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We study the effect of long range algebraic correlations on extreme value statistics and demonstrate that correlations can produce a limit distribution which is indistinguishable from the ubiquitous Bramwell-Holdsworth-Pinton distribution.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Kajsa Dahlstedt , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

We use extreme value theory to estimate the probability of successive exceedances of a threshold value of a time-series of an observable on several classes of chaotic dynamical systems. The observables have either a Fr\'echet (fat-tailed)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Meagan Carney , Mark Holland , Matthew Nicol , Phuong Tran

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful tools for solving inverse problems, yet prior work has primarily focused on observations with Gaussian measurement noise, restricting their use in real-world scenarios. This limitation persists due…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-11 Alessandro Micheli , Mélodie Monod , Samir Bhatt

We propose a new class of discrete generalized linear models based on the class of Poisson-Tweedie factorial dispersion models with variance of the form $\mu + \phi\mu^p$, where $\mu$ is the mean, $\phi$ and $p$ are the dispersion and…

Let $X_1$, $X_2$,... be a sequence of independent random variables with common distribution function $F$ in the domain of attraction of a Gumbel extreme value distribution and for each integer $n\geq 1$, let $X_{1,n} \leq ... X_{n,n}$…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-19 Gane Samb Lo

In this paper we introduce a new method to add a parameter to a family of distributions. The additional parameter is completely studied and a full description of its behaviour in the distribution is given. We obtain several mathematical…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-03-10 Wagner Barreto-Souza , Alexandre B. Simas

Suppose Xt is either a regular exponential type Levy process or a Levy process with a bounded variation jumps measure. The distribution of the extrema of Xt play a crucial role in many financial and actuarial problems. This article employs…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-23 Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi , Dan Kucerovsky

Exponential families encompass the distributions central to modern machine learning -- softmax, Gaussians, and Boltzmann distributions -- and underlie the theory of variational inference, entropy-regularized reinforcement learning, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Marc Dymetman

Heterogeneous diffusion with spatially changing diffusion coefficient arises in many experimental systems like protein dynamics in the cell cytoplasm, mobility of cajal bodies and confined hard-sphere fluids. Here, we showcase a simple…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-14 Prashant Singh

We investigate some implications of the freezing scenario proposed by Carpentier and Le Doussal (CLD) for a random energy model (REM) with logarithmically correlated random potential. We introduce a particular (circular) variant of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Yan V Fyodorov , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Rayleigh-Levy flights have played a significant role in cosmology as simplified models for understanding how matter distributes itself under gravitational influence. These models also exhibit numerous remarkable properties that enable the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-27 Francis Bernardeau , Christophe Pichon

Classical methods for quantile regression fail in cases where the quantile of interest is extreme and only few or no training data points exceed it. Asymptotic results from extreme value theory can be used to extrapolate beyond the range of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-23 Nicola Gnecco , Edossa Merga Terefe , Sebastian Engelke

In this paper, we focus on statistical region-based active contour models where image features (e.g. intensity) are random variables whose distribution belongs to some parametric family (e.g. exponential) rather than confining ourselves to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2008-05-22 François Lecellier , Stéphanie Jehan-Besson , Jalal Fadili , Gilles Aubert , Marinette Revenu

The low temperature physics of disordered systems is governed by the statistics of extremely low energy states. It is thus rather important to discuss the possible universality classes for extreme value statistics. We compare the usual…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-30 J. P. Bouchaud , M. Mezard

To account quantitatively for many reported ``natural'' fat tail distributions in Nature and Economy, we propose the stretched exponential family as a complement to the often used power law distributions. It has many advantages, among which…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Jean Laherrère , D. Sornette

A discrete version of the Gumbel (Type I) extreme value distribution has been derived by using the general approach of discretization of a continuous distribution. Important distributional and reliability properties have been explored. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-29 Subrata Chakraborty , Dhrubajyoti Chakravarty

Preferential attachment is an appealing edge generating mechanism for modeling social networks. It provides both an intuitive description of network growth and an explanation for the observed power laws in degree distributions. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-21 Phyllis Wan , Tiandong Wang , Richard A. Davis , Sidney I. Resnick

The univariate extreme value theory deals with the convergence in type of powers of elements of sequences of cumulative distribution functions on the real line when the power index gets infinite. In terms of convergence of random variables,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-04 Gane Samb Lo , Modou Ngom , Tchilabola Abozou Kpanzou , Mouminou Diallo

We consider the evolution of a family of 2D dispersive turbulence models. The members of this family involve the nonlinear advection of a dynamically active scalar field, the locality of the streamfunction-scalar relation is denoted by…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2009-02-20 Jai Sukhatme , Leslie M. Smith

The Generalized Mallows Model (GMM) is a well known family of models for ranking data. A GMM is a distribution over $\mathbb{S}_n$, the set of permutations of n objects, characterized by a location parameter $\sigma \in \mathbb{S}_n$, known…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Marina Meilă