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Financial markets are prominent examples for highly non-stationary systems. Sample averaged observables such as variances and correlation coefficients strongly depend on the time window in which they are evaluated. This implies severe…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-15 Thilo A. Schmitt , Desislava Chetalova , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

In this paper we study the price dynamics in a simple model of financial markets with heterogeneous agents. We concentrate on how increases in the total number of active traders influences fluctuations of asset prices. We find that a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-26 Taisei Kaizoji

We study the two-times differentiability of the value functions of the primal and dual optimization problems that appear in the setting of expected utility maximization in incomplete markets. We also study the differentiability of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Dmitry Kramkov , Mihai S\^{ı}rbu

We consider a general class of continuous asset price models where the drift and the volatility functions, as well as the driving Brownian motions, change at a random time $\tau$. Under minimal assumptions on the random time and on the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-15 Claudio Fontana , Zorana Grbac , Monique Jeanblanc , Qinghua Li

The scaling properties of the time series of asset prices and trading volumes of stock markets are analysed. It is shown that similarly to the asset prices, the trading volume data obey multi-scaling length-distribution of low-variability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Robert Kitt , Jaan Kalda

The paper proposes a class of financial market models which are based on inhomogeneous telegraph processes and jump diffusions with alternating volatilities. It is assumed that the jumps occur when the tendencies and volatilities are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-04 Nikita Ratanov

What is the dominating mechanism of the price dynamics in financial systems is of great interest to scientists. The problem whether and how volatilities affect the price movement draws much attention. Although many efforts have been made,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-04 Lei Tan , Bo Zheng , Jun-Jie Chen , Xiong-Fei Jiang

We study the leading term in the small-time asymptotics of at-the-money call option prices when the stock price process $S$ follows a general martingale. This is equivalent to studying the first centered absolute moment of $S$. We show that…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-10 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Marcel Nutz

We derive a general multivariate theory for realised characteristics of `model-free discretisation-invariant swaps', so-called because the standard no-arbitrage assumption of martingale forward prices is sufficient to derive fair-value swap…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-05 Carol Alexander , Johannes Rauch

We discuss martingales, detrending data, and the efficient market hypothesis for stochastic processes x(t) with arbitrary diffusion coefficients D(x,t). Beginning with x-independent drift coefficients R(t) we show that Martingale stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Joseph L. McCauley , Kevin E. Bassler , Gemunu H. Gunaratne

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatilities associated with financial time series exhibit short-range correlations. This entails that the volatility process is very rough and its autocorrelation exhibits sharp decay at the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-17 Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna

We extend the fundamental theorem of asset pricing to a model where the risky stock is subject to proportional transaction costs in the form of bid-ask spreads and the bank account has different interest rates for borrowing and lending. We…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Alet Roux

We study a stochastic multiplicative system composed of finite asynchronous elements to describe the wealth evolution in financial markets. We find that the wealth fluctuations or returns of this system can be described by a walk with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Zhi-Feng Huang , Sorin Solomon

A speculative agent with Prospect Theory preference chooses the optimal time to purchase and then to sell an indivisible risky asset to maximize the expected utility of the round-trip profit net of transaction costs. The optimization…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-26 Alex S. L. Tse , Harry Zheng

The effectiveness of utility-maximization techniques for portfolio management relies on our ability to estimate correctly the parameters of the dynamics of the underlying financial assets. In the setting of complete or incomplete financial…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Kasper Larsen , Gordan Zitkovic

We derive deterministic criteria for the existence and non-existence of equivalent (local) martingale measures for financial markets driven by multi-dimensional time-inhomogeneous diffusions. Our conditions can be used to construct…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-22 David Criens

In the information-based approach to asset pricing the market filtration is modelled explicitly as a superposition of signals concerning relevant market factors and independent noise. The rate at which the signal is revealed to the market…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-21 Dorje C. Brody , Yan Tai Law

The possibility of statistical evaluation of the market completeness and incompleteness is investigated for continuous time diffusion stock market models. It is known that the market completeness is not a robust property: small random…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-31 Nikolai Dokuchaev

Many studies assume stock prices follow a random process known as geometric Brownian motion. Although approximately correct, this model fails to explain the frequent occurrence of extreme price movements, such as stock market crashes. Using…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-14 Miguel A. Fuentes , Austin Gerig , Javier Vicente

Multiplicative random cascade model naturally reproduces the intermittency or multifractality, which is frequently shown among hierarchical complex systems such as turbulence and financial markets. As described herein, we investigate the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-05 Jun-ichi Maskawa , Koji Kuroda , Joshin Murai