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The aim of this paper is to propose a heterogeneous agent model of stock markets that develop complicated endogenous price fluctuations. We find occurrences of non-stationary chaos, or speculative bubble, are caused by the heterogeneity of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji

This article proposes a fundamental methodological shift in the modelling of policy interventions for sustainability transitions in order to account for complexity (e.g. self-reinforcing mechanism arising from multi-agent interactions) and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-23 J. -F. Mercure , H. Pollitt , A. M. Bassi , J. E Viñuales , N. R. Edwards

This paper explores the utility of agent-based simulations in realistically modelling market structures and sheds light on the nuances of optimal dealer strategies. It underscores the contrast between conclusions drawn from probabilistic…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-12 Wladimir Ostrovsky

Securities markets are quintessential complex adaptive systems in which heterogeneous agents compete in an attempt to maximize returns. Species of trading agents are also subject to evolutionary pressure as entire classes of strategies…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-12-23 David Rushing Dewhurst , Yi Li , Alexander Bogdan , Jasmine Geng

Using a semi-structural approach, the paper identifies how heterogeneity and financial frictions affect the transmission of aggregate shocks. Approximating a heterogeneous agent model around the representative agent allocation can…

General Economics · Economics 2020-07-29 Andreas Tryphonides

We review some statistical many-agent models of economic and social systems inspired by microscopic molecular models and discuss their stochastic interpretation. We apply these models to wealth exchange in economics and study how the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-03-19 Marco Patriarca , Anirban Chakraborti , Els Heinsalu , Guido Germano

Wealth inequality is an important matter for economic theory and policy. Ongoing debates have been discussing recent rise in wealth inequality in connection with recent development of active financial markets around the world. Existing…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-27 Yuri Biondi , Stefano Olla

A simple computer simulation model of a closed market on a fixed network with free flow of goods and money is introduced. The model contains only two variables : the amount of goods and money beside the size of the system. An initially flat…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2012-09-25 Marcel Ausloos , Andrzej Pekalski

We propose a model of multiagent systems whose agents have a tendency to balance their decisions in time. We find phase transitions to oscillatory behavior, explainable by the aggregation of agents into two groups. On a longer time scale,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 C. H. Yeung , K. Y. Michael Wong

We present an agent-based model of microscopic wealth exchange in a dynamic network to study the topological features associated with economic inequality. The model evolves through two alternating processes, the conservative exchange of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-30 Gustavo Kohlrausch , Sebastián Gonçalves

We discuss recent work in the study of a simple model for the collective behaviour of diverse speculative agents in an idealized stockmarket, considered from the perspective of the statistical physics of many-body systems. The only…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 J. P. Garrahan , E. Moro , D. Sherrington

We present an agent based model of a single asset financial market that is capable of replicating several non-trivial statistical properties observed in real financial markets, generically referred to as stylized facts. While previous…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-12 Roberto Mota Navarro , Hernán Larralde Ridaura

This work suggests modifications to a previously introduced class of heterogeneous agent models that allow for the inclusion of different types of agent motivations and behaviours in a unified way. The agents operate within a highly…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 H. Lamba , T. Seaman

Empirical distributions of wealth and income can be reproduced using simplified agent-based models of economic interactions, analogous to microscopic collisions of gas particles. Building upon these models of freely interacting agents, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-10 Lennart Fernandes , Jacques Tempere

An explicit formula is derived for the value of weak information in a discrete time model that works for a wide range of utility functions including the logarithmic and power utility. We assume a complete market with a finite number of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-29 Ayelet Amiran , Fabrice Baudoin , Skylyn Brock , Berend Coster , Ryan Craver , Ugonna Ezeaka , Phanuel Mariano , Mary Wishart

Consider an insurance company exposed to a stochastic economic environment that contains two kinds of risk. The first kind is the insurance risk caused by traditional insurance claims, and the second kind is the financial risk resulting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Jinzhu Li , Qihe Tang

We consider a financial market model which consists of a financial asset and a large number of interacting agents classified into many types. Different types of agents are heterogeneous in their price expectations. Each agent can change its…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Biao Wu

In this paper I present several algorithmic techniques for improving the decision process of multiple types of agents behaving in environments where their interests are in conflict. The interactions between the agents are modelled by using…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2009-08-04 Mugurel Ionut Andreica

In complex financial systems, the sector structure and volatility clustering are respectively important features of the spatial and temporal correlations. However, the microscopic generation mechanism of the sector structure is not yet…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-09 Jun-Jie Chen , Lei Tan , Bo Zheng

In light of the growing interest in agent-based market models, we bring together several earlier works in which we considered the topic of self-consistent market modelling. Building upon the binary game structure of Challet and Zhang, we…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 Paul Jefferies , Neil F. Johnson