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We present a new framework for analysing the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm. Drawing on recent advances in the theory of gradient flows over Euclidean-Wasserstein spaces, we extend techniques from alternating minimization in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-21 Rocco Caprio , Adam M Johansen

We propose a method for obtaining maximum likelihood estimates in a model with continuous and binary outcomes. Combinations of left and right censored observations are also naturally modeled in this framework. The model and estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-07 Klaus K. Holst , Esben Budtz-Jørgensen , Gitte Moos Knudsen

Predictive models in ML need to be trustworthy and reliable, which often at the very least means outputting calibrated probabilities. This can be particularly difficult to guarantee in the online prediction setting when the outcome sequence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Princewill Okoroafor , Robert Kleinberg , Wen Sun

We show how the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm can be applied exactly for the fitting of mixtures of general multivariate skew t (MST) distributions, eliminating the need for computationally expensive Monte Carlo estimation. Finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-06 S. X. Lee , G. J. McLachlan

In this paper, we establish a robustification of an on-line algorithm for modelling asset prices within a hidden Markov model (HMM). In this HMM framework, parameters of the model are guided by a Markov chain in discrete time, parameters of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-09 Christina Erlwein , Peter Ruckdeschel

This paper studies the problem of recursively estimating the weighted adjacency matrix of a network out of a temporal sequence of binary-valued observations. The observation sequence is generated from nonlinear networked dynamics in which…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-06 Yu Xing , Xingkang He , Haitao Fang , Karl Henrik Johansson

We propose a novel distributed expectation maximization (EM) method for non-cooperative RF device localization using a wireless sensor network. We consider the scenario where few or no sensors receive line-of-sight signals from the target.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-08-15 Wenjie Xu , Francois Quitin , Mei Leng , Wee Peng Tay , Sirajudeen G. Razul

This paper considers a joint multi-graph inference and clustering problem for simultaneous inference of node centrality and association of graph signals with their graphs. We study a mixture model of filtered low pass graph signals with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-15 Yiran He , Hoi-To Wai

In this article, we introduce an adaptive online model update algorithm designed for predictive control applications in networked systems, particularly focusing on power distribution systems. Unlike traditional methods that depend on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-18 Vivek Khatana , Chin-Yao Chang , Wenbo Wang

A stochastic hybrid system, also known as a switching diffusion, is a continuous-time Markov process with state space consisting of discrete and continuous parts. We consider parametric estimation of theQmatrix for the discrete state…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-14 Masaaki Fukasawa

We study the convergence behavior of the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm on Gaussian mixture models with an arbitrary number of mixture components and mixing weights. We show that as long as the means of the components are separated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-10 Ruofei Zhao , Yuanzhi Li , Yuekai Sun

Estimating the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between random variables is a fundamental problem in statistical analysis. For continuous random variables, traditional information-theoretic estimators scale poorly with dimension and/or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Mikil Foss , Andrew Lamperski

In this paper, we consider the adaptive Eulerian--Lagrangian method (ELM) for linear convection-diffusion problems. Unlike the classical a posteriori error estimations, we estimate the temporal error along the characteristics and derive a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-09-07 Xiaozhe Hu , Young-Ju Lee , Jinchao Xu , Chensong Zhang

A weighted likelihood technique for robust estimation of a multivariate Wrapped Normal distribution for data points scattered on a p-dimensional torus is proposed. The occurrence of outliers in the sample at hand can badly compromise…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-01 Giovanni Saraceno , Claudio Agostinelli , Luca Greco

This paper addresses the problem of distributed detection in fixed and switching networks. A network of agents observe partially informative signals about the unknown state of the world. Hence, they collaborate with each other to identify…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-01-01 Shahin Shahrampour , Alexander Rakhlin , Ali Jadbabaie

Latent variable models (LVMs) with discrete compositional latents are an important but challenging setting due to a combinatorially large number of possible configurations of the latents. A key tradeoff in modeling the posteriors over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Edward J. Hu , Nikolay Malkin , Moksh Jain , Katie Everett , Alexandros Graikos , Yoshua Bengio

The Poisson log-normal model is a latent variable model that provides a generic framework for the analysis of multivariate count data. Inferring its parameters can be a daunting task since the conditional distribution of the latent…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Julien Stoehr , Stephane S. Robin

Equalisation Maximisation (EqM) is an algorithm for estimating parameters in auto-regressive (AR) models where some fraction of the data is missing. It has previously been shown that the EqM algorithm is a competitive alternative to…

Computation · Statistics 2013-08-22 Johan Dahlin , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

We develop a divergence-minimization (DM) framework for robust and efficient inference in latent-mixture models. By optimizing a residual-adjusted divergence, the DM approach recovers EM as a special case and yields robust alternatives…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Lei Li , Anand N. Vidyashankar

We propose a general algorithm for approximating nonstandard Bayesian posterior distributions. The algorithm minimizes the Kullback-Leibler divergence of an approximating distribution to the intractable posterior distribution. Our method…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-29 Tim Salimans , David A. Knowles
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