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The present paper provides a multi-period contagion model in the credit risk field. Our model is an extension of Davis and Lo's infectious default model. We consider an economy of n firms which may default directly or may be infected by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-01 Didier Rullière , Diana Dorobantu , Areski Cousin

We study a credit risk model which captures effects of economic interactions on a firm's default probability. Economic interactions are represented as a functionally defined graph, and the existence of both cooperative, and competitive,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 J. P. L. Hatchett , R. Kuehn

According to theoretical models of valuing risky corporate securities, risk of default is primary component in overall yield spread. However, sizable empirical literature considers it otherwise by giving more importance to non-default risk…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-15 Syed Muhammad Noaman Ahmed Shah , Mazen Kebewar

Valuation and parity formulas for both European-style and American-style exchange options are presented in a general financial model allowing for jumps, possibility of default and "bubbles" in asset prices. The formulas are given via…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-02 Constantinos Kardaras

The cross-correlations between the exchange rate fluctuations of 74 currencies over the period 1995-2012 are analyzed in this paper. The eigenvalue distribution of the cross-correlation matrix exhibits a bulk which approximately matches the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-02 Sitabhra Sinha , Uday Kovur

In this paper we propose a copula contagion mixture model for correlated default times. The model includes the well known factor, copula, and contagion models as its special cases. The key advantage of such a model is that we can study the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-21 Harry Zheng

We introduce an innovative theoretical framework to model derivative transactions between defaultable entities based on the principle of arbitrage freedom. Our framework extends the traditional formulations based on Credit and Debit…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-08 Claudio Albanese , Damiano Brigo , Frank Oertel

In [1] Zawadoski introduces a banking network model in which the asset and counter-party risks are treated separately and the banks hedge their assets risks by appropriate OTC contracts. In his model, each bank has only two counter-party…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-20 Bhaskar DasGupta , Lakshmi Kaligounder

We propose a unified framework for equity and credit risk modeling, where the default time is a doubly stochastic random time with intensity driven by an underlying affine factor process. This approach allows for flexible interactions…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-19 Claudio Fontana , Juan Miguel A. Montes

Based on the work of Suzuki (2002), we consider a generalization of Merton's asset valuation approach (Merton, 1974) in which two firms are linked by cross-ownership of equity and liabilities. Suzuki's results then provide no arbitrage…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-30 Sabine Karl , Tom Fischer

This paper studies the consequences of capturing non-linear dependence among the covariates that drive the default of different obligors and the overall riskiness of their credit portfolio. Joint default modeling is, without loss of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Margherita Doria , Elisa Luciano , Patrizia Semeraro

There are many studies on development of models for analyzing some derivatives such as credit default swaps .

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-20 Zahra Sokoot , Navideh Modarresi , Farzaneh Niknejad

This paper explores the capabilities of the Constant Elasticity of Variance model driven by a mixed-fractional Brownian motion (mfCEV) [Axel A. Araneda. The fractional and mixed-fractional CEV model. Journal of Computational and Applied…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-15 Axel A. Araneda

We consider insurance derivatives depending on an external physical risk process, for example a temperature in a low dimensional climate model. We assume that this process is correlated with a tradable financial asset. We derive optimal…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Stefan Ankirchner , Peter Imkeller , Alexandre Popier

In our model, private actors with interbank cash flows similar to, but nore general than (Carmona, Fouque, Sun, 2013) borrow from the outside economy at a certain interest rate, controlled by the central bank, and invest in risky assets.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-09 Aditya Maheshwari , Andrey Sarantsev

The paper reviews origins of the approach to pricing derivatives post-crisis by following three papers that have received wide acceptance from practitioners as the theoretical foundations for it - [Piterbarg 2010], [Burgard and Kjaer 2010]…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-27 Hovik Tumasyan

In the late 90's, after severe financial and economic crisis, accompanied by inflation and exchange rate instability, Eastern Europe emerged into two groups of countries with radically contrasting monetary regimes (Currency Boards and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-26 Muhammad Khan , Mazen Kebewar , Nikolay Nenovsky

We propose a unified structural credit risk model incorporating both insolvency and illiquidity risks, in order to investigate how a firm's default probability depends on the liquidity risk associated with its financing structure. We assume…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-01 Gechun Liang , Eva Lütkebohmert , Wei Wei

Understanding the stochastic behavior of currency exchange rates is critical for assessing financial stability and anticipating market transitions. In this study, we investigate the empirical dynamics of the USD exchange rate in three…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-04 Yazdan Babazadeh Maghsoodlo , Amin Safaeesirat

The aim of this paper is to dig deeper into understanding the exchange rates and uncertainty dependence. Using the novel Baker et al. (2020)'s daily Twitter Uncertainty Index and BRICS exchange rates, we investigate their extreme tail…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-10 Nourhaine Nefzi , Abir Abid