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We start from a simple asymptotic result for the problem of on-line regression with the quadratic loss function: the class of continuous limited-memory prediction strategies admits a "leading prediction strategy", which not only…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Vladimir Vovk

This work aims at estimating inverse autocovariance matrices of long memory processes admitting a linear representation. A modified Cholesky decomposition is used in conjunction with an increasing order autoregressive model to achieve this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Ching-Kang Ing , Hai-Tang Chiou , Meihui Guo

Let $X=\{X_n: n\in\mathbb{N}\}$ be a long memory linear process with innovations in the domain of attraction of an $\alpha$-stable law $(0<\alpha<2)$. Assume that the linear process $X$ has a bounded probability density function $f(x)$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-10 Hui Liu , Fangjun Xu

The purpose of this paper is to study the convergence of the quasi-maximum likelihood (QML) estimator for long memory linear processes. We first establish a correspondence between the long-memory linear process representation and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Jean-Marc Bardet , Yves Gael Tchabo Mbienkeu

We present large sample results for partitioning-based least squares nonparametric regression, a popular method for approximating conditional expectation functions in statistics, econometrics, and machine learning. First, we obtain a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Yingjie Feng

In this paper, a quantum algorithm based on gaussian process regression model is proposed. The proposed quantum algorithm consists of three sub-algorithms. One is the first quantum subalgorithm to efficiently generate mean predictor. The…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-07-20 Menghan Chen , Gongde Guo , Song Lin , Jing Li

We algorithmically construct multi-output Gaussian process priors which satisfy linear differential equations. Our approach attempts to parametrize all solutions of the equations using Gr\"obner bases. If successful, a push forward Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-07 Markus Lange-Hegermann

In this article, we present the least squares estimator for the drift parameter in a linear regression model driven by the increment of a fractional Brownian motion sampled at random times. For two different random times, Jittered and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Héctor Araya , Natalia Bahamonde , Lisandro Fermín , Tania Roa , Soledad Torres

The problem is sequence prediction in the following setting. A sequence $x_1,...,x_n,...$ of discrete-valued observations is generated according to some unknown probabilistic law (measure) $\mu$. After observing each outcome, it is required…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-03-20 Daniil Ryabko

The estimation of parameters in a linear model is considered under the hypothesis that the noise, with finite second order statistics, can be represented in a given deterministic basis by random coefficients. An extended underdetermined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-06 Piero Barone , Isabella Lari

Consider the problem of estimating the mean of a Gaussian random vector when the mean vector is assumed to be in a given convex set. The most natural solution is to take the Euclidean projection of the data vector on to this convex set; in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-21 Sourav Chatterjee

The problem is sequence prediction in the following setting. A sequence x1,..., xn,... of discrete-valued observations is generated according to some unknown probabilistic law (measure) mu. After observing each outcome, it is required to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-10-19 Daniil Ryabko

In this paper we introduce randomized pivots for the means of short and long memory linear processes. We show that, under the same conditions, these pivots converge in distribution to the same limit as that of their classical non-randomized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-14 Miklos Csorgo , Masoud M Nasari , Mohamedou Ould-Haye

This paper is first devoted to study an adaptive wavelet based estimator of the long memory parameter for linear processes in a general semi-parametric frame. This is an extension of Bardet {\it et al.} (2008) which only concerned Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-08 Jean-Marc Bardet , Hatem Bibi

We consider a one-dimensional diffusion process $(X_t)$ which is observed at $n+1$ discrete times with regular sampling interval $\Delta$. Assuming that $(X_t)$ is strictly stationary, we propose nonparametric estimators of the drift and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot , Yves Rozenholc

The problem of extracting as much information as possible from a sequence of observations of a stationary stochastic process $X_0,X_1,...X_n$ has been considered by many authors from different points of view. It has long been known through…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-19 G. Morvai , B. Weiss

We consider the problem of calculating learning curves (i.e., average generalization performance) of Gaussian processes used for regression. On the basis of a simple expression for the generalization error, in terms of the eigenvalue…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Peter Sollich , Anason Halees

Quantifying predictive uncertainty of deep semantic segmentation networks is essential in safety-critical tasks. In applications like autonomous driving, where video data is available, convolutional long short-term memory networks are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Laura Fieback , Bidya Dash , Jakob Spiegelberg , Hanno Gottschalk

In this work, we will investigate a Bayesian approach to estimating the parameters of long memory models. Long memory, characterized by the phenomenon of hyperbolic autocorrelation decay in time series, has garnered significant attention.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-19 Clara Grazian

The correlation length-scale next to the noise variance are the most used hyperparameters for the Gaussian processes. Typically, stationary covariance functions are used, which are only dependent on the distances between input points and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-30 Kevin Cremanns , Dirk Roos