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PredDiff is a model-agnostic, local attribution method that is firmly rooted in probability theory. Its simple intuition is to measure prediction changes while marginalizing features. In this work, we clarify properties of PredDiff and its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-12 Stefan Blücher , Johanna Vielhaben , Nils Strodthoff

Outlying observations are frequently encountered across a wide spectrum of scientific domains, posing notable challenges to the generalizability of statistical models and the reproducibility of downstream analysis. They are identified…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Dongliang Zhang , Masoud Asgharian , Martin A. Lindquist

We use machine learning tools to model the line interaction of failure cascading in power grid networks. We first collect data sets of simulated trajectories of possible consecutive line failure following an initial random failure and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-07 Abdorasoul Ghasemi , Holger Kantz

Multiple matrix sampling is a survey methodology technique that randomly chooses a relatively small subset of items to be presented to survey respondents for the purpose of reducing respondent burden. The data produced are missing…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-03 Stanislav Kolenikov , Heather Hammer

Understanding statistical inference under possibly non-sparse high-dimensional models has gained much interest recently. For a given component of the regression coefficient, we show that the difficulty of the problem depends on the sparsity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-22 Jelena Bradic , Jianqing Fan , Yinchu Zhu

Asymmetric relational data is increasingly prevalent across diverse fields, underscoring the need for directed network models to address the complex challenges posed by their unique structures. Unlike undirected models, directed models can…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-21 Rui Feng , Chenlei Leng

Robust tests of general composite hypothesis under non-identically distributed observations is always a challenge. Ghosh and Basu (2018, Statistica Sinica, 28, 1133--1155) have proposed a new class of test statistics for such problems based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-08 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

We consider the statistical properties of interaction parameter estimates obtained by the direct coupling analysis (DCA) approach to learning interactions from large data sets. Assuming that the data are generated from a random background…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-04-07 Yingying Xu , Erik Aurell , Jukka Corander , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

In order to trust the predictions of a machine learning algorithm, it is necessary to understand the factors that contribute to those predictions. In the case of probabilistic and uncertainty-aware models, it is necessary to understand not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-19 Danny Wood , Theodore Papamarkou , Matt Benatan , Richard Allmendinger

Pairwise comparison models have been widely used for utility evaluation and rank aggregation across various fields. The increasing scale of modern problems underscores the need to understand statistical inference in these models when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Ruijian Han , Wenlu Tang , Yiming Xu

Selective inference aims at providing valid inference after a data-driven selection of models or hypotheses. It is essential to avoid overconfident results and replicability issues. While significant advances have been made in this area for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-14 Matteo D'Alessandro , Magne Thoresen

This paper considers the maximum likelihood estimation of panel data models with interactive effects. Motivated by applications in economics and other social sciences, a notable feature of the model is that the explanatory variables are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-27 Jushan Bai , Kunpeng Li

We describe likelihood-based statistical tests for use in high energy physics for the discovery of new phenomena and for construction of confidence intervals on model parameters. We focus on the properties of the test procedures that allow…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-06-25 Glen Cowan , Kyle Cranmer , Eilam Gross , Ofer Vitells

A reduced-rank mixed effects model is developed for robust modeling of sparsely observed paired functional data. In this model, the curves for each functional variable are summarized using a few functional principal components, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Huiya Zhou , Xiaomeng Yan , Lan Zhou

We highlight that match fixed effects, represented by the coefficients of interaction terms involving dummy variables for two elements, lack identification without specific restrictions on parameters. Consequently, the coefficients…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-22 Suguru Otani , Tohya Sugano

We address a classical problem in statistics: adding two-way interaction terms to a regression model. As the covariate dimension increases quadratically, we develop an estimator that adapts well to this increase, while providing accurate…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 Mark A. van de Wiel , Matteo Amestoy , Jeroen Hoogland

Reciprocity--the tendency of individuals to form mutual ties--is a fundamental structural feature of many directed networks. Despite its ubiquity, reciprocity remains insufficiently integrated into statistical network models, particularly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-30 Rui Feng , Chenlei Leng

The log-normal distribution is one of the most common distributions used for modeling skewed and positive data. It frequently arises in many disciplines of science, specially in the biological and medical sciences. The statistical analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-01 Ayanendranath Basu , Abhijit Mandal , Nirian Martin , Leandro Pardo

The possibility to understand and to quantitatively model the physics of the interactions between pedestrians walking in crowds has compelling relevant applications, e.g. related to the design and safety of civil infrastructures. In this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-12-19 Alessandro Corbetta , Jasper Meeusen , Chung-min Lee , Roberto Benzi , Federico Toschi

Random-effects models are frequently used to synthesise information from different studies in meta-analysis. While likelihood-based inference is attractive both in terms of limiting properties and of implementation, its application in…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-25 Sophia Kyriakou , Ioannis Kosmidis , Nicola Sartori