noise of a small intensity. We derive minimax lower bounds for the $L^2$-risk in the…
We focus on estimating the integrated covariance of log-price processes in the presence of market microstructure noise. We construct an efficient unbiased estimator for the quadratic covariation of two It\^{o} processes in the case where…
We propose localized spectral estimators for the quadratic covariation and the spot covolatility of diffusion processes which are observed discretely with additive observation noise. The eligibility of this approach to lead to an…
This paper examines the problem of estimating the parameters of a bandlimited signal from samples corrupted by random jitter (timing noise) and additive iid Gaussian noise, where the signal lies in the span of a finite basis. For the…
In this brief paper, we present a simple approach to estimate the variance of measurement noise with time-varying 1-D signals. The proposed approach exploits the relationship between the noise variance and the variance of the prediction…
We propose a difference-based nonparametric methodology for the estimation and inference of the time-varying auto-covariance functions of a locally stationary time series when it is contaminated by a complex trend with both abrupt and…
Estimating the coefficients of a noisy polynomial phase signal is important in fields including radar, biology and radio communications. One approach attempts to perform polynomial regression on the phase of the signal. This is complicated…
We consider noisy non-synchronous discrete observations of a continuous semimartingale with random volatility. Functional stable central limit theorems are established under high-frequency asymptotics in three setups: one-dimensional for…
Multiple-frequency periodograms -- based on time series models consisting of two or more independent sinusoids -- have long been discussed. What is new here is the presentation of a practical, simple-to-use computational framework…