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We discuss how maximum entropy methods may be applied to the reconstruction of Markov processes underlying empirical time series and compare this approach to usual frequency sampling. It is shown that, at least in low dimension, there…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-23 Gregor Chliamovitch , Alexandre Dupuis , Bastien Chopard , Anton Golub

Stochastic reaction networks are mathematical models frequently used in, but not limited to, biochemistry. These models are continuous-time Markov chains whose transition rates depend on certain parameters called rate constants, which…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-14 Daniele Cappelletti , Aidan Howells , Chuang Xu

Through a straightforward Bayesian approach we show that under some general conditions a maximum running time, namely the number of discrete steps performed by a computer program during its execution, can be defined such that the…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Germano D'Abramo

This article introduces the novel framework of max-algebraic hybrid automata as a hybrid modelling language in the max-plus algebra. We show that the modelling framework unifies and extends the switching max-plus linear systems framework…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-22 A. Gupta , B. De Schutter , J. van der Woude , T. van den Boom

We present a stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) framework for linear systems subject to possibly unbounded disturbances. State of the art SMPC approaches with closed-loop chance constraint satisfaction recursively initialize the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-22 Johannes Köhler , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Data-driven methods for modeling dynamic systems have received considerable attention as they provide a mechanism for control synthesis directly from the observed time-series data. In the absence of prior assumptions on how the time-series…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-24 Atiye Alaeddini , Siavash Alemzadeh , Afshin Mesbahi , Mehran Mesbahi

We survey and discuss upper bounds on the length of the transient phase of max-plus linear systems and sequences of max-plus matrix powers. In particular, we explain how to extend a result by Nachtigall to yield a new approach for proving…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2014-05-15 Thomas Nowak , Bernadette Charron-Bost

In this paper, we present a new, optimization-based method to exhibit cyclic behavior in non-reversible stochastic processes. While our method is general, it is strongly motivated by discrete simulations of ordinary differential equations…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-09-12 Isabel Beckenbach , Leon Eifler , Konstantin Fackeldey , Ambros Gleixner , Andreas Grever , Marcus Weber , Jakob Witzig

We consider the problem of computing the set of initial states of a dynamical system such that there exists a control strategy to ensure that the trajectories satisfy a temporal logic specification with probability 1 (almost-surely). We…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-02-24 Maria Svorenova , Jan Kretinsky , Martin Chmelik , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Ivana Cerna , Calin Belta

We consider optimal stopping problems, in which a sequence of independent random variables is drawn from a known continuous density. The objective of such problems is to find a procedure which maximizes the expected reward; this is often…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Hugh Entwistle , Christopher Lustri , Georgy Sofronov

In this work, the topologies of networks constructed from time series from an underlying system undergo a period doubling cascade have been explored by means of the prevalence of different motifs using an efficient computational motif…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-06-19 Ruoxi Xiang , Michael Small

In this paper we develop cyclic proof systems for the problem of inclusion between the least sets of models of mutually recursive predicates, when the ground constraints in the inductive definitions belong to the quantifier-free fragments…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Radu Iosif , Cristina Serban

It is well known that a random multiplicative process with weak additive noise generates a power-law probability distribution. It has recently been recognized that this process exhibits another type of power law: the moment of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Hiroya Nakao

In finance, economics and many other fields, observations in a matrix form are often generated over time. For example, a set of key economic indicators are regularly reported in different countries every quarter. The observations at each…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Rong Chen , Han Xiao , Dan Yang

A reaction network is a chemical system involving multiple reactions and chemical species. Stochastic models of such networks treat the system as a continuous time Markov chain on the number of molecules of each species with reactions as…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Karen Ball , Thomas G. Kurtz , Lea Popovic , Greg Rempala

Given a stochastic structure with a filtration $\mathbb{F}$, the class of all random times whose conditional distribution functions are differentiable with respect to some $\mathbb{F}$ adapted non decreasing processes is considered. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-20 Shiqi Song

In recent years, model collapse has become a critical issue in language model training, making it essential to understand the underlying mechanisms driving this phenomenon. In this paper, we investigate recursive parametric model training…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-23 Shirong Xu , Hengzhi He , Guang Cheng

For a generalized step reinforced random walk, starting from the origin, the first step is taken according to the first element of an innovation sequence. Then in subsequent epochs, it recalls a past epoch with probability proportional to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-12 Aritra Majumdar , Krishanu Maulik

We consider stochastic discrete event dynamic systems that have time evolution represented with two-dimensional state vectors through a vector equation that is linear in terms of an idempotent semiring. The state transitions are governed by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-12-27 Nikolai Krivulin

We prove that the probability substitution matrices obtained from a continuous-time Markov chain form a multiplicatively closed set if and only if the rate matrices associated to the chain form a linear space spanning a Lie algebra. The key…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-04 Jeremy G Sumner
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