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Market confidence is essential for successful investing. By incorporating multi-market into the evolutionary minority game, we investigate the effects of investor beliefs on the evolution of collective behaviors and asset prices. When there…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-18 Li-Xin Zhong , Wen-Juan Xu , Ping Huang , Chen-Yang Zhong , Tian Qiu

It is suggested to consider long term trends of financial markets as a growth phenomenon. The question that is asked is what conditions are needed for a long term sustainable growth or contraction in a financial market? The paper discuss…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Jorgen Vitting Andersen

Recently, a model of opinion formation with kinetic exchanges has been proposed in which a spontaneous symmetry breaking transition was reported [M. Lallouache et al, Phys. Rev. E, {\bf 82} 056112 (2010)]. We generalise the model to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-29 Parongama Sen

We utilize a chartist-fundamentalist model to examine the limits of informationally efficient stock markets. In our model, chartists are permanently active in the stock market, while fundamentalists trade only when their…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-10-29 Laura Gardini , Davide Radi , Noemi Schmitt , Iryna Sushko , Frank Westerhoff

In order to figure out and to forecast the emergence phenomena of social systems, we propose several probabilistic models for the analysis of financial markets, especially around a crisis. We first attempt to visualize the collective…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 Takero Ibuki , Shunsuke Higano , Sei Suzuki , Jun-ichi Inoue , Anirban Chakraborti

Identifying behavior that is relatively invariant under different conditions is a challenging task in far-from-equilibrium complex systems. As an example of how the existence of a semi-invariant signature can be masked by the heterogeneity…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-22 Abhijit Chakraborty , Soumya Easwaran , Sitabhra Sinha

In a standard bifurcation of a dynamical system, the stationary points (or more generally attractors) change qualitatively when varying a control parameter. Here we describe a novel unusual effect, when the change of a parameter, e.g. a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-26 V. I. Yukalov , E. P. Yukalova , D. Sornette

The mesoscopic organization of complex systems, from financial markets to the brain, is an intermediate between the microscopic dynamics of individual units (stocks or neurons, in the mentioned cases), and the macroscopic dynamics of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-17 Assaf Almog , Ferry Besamusca , Mel MacMahon , Diego Garlaschelli

Based on the daily data of American and Chinese stock markets, the dynamic behavior of a financial network with static and dynamic thresholds is investigated. Compared with the static threshold, the dynamic threshold suppresses the large…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-18 Tian Qiu , Bo Zheng , Guang Chen

We study the temporal fluctuations in time-dependent stock prices (both individual and composite) as a stochastic phenomenon using general techniques and methods of nonequilibrium statistical mechanics. In particular, we analyze stock price…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Constantin , S. Das Sarma

Existence of stochastic financial equilibria giving rise to semimartingale asset prices is established under a general class of assumptions. These equilibria are expressed in real terms and span complete markets or markets with withdrawal…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Gordan Zitkovic

The sporadic large fluctuations are seen in the stock market due to changes in fundamental parameters, technical setups, and external factors. These large fluctuations are termed as Extreme Events (EE). The EEs may be positive or negative…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-09 Anish Rai , Salam Rabindrajit Luwang , Md Nurujjaman , Chittaranjan Hens , Pratyay Kuila , Kanish Debnath

We consider a simplified version of the Wealth Game, which is an agent-based financial market model with many interesting features resembling the real stock market. Market makers are not present in the game so that the majority traders are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-09-24 W. Y. Cheung , K. Y. Michael Wong

We reanalyze high resolution data from the New York Stock Exchange and find a monotonic (but not power law) variation of the mean value per trade, the mean number of trades per minute and the mean trading activity with company…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

Large deviations for fat tailed distributions, i.e. those that decay slower than exponential, are not only relatively likely, but they also occur in a rather peculiar way where a finite fraction of the whole sample deviation is concentrated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-03 Mario Filiasi , Giacomo Livan , Matteo Marsili , Maria Peressi , Erik Vesselli , Elia Zarinelli

We propose a power-law $m$-uniform random hypergraph on $n$ vertexes. In this hypergraph, each vertex is independently assigned a random weight from a power-law distribution with exponent $\alpha\in(0,\infty)$ and the hyperedge…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-08-23 Mingao Yuan

We show that models of inflection point inflation exhibit a phase transition from a region in parameter space where they are of large field type to a region where they are of small field type. The phase transition is between a universal…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-06-25 Nissan Itzhaki , Ely D. Kovetz

Stylized facts can be regarded as constraints for any modeling attempt of price dynamics on a financial market, in that an empirically reasonable model has to reproduce these stylized facts at least qualitatively. The dynamics of market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-12 Stefan Reimann , Andreas Tupak

A plethora of natural, artificial and social systems exist which do not belong to the Boltzmann-Gibbs (BG) statistical-mechanical world, based on the standard additive entropy $S_{BG}$ and its associated exponential BG factor. Frequent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-06-29 Constantino Tsallis

Collective behaviours taking place in financial markets reveal strongly correlated states especially during a crisis period. A natural hypothesis is that trend reversals are also driven by mutual influences between the different stock…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 Thomas Bury
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