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The paper presents a new statistical method that enables the use of systematic errors in the maximum-likelihood regression of integer-count Poisson data to a parametric model. The method is primarily aimed at the characterization of the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-07-18 Max Bonamente , Yang Chen , Dale Zimmerman

Spatial epidemiology identifies the drivers of elevated population-level disease risks, using disease counts, exposures and known confounders at the areal unit level. Poisson regression models are typically used for inference, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Duncan Lee , Vinny Davies

Spatial data are gaining increasing importance in many areas of research. Particularly spatial health data are becoming increasingly important for medical research, for example, to better understand relationships between environmental…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Simon Cremer , Lydia Jehmlich , Rainer Lenz

Time elapsed till an event of interest is often modeled using the survival analysis methodology, which estimates a survival score based on the input features. There is a resurgence of interest in developing more accurate prediction models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Navid Seidi , Ardhendu Tripathy , Sajal K. Das

When assessing spatially-extended complex systems, one can rarely sample the states of all components. We show that this spatial subsampling typically leads to severe underestimation of the risk of instability in systems with propagating…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-07-06 Jens Wilting , Viola Priesemann

In public health applications, spatial data collected are often recorded at different spatial scales and over different correlated variables. Spatial change of support is a key inferential problem in these applications and have become…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Shijie Zhou , Jonathan R. Bradley

The analysis of excursion sets in imaging data is essential to a wide range of scientific disciplines such as neuroimaging, climatology and cosmology. Despite growing literature, there is little published concerning the comparison of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Thomas Maullin-Sapey , Armin Schwartzman , Thomas E. Nichols

We study the problem of coincidence detection in time series data, where we aim to determine whether the appearance of simultaneous or near-simultaneous events in two time series is indicative of some shared underlying signal or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Ruiting Liang , Samuel Dyson , Rina Foygel Barber , Daniel E. Holz

The ability to detect change-points in a dynamic network or a time series of graphs is an increasingly important task in many applications of the emerging discipline of graph signal processing. This paper formulates change-point detection…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-19 Heng Wang , Minh Tang , Youngser Park , Carey E. Priebe

Multivariate spatial disease mapping has become a pivotal part of everyday practice in social epidemiology. Despite the existence of several specifications for the relation between different outcomes, there is still a need for a new…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-30 P. Escobar-Hernández , A. López-Quílez , F. Palmí-Perales , M. Marco

Testing for dependence has been a well-established component of spatial statistical analyses for decades. In particular, several popular test statistics have desirable properties for testing for the presence of spatial autocorrelation in…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-25 Youjin Lee , Elizabeth L. Ogburn

Empirical work often uses treatment assigned following geographic boundaries. When the effects of treatment cross over borders, classical difference-in-differences estimation produces biased estimates for the average treatment effect. In…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-13 Kyle Butts

To date, we have seen the emergence of a large literature on multivariate disease mapping. That is, incidence of (or mortality from) multiple diseases is recorded at the scale of areal units where incidence (mortality) across the diseases…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Garazi Retegui , María Dolores Ugarte , Jaione Etxeberria , Alan E. Gelfand

Increasing rates of global trade and travel, as well as changing climatic patterns, have led to more frequent outbreaks of plant disease epidemics worldwide. Mathematical modelling is a key tool in predicting where and how these new threats…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-28 Frédéric Fabre , Jérôme Coville , Nik J. Cunniffe

Machine learning methods are increasingly applied in medical imaging, yet many reported improvements lack statistical robustness: recent works have highlighted that small but significant performance gains are highly likely to be false…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Thomas Sanchez , Pedro M. Gordaliza , Meritxell Bach Cuadra

The incorporation of uncertainties to calculations of signal significance in planned experiments is an actual task. Several approaches to this problem are discussed. We present a procedure for taking into account the systematic uncertainty…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-11-07 S. I. Bityukov

Disease mapping is the field of spatial epidemiology interested in estimating the spatial pattern in disease risk across $n$ areal units. One aim is to identify units exhibiting elevated disease risks, so that public health interventions…

Applications · Statistics 2013-11-05 Craig Anderson , Duncan Lee , Nema Dean

A class of Fourier based statistics for irregular spaced spatial data is introduced, examples include, the Whittle likelihood, a parametric estimator of the covariance function based on the $L_{2}$-contrast function and a simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-03 Suhasini Subba Rao

Over the past ten years, propensity score methods have made an important contribution to improving generalizations from studies that do not select samples randomly from a population of inference. However, these methods require assumptions…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-26 Wendy Chan

Simulation-based inference plays a major role in modern statistics, and often employs either reallocating (as in a randomization test) or resampling (as in bootstrapping). Reallocating mimics random allocation to treatment groups, while…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-08 Kari Lock Morgan