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Modern statistical analysis often encounters datasets with large sizes. For these datasets, conventional estimation methods can hardly be used immediately because practitioners often suffer from limited computational resources. In most…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-14 Shuyuan Wu , Xuening Zhu , Hansheng Wang

We propose a new estimation procedure of the conditional density for independent and identically distributed data. Our procedure aims at using the data to select a function among arbitrary (at most countable) collections of candidates. By…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Mathieu Sart

Probability density estimation from observed data constitutes a central task in statistics. In this brief, we focus on the problem of estimating the copula density associated to any observed data, as it fully describes the dependence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Nunzio A. Letizia , Nicola Novello , Andrea M. Tonello

Calculating one-body density profiles in equilibrium via particle-based simulation methods involves counting of events of particle occurrences at (histogram-resolved) space points. Here we investigate an alternative method based on a…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2018-11-07 Daniel de las Heras , Matthias Schmidt

In many applications, data cluster. Failing to take the cluster structure into consideration generally leads to underestimated variances of point estimators and inflated type I errors in hypothesis tests. Many circumstance-dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Jiahua Chen , Pengfei Li , Yukun Liu , James V. Zidek

It is often not possible to construct a probability density function that describes the data. This can happen if there is no analytic description, and the number of parameters is too large so that it is impossible to simulate and tabulate…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2013-11-28 Dmitry Chirkin

Accurate calibration of probabilistic predictive models learned is critical for many practical prediction and decision-making tasks. There are two main categories of methods for building calibrated classifiers. One approach is to develop…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-16 Mahdi Pakdaman Naeini , Gregory F. Cooper , Milos Hauskrecht

The purpose of this paper is to estimate the intensity of some random measure by a piecewise constant function on a finite partition of the underlying measurable space. Given a (possibly large) family of candidate partitions, we build a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yannick Baraud , Lucien Birgé

The probability density function of a probability distribution is a fundamental concept in probability theory and a key ingredient in various widely used machine learning methods. However, the necessary framework for compiling probabilistic…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2019-03-14 Sooraj Bhat , Johannes Borgström , Andrew D. Gordon , Claudio Russo

Random processes play a crucial role in scientific research, often characterized by distribution functions or probability density functions (PDFs). These PDFs serve as essential approximations of the actual and frequently undisclosed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-06 Nico Schick

In many cosmological inference problems, the likelihood (the probability of the observed data as a function of the unknown parameters) is unknown or intractable. This necessitates approximations and assumptions, which can lead to incorrect…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-02 Niall Jeffrey , Justin Alsing , François Lanusse

Consider a density $f$ on $[0,1]$ that must be estimated from an i.i.d. sample $X_1,...,X_n$ drawn from $f$. In this note, we study binary-tree-based histogram estimates that use recursive splitting of intervals. If the decision to split an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Luc Devroye , Jad Hamdan

This paper describes a recursive estimation procedure for multivariate binary densities (probability distributions of vectors of Bernoulli random variables) using orthogonal expansions. For $d$ covariates, there are $2^d$ basis coefficients…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-03 Maxim Raginsky , Jorge Silva , Svetlana Lazebnik , Rebecca Willett

Given a sample of independent and identically distributed random variables, a novel nonparametric maximum entropy method is presented to estimate the underlying continuous univariate probability density function (pdf). Estimates are found…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 Jenny Farmer , Donald J. Jacobs

This paper presents a quantitative user study to evaluate how well users can visually perceive the underlying data distribution from a histogram representation. We used different sample and bin sizes and four different distributions…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Raphael Sahann , Torsten Möller , Johanna Schmidt

Probabilistic programming systems generally compute with probability density functions, leaving the base measure of each such function implicit. This mostly works, but creates problems when densities with respect to different base measures…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Alexey Radul , Boris Alexeev

A density matrix describes the statistical state of a quantum system. It is a powerful formalism to represent both the quantum and classical uncertainty of quantum systems and to express different statistical operations such as measurement,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Fabio A. González , Alejandro Gallego , Santiago Toledo-Cortés , Vladimir Vargas-Calderón

In Bayesian hypothesis testing, evidence for a statistical model is quantified by the Bayes factor, which represents the relative likelihood of observed data under that model compared to another competing model. In general, computing Bayes…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-07 Thomas J. Faulkenberry

Likelihood-free methods perform parameter inference in stochastic simulator models where evaluating the likelihood is intractable but sampling synthetic data is possible. One class of methods for this likelihood-free problem uses a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-21 Conor Durkan , Iain Murray , George Papamakarios

Estimating the probability distribution 'q' governing the behaviour of a certain variable by sampling its value a finite number of times most typically involves an error. Successive measurements allow the construction of a histogram, or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Ines Samengo