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We revisit the problem of influencing the sex ratio of a population by subjecting reproduction of each family to some stopping rule. As an easy consequence of the strong law of large numbers, no such modification is possible in the sense…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Stefan Gerhold , Friedrich Hubalek

We extend Fano's inequality, which controls the average probability of events in terms of the average of some $f$--divergences, to work with arbitrary events (not necessarily forming a partition) and even with arbitrary $[0,1]$--valued…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Sebastien Gerchinovitz , Pierre Ménard , Gilles Stoltz

We examine the rate of decay to the limit of the tail dependence coefficient of a bivariate skew t distribution which always displays asymptotic tail dependence. It contains as a special case the usual bivariate symmetric t distribution,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-05 Thomas Fung , Eugene Seneta

Taylor's law, also known as fluctuation scaling in physics and the power-law variance function in statistics, is an empirical pattern widely observed across fields including ecology, physics, finance, and epidemiology. It states that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-13 Pok Him Cheng , Joel E. Cohen , Hok Kan Ling , Sheung Chi Phillip Yam

In this paper, we introduce reduced-bias estimators for the estimation of the tail index of a Pareto-type distribution. This is achieved through the use of a regularised weighted least squares with an exponential regression model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-19 E. Ocran , R. Minkah , G. Kallah-Dagadu , K. Doku-Amponsah

A theoretical expression is derived for the mean squared error of a nonparametric estimator of the tail dependence coefficient, depending on a threshold that defines which rank delimits the tails of a distribution. We propose a new method…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-25 Matthieu Garcin , Maxime L. D. Nicolas

Tail dependence refers to clustering of extreme events. In the context of financial risk management, the clustering of high-severity risks has a devastating effect on the well-being of firms and is thus of pivotal importance in risk…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-19 Edward Furman , Alexey Kuznetsov , Jianxi Su , Ricardas Zitikis

We construct a non - improved exponential bounds for distribution of normed sums of i.,i.d. random variables with random numbers of summand.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 B. M. Migdashiev , E. I. Ostrovsky

Motivated by a bidimensional discrete-time risk model in insurance, we study the second-order asymptotics for two kinds of tail probabilities of the stochastic discounted value of aggregate net losses including two business lines. These are…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Bingzhen Geng , Yang Liu , Shijie Wang

We study tail probabilities via some Gaussian approximations. Our results make refinements to large deviation theory. The proof builds on classical results by Bahadur and Rao. Binomial distributions and their tail probabilities are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-07 Laszlo Gyorfi , Peter Harremoes , Gabor Tusnady

In this paper a numerical method is presented, which finds a lower bound for the mutual information between a binary and an arbitrary finite random variable with joint distributions that have a variational distance not greater than a known…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-01-29 A. G. Stefani , J. B. Huber , C. Jardin , H. Sticht

We revisit and refine known tail inequalities and confidence bounds for the hypergeometric distribution, i.e., for the setting where we sample without replacement from a fixed population with binary values or properties. The results are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Anne-Marie George

In this paper we present a tail inequality for the maximum of partial sums of a weakly dependent sequence of random variables that are not necessarily bounded. The class considered includes geometrically and subgeometrically strongly mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-04 Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Emmanuel Rio

In this note, we establish the convergence in distribution of the maxima of i.i.d. random variables to the Gumbel distribution with the associated normalizing sequences for several examples that are related to the normal distribution.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-29 Markus Bibinger

The statistical distribution of the ratio of two normal random variables is characterized by its heavy-tailed nature and absence of finite moments. The shape of its density function is highly variable, capable of exhibiting unimodal or…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Sheng Yang , Zhengtao Gui

This paper proposes a scoring-rule-based method for ranking predictive distributions in the Fr\'echet domain that is able to distinguish between different tail indices. The approach is built on normalized order statistics and exploits…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Martin Bladt , Christoffer Øhlenschlæger

Heavy-tailed phenomena appear across diverse domains --from wealth and firm sizes in economics to network traffic, biological systems, and physical processes-- characterized by the disproportionate influence of extreme values. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Hamidreza Maleki Almani

We investigate a way of comparing and classifying tails of random variables. Our approach extends the notion of classical indices, such as exponential and moment indices, which are widely used measuring heaviness of tail functions. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-07 Jaakko Lehtomaa

We study randomly stopped sums via their asymptotic scales. First, finiteness of moments is considered. To generalise this study, asymptotic scales applicable to the class of all heavy-tailed random variables are used. The stopping is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-12 Jaakko Lehtomaa

A scan statistic is examined for the purpose of testing the existence of a global peak in a random process with dependent variables of any distribution. The scan statistic tail probability is obtained based on the covariance of the moving…

Computation · Statistics 2013-09-24 Anat Reiner-Benaim