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This paper provides insight into when, why, and how forecast strategies fail when they are applied to complicated time series. We conjecture that the inherent complexity of real-world time-series data---which results from the dimension,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-11-24 Joshua Garland , Ryan James , Elizabeth Bradley

Stage-IV galaxy surveys will measure correlations at small cosmological scales with high signal-to-noise ratio. One of the main challenges of extracting information from small scales is devising accurate models, as well as characterizing…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-05-20 Abdias Aires , Nickolas Kokron , Rogerio Rosenfeld , Felipe Andrade-Oliveira , Vivian Miranda

Calculations of nuclei are often carried out in finite model spaces. Thus, finite-size corrections enter, and it is necessary to extrapolate the computed observables to infinite model spaces. In this work, we employ extrapolation methods…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2019-11-25 W. G. Jiang , G. Hagen , T. Papenbrock

A class of methods for measuring time delays between astronomical time series is introduced in the context of quasar reverberation mapping, which is based on measures of randomness or complexity of the data. Several distinct statistical…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-08-16 Doron Chelouche , Francisco Pozo Nuñez , Shay Zucker

Clustering algorithms build jets though the iterative application of single particle and pairwise metrics. This leads to phase space constraints that are extremely complicated beyond the lowest orders in perturbation theory, and in practice…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2012-04-05 Randall Kelley , Jonathan R. Walsh , Saba Zuberi

The geodetic VLBI technique is capable of measuring the Sun's gravity light deflection from distant radio sources around the whole sky. This light deflection is equivalent to the conventional gravitational delay used for the reduction of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-02-23 O. Titov

While attempting to connect inflationary theories to observational physics, a potential difficulty is the degeneracy problem: a single set of observables maps to a range of different inflaton potentials. Two important classes of models…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 Damien A. Easson , Brian A. Powell

In the mathematical modeling of nematic liquid crystals, a practical and physically reliable $\mathbf{Q}$-tensor model can be derived from Onsager's molecular model with the Bingham closure. However, this procedure leads to a singular…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-02-26 Baoming Shi , Dawei Wu , Lei Zhang , Pingwen Zhang

We propose a data-driven approach to quantify the uncertainty of models constructed by kernel methods. Our approach minimizes the needed distributional assumptions, hence, instead of working with, for example, Gaussian processes or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-06 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Krisztián Balázs Kis

Forecasts and analyses of cosmological observations often rely on the assumption of a perfect theoretical model over a defined range of scales. We explore how model uncertainties and nuisance parameters in perturbative models of the matter…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-02-02 Tobias Baldauf , Mehrdad Mirbabayi , Marko Simonović , Matias Zaldarriaga

We discuss whether one should expect that multiply imaged QSOs can be understood with `simple' lens models which contain a handful of parameters. Whereas for many lens systems such simple mass models yield a remarkably good description of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-30 Shude Mao , Peter Schneider

The $f(Q)$ theories of modified gravity arise from the consideration of non-metricity as the basic geometric quantity, and have been proven to be very efficient in describing the late-time Universe. We use the Big Bang Nucleosynthesis (BBN)…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-02-08 Fotios K. Anagnostopoulos , Viktor Gakis , Emmanuel N. Saridakis , Spyros Basilakos

Estimating the free energy, as well as other thermodynamic observables, is a key task in lattice field theories. Recently, it has been pointed out that deep generative models can be used in this context [1]. Crucially, these models allow…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2022-09-21 Kim A. Nicoli , Christopher Anders , Lena Funcke , Tobias Hartung , Karl Jansen , Pan Kessel , Shinichi Nakajima , Paolo Stornati

The nuclear many-body problem for medium-mass systems is commonly addressed using wave-function expansion methods that build upon a second-quantized representation of many-body operators with respect to a chosen computational basis. While…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2021-02-02 J. Hoppe , A. Tichai , M. Heinz , K. Hebeler , A. Schwenk

Given the tension between the values of the Hubble parameter $H_0$ inferred from the cosmic microwave background (CMB) and from supernovae, attention is turning to time delays of strongly lensed quasars. Current time-delay measurements…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-12-06 Julian B. Muñoz , Marc Kamionkowski

We derive an observational constraint on a spherical inhomogeneity of the void centered at our position from the angular power spectrum of the cosmic microwave background(CMB) and local measurements of the Hubble parameter. The late time…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-04-04 Masato Tokutake , Kiyotomo Ichiki , Chul-Moon Yoo

We consider the problem of estimating the state and unknown input for a large class of nonlinear systems subject to unknown exogenous inputs. The exogenous inputs themselves are modeled as being generated by a nonlinear system subject to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-25 Martin Corless , Ankush Chakrabarty

In recent years, breakthroughs in methods and data have enabled gravitational time delays to emerge as a very powerful tool to measure the Hubble constant $H_0$. However, published state-of-the-art analyses require of order 1 year of expert…

This paper examines free-form modeling of gravitational lenses using Bayesian ensembles of pixelated mass maps. The priors and algorithms from previous work are clarified and significant technical improvements are made. Lens reconstruction…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Jonathan Coles

The problem of model discriminability and parameter identifiability for dephasing two-level systems subject to Hamiltonian control is studied. Analytic solutions of the Bloch equations are used to derive explicit expressions for observables…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-12-16 Erling Gong , Weiwei Zhou , Sophie Schirmer