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"Fundamental theorem of asset pricing" roughly states that absence of arbitrage opportunity in a market is equivalent to the existence of a risk-neutral probability. We give a simple counterexample to this oversimplified statement. Prices…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-07 Louis Paulot

This study is a detailed analysis of Speculation Game, a minimal agent-based model of financial markets, in which the round-trip trading and the dynamic wealth evolution with variable trading volumes are implemented. Instead of herding…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-10 Kei Katahira , Yu Chen

We investigate activities that have different periods of duration. We define the profit intensity as a measure of this economic category. The profit intensity in a repeated trading has a unique property of attaining its maximum at a fixed…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Edward W. Piotrowski , Jan Sladkowski

In this paper, making use of recent statistical physics techniques and models, we address the specific role of randomness in financial markets, both at the micro and the macro level. In particular, we review some recent results obtained…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-31 Alessio Emanuele Biondo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda

We examine weak anticipations in discrete-time and continuous-time financial markets consisting of one risk-free asset and multiple risky assets, defining a minimal probability measure associated with the anticipation that does not depend…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-12 Geoff Lindsell

In this paper we explore the specific role of randomness in financial markets, inspired by the beneficial role of noise in many physical systems and in previous applications to complex socio- economic systems. After a short introduction, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-16 A. E. Biondo , A. Pluchino , A. Rapisarda , D. Helbing

We consider a zero-sum continuous time stopping game in which the pay-off is revealed in the maximum of the two stopping times instead of the minimum, which is the case in Dynkin games.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Erhan Bayraktar , Zhou Zhou

We introduce a new formulation of asset trading games in continuous time in the framework of the game-theoretic probability established by Shafer and Vovk (Probability and Finance: It's Only a Game! (2001) Wiley). In our formulation, the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-13 Kei Takeuchi , Masayuki Kumon , Akimichi Takemura

This study delves into the temporal dynamics within the equity market through the lens of bond traders. Recognizing that the riskless interest rate fluctuates over time, we leverage the Black-Derman-Toy model to trace its temporal…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-19 Yifan He , Yuan Hu , Svetlozar Rachev

In a financial market with a continuous price process and proportional transaction costs we investigate the problem of utility maximization of terminal wealth. We give sufficient conditions for the existence of a shadow price process,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-06 Christoph Czichowsky , Walter Schachermayer , Junjian Yang

The introduction of transaction costs into the theory of option pricing could lead not only to the change of return for options, but also to the change of the volatility. On the base of assumption of the portfolio analysis, a new equation…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Alexander Morozovsky

This paper formulates a model of utility for a continuous time framework that captures the decision-maker's concern with ambiguity about both volatility and drift. Corresponding extensions of some basic results in asset pricing theory are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-22 Larry G. Epstein , Shaolin Ji

We study the optimal investment problem for a continuous time incomplete market model such that the risk-free rate, the appreciation rates and the volatility of the stocks are all random; they are assumed to be independent from the driving…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-01 Nikolai Dokuchaev

We consider two-player zero-sum games on graphs. These games can be classified on the basis of the information of the players and on the mode of interaction between them. On the basis of information the classification is as follows: (a)…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-05-19 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Laurent Doyen , Hugo Gimbert , Thomas A. Henzinger

We study a continuous-time financial market with continuous price processes under model uncertainty, modeled via a family $\mathcal{P}$ of possible physical measures. A robust notion ${\rm NA}_{1}(\mathcal{P})$ of no-arbitrage of the first…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-21 Sara Biagini , Bruno Bouchard , Constantinos Kardaras , Marcel Nutz

We present a model that investigates the spontaneous emergence of randomness in equity market microstructure. The phase space analysis of our model exposes an endogenous source of fluctuation in price and volume. We formulate a control…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Ted Theodosopoulos , Muffasir Badshah

We study continuity properties of stochastic game problems with respect to various topologies on information structures, defined as probability measures characterizing a game. We will establish continuity properties of the value function…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-02 Ian Hogeboom-Burr , Serdar Yüksel

Using Trades and Quotes data from the Paris stock market, we show that the random walk nature of traded prices results from a very delicate interplay between two opposite tendencies: long-range correlated market orders that lead to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Yuval Gefen , Marc Potters , Matthieu Wyart

We introduce a new stochastic duration model for transaction times in asset markets. We argue that widely accepted rules for aggregating seemingly related trades mislead inference pertaining to durations between unrelated trades: while any…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-20 Samuel Gingras , William J. McCausland

In [2] the notion of stickiness for stochastic processes was introduced. It was also shown that stickiness implies absense of arbitrage in a market with proportional transaction costs. In this paper, we investigate the notion of stickiness…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-14 Erhan Bayraktar , Hasanjan Sayit