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Linear models are foundational tools in statistics and ubiquitous across the applied sciences. However, conventional statistical inference -- such as $t$-tests and $F$-tests -- are only valid at fixed sample sizes, making them unsuitable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Michael Lindon , Dae Woong Ham , Martin Tingley , Iavor Bojinov

The problem of linear predictions has been extensively studied for the past century under pretty generalized frameworks. Recent advances in the robust statistics literature allow us to analyze robust versions of classical linear models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-15 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Debolina Paul , Swagatam Das

We study how to identify a class of continuous-time nonlinear systems defined by an ordinary differential equation affine in the unknown parameter. We define a notion of asymptotic consistency as $(n, h) \to (\infty, 0)$, and we achieve it…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-09 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

We study the asymptotic properties of the trajectories of a discrete-time random dynamical system in an infinite-dimensional Hilbert space. Under some natural assumptions on the model, we establish a multiplica-tive ergodic theorem with an…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Davit Martirosyan , Vahagn Nersesyan

We give the first polynomial-time algorithm for performing linear or polynomial regression resilient to adversarial corruptions in both examples and labels. Given a sufficiently large (polynomial-size) training set drawn i.i.d. from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-05 Adam Klivans , Pravesh K. Kothari , Raghu Meka

The paper proposes, an algorithm to produce novel m-point (for any integer m>=2) binary non-stationary subdivision scheme. It has been developed using uniform trigonometric B-spline basis functions and smoothness is being analyzed using the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-02-06 Shahid S. Siddiqi , Muhammad Younis

In this paper we introduce the class of stationary prediction strategies and construct a prediction algorithm that asymptotically performs as well as the best continuous stationary strategy. We make mild compactness assumptions but no…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Vladimir Vovk

In this paper we consider a regression model that allows for time series covariates as well as heteroscedasticity with a regression function that is modelled nonparametrically. We assume that the regression function changes at some unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Maria Mohr , Leonie Selk

Estimation problems with constrained parameter spaces arise in various settings. In many of these problems, the observations available to the statistician can be modelled as arising from the noisy realization of the image of a random linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Reese Pathak , Martin J. Wainwright , Lin Xiao

We propose an optimal-transport-based matching method to nonparametrically estimate linear models with independent latent variables. The method consists in generating pseudo-observations from the latent variables, so that the Euclidean…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-01-01 Manuel Arellano , Stephane Bonhomme

This paper analyzes the ergodic hypothesis in the context of Boltzmann's late work in statistical mechanics, where Boltzmann lays the foundations for what is today known as the typicality account. I argue that, based on the concepts of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-07-13 Paula Reichert

Non-stationarity poses significant challenges for multivariate time series forecasting due to the inherent short-term fluctuations and long-term trends that can lead to spurious regressions or obscure essential long-term relationships. Most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Peiyuan Liu , Beiliang Wu , Yifan Hu , Naiqi Li , Tao Dai , Jigang Bao , Shu-tao Xia

We study the problem of parameters estimation in Indirect Observability contexts, where $X_t \in R^r$ is an unobservable stationary process parametrized by a vector of unknown parameters and all observable data are generated by an…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Robert Azencott , Peng Ren , Ilya Timofeyev

We prove long variational estimates for the bilinear ergodic averages \[ A_{N;X}(f,g)(x) = \frac{1}{N} \sum_{n=1}^N f(T^{\lfloor \sqrt{n} \rfloor}x) g(T^nx) \] on an arbitrary measure preserving system $(X,\mu,T)$ for the full expected…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-11-13 Maximilian O'Keeffe

Monotonicity is a key qualitative prediction of a wide array of economic models derived via robust comparative statics. It is therefore important to design effective and practical econometric methods for testing this prediction in empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-10 Denis Chetverikov

We formulate nonparametric and semiparametric hypothesis testing of multivariate stationary linear time series in a unified fashion and propose new test statistics based on estimators of the spectral density matrix. The limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-03 Yoshihiro Yajima , Yasumasa Matsuda

We propose novel parameter estimation algorithms for a class of dynamical systems with nonlinear parametrization. The class is initially restricted to smooth monotonic functions with respect to a linear functional of the parameters. We show…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ivan Tyukin , Danil Prokhorov , Cees van Leeuwen

We discuss a class of difference-based estimators for the autocovariance in nonparametric regression when the signal is discontinuous (change-point regression), possibly highly fluctuating, and the errors form a stationary $m$-dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-09 Inder Tecuapetla-Gómez , Axel Munk

Strict stationarity is a common assumption used in the time series literature in order to derive asymptotic distributional results for second-order statistics, like sample autocovariances and sample autocorrelations. Focusing on weak…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Yunyi Zhang , Efstathios Paparoditis , Dimitris N. Politis

The problem of prediction consists in forecasting the conditional distribution of the next outcome given the past. Assume that the source generating the data is such that there is a stationary ergodic predictor whose error converges to zero…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-09-28 Daniil Ryabko , Boris Ryabko