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Most of the grand challenges of humanity today involve complex agent-based systems, such as epidemiology, economics or ecology. However, remains as a pending task the challenge of identifying the general principles underlying their…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-19 Martin Jaraiz

We study a setting where Bayesian agents with a common prior have private information related to an event's outcome and sequentially make public announcements relating to their information. Our main result shows that when agents' private…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Yuqing Kong , Grant Schoenebeck

Consider a rectangular matrix describing some type of communication or transportation between a set of origins and a set of destinations, or a classification of objects by two attributes. The problem is to infer the entries of the matrix…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-10-05 Kostas N. Oikonomou

We investigate how to model the beliefs of an agent who becomes more aware. We use the framework of Halpern and Rego (2013) by adding probability, and define a notion of a model transition that describes constraints on how, if an agent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Joseph Y. Halpern , Evan Piermont

It is common in recommendation systems that users both consume and produce information as they make strategic choices under uncertainty. While a social planner would balance "exploration" and "exploitation" using a multi-armed bandit…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-02-20 Nicole Immorlica , Jieming Mao , Aleksandrs Slivkins , Zhiwei Steven Wu

The Maximum Entropy Method (MEM) is a popular data analysis technique based on Bayesian inference, which has found various applications in the research literature. While the MEM itself is well-grounded in statistics, I argue that its…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-11-03 Alexander Rothkopf

Many social sciences such as psychology and economics try to learn the behaviour of complex agents such as humans, organisations and countries. The current statistical methods used for learning this behaviour try to infer generally valid…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-08 Benedikt T. Kleppmann

As artificial agents become increasingly capable, what internal structure is *necessary* for an agent to act competently under uncertainty? Classical results show that optimal control can be *implemented* using belief states or world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Aran Nayebi

Parallel data collection has redefined Reinforcement Learning (RL), unlocking unprecedented efficiency and powering breakthroughs in large-scale real-world applications. In this paradigm, $N$ identical agents operate in $N$ replicas of an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Vincenzo De Paola , Riccardo Zamboni , Mirco Mutti , Marcello Restelli

An information cascade is a circumstance where agents make decisions in a sequential fashion by following other agents. Bikhchandani et al., predict that once a cascade starts it continues, even if it is wrong, until agents receive an…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-11-02 Sriashalya Srivathsan , Stephen Cranefield , Jeremy Pitt

We consider a simple and altruistic multiagent system in which the agents are eager to perform a collective task but where their real engagement depends on the willingness to perform the task of other influential agents. We model this…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-03-10 Xavier Molinero , Fabián Riquelme , Maria Serna

Pimentel et al. (2020) recently analysed probing from an information-theoretic perspective. They argue that probing should be seen as approximating a mutual information. This led to the rather unintuitive conclusion that representations…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-10 Tiago Pimentel , Ryan Cotterell

We discuss a characterization of complexity based on successive approximations of the probability density describing a system by means of maximum entropy methods, thereby quantifying the respective role played by different orders of…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2014-08-05 Gregor Chliamovitch , Bastien Chopard , Lino Velasquez

We investigate opinion dynamics in multi-agent networks when a bias toward one of two possible opinions exists; for example, reflecting a status quo vs a superior alternative. Starting with all agents sharing an initial opinion representing…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Aris Anagnostopoulos , Luca Becchetti , Emilio Cruciani , Francesco Pasquale , Sara Rizzo

Unlike reinforcement learning (RL) agents, humans remain capable multitaskers in changing environments. In spite of only experiencing the world through their own observations and interactions, people know how to balance focusing on tasks…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Rishav Bhagat , Jonathan Balloch , Zhiyu Lin , Julia Kim , Mark Riedl

Despite broad interest in self-organizing systems, there are few quantitative, experimentally-applicable criteria for self-organization. The existing criteria all give counter-intuitive results for important cases. In this Letter, we…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2011-11-10 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Kristina Lisa Shalizi , Robert Haslinger

A neural network with a learning algorithm optimized by information theory entropic dynamics is used to build an agent dubbed Homo Entropicus. The algorithm can be described at a macroscopic level in terms of aggregate variables…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-20 Felippe Alves , Nestor Caticha

This paper proposes a simple model to capture the complexity of multi-layer systems where their constituent layers affect, are affected by, each other. The physical layer is a circuit composed by a power source and resistors in parallel.…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2016-02-09 Florian Kühnlenz , Pedro H. J. Nardelli

Maximum entropy method is a constructive criterion for setting up a probability distribution maximally non-committal to missing information on the basis of partial knowledge, usually stated as constrains on expectation values of some…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-20 Jorge Fernandez-de-Cossio , Jorge Fernandez-de-Cossio Diaz

We consider open multi-agent systems. Unlike the systems usually studied in the literature, here agents may join or leave while the process studied takes place. The system composition and size evolve thus with time. We focus here on systems…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2017-09-18 Julien M. Hendrickx , Samuel Martin