Related papers: Moderate deviations for stationary sequences of bo…
We construct a compound Poisson process conditioned on its random summation that represents the sizes of the connected components in the sparse Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph $G(n,c/n)$. This new representation depicts a connection between…
A continuous-time random walk in the quarter plane with homogeneous transition rates is considered. Given a non-negative reward function on the state space, we are interested in the expected stationary performance. Since a direct derivation…
Two popular classes of methods for approximate inference are Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and variational inference. MCMC tends to be accurate if run for a long enough time, while variational inference tends to give better approximations…
We study normal approximations for a class of discrete-time occupancy processes, namely, Markov chains with transition kernels of product Bernoulli form. This class encompasses numerous models which appear in the complex networks…
We consider a Markov-modulated Brownian motion reflected to stay in a strip [0,B]. The stationary distribution of this process is known to have a simple form under some assumptions. We provide a short probabilistic argument leading to this…
Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations are commonly employed for estimating features of a target distribution, particularly for Bayesian inference. A fundamental challenge is determining when these simulations should stop. We consider…
The inference of Markov models from data on stochastic dynamical trajectories over the large time-window $T$ is revisited via the Large Deviations at Level 2.5 for the time-empirical density and the time-empirical flows. The goal is to…
Let $\Gamma$ act on a countable set V with only finitely many orbits. Given a $\Gamma$-invariant random environment for a Markov chain on V and a random scenery, we exhibit, under certain conditions, an equivalent stationary measure for the…
In this paper we prove a central limit theorem and a moderate deviation principle for a class of semilinear stochastic partial differential equations, which contain Burgers' equation and the stochastic reaction-diffusion equation. The weak…
In this work we study the use of moderate deviation functions to measure similarity and dissimilarity among a set of given interval-valued data. To do so, we introduce the notion of interval-valued moderate deviation function and we study…
The martingale expansion provides a refined approximation to the marginal distributions of martingales beyond the normal approximation implied by the martingale central limit theorem. We develop a martingale expansion framework specifically…
The aim of this paper is to provide conditions which ensure that the affinely transformed partial sums of a strictly stationary process converge in distribution to an infinite variance stable distribution. Conditions for this convergence to…
Record numbers are basic statistics in random walks, whose deviation principles are not very clear so far. In this paper, the asymptotic probabilities of large and moderate deviations for numbers of weak records in right continuous or left…
In this work, we focus on the stationary analysis of a specific class of continuous time Markov-modulated reflected random walks in the quarter plane with applications in the modelling of two-node Markov-modulated queueing networks with…
We study continuous-time Markov chains on the non-negative integers under mild regularity conditions (in particular, the set of jump vectors is finite and both forward and backward jumps are possible). Based on the so-called flux balance…
We presented in \cite{bl2,bl7} an approach to derive the metastable behavior of continuous-time Markov chains. We assumed in these articles that the Markov chains visit points in the time scale in which it jumps among the metastable sets.…
In this note we (in particular) prove an almost sure invariance principle (ASIP) for non-stationary and uniformly bounded sequences of random variables which are exponentially fast $\phi$-mixing. The obtained rate is of order…
We establish nonuniform Berry-Esseen bounds for martingales under the conditional Bernstein condition. These bounds imply Cram\'er type large deviations for moderate $x$'s, and are of exponential decay rate as de la Pe\~na's inequality when…
We analyze quasi-stationary distributions $\{\mu^{\varepsilon}\}_{\varepsilon>0}$ of a family of Markov chains $\{X^{\varepsilon}\}_{\varepsilon>0}$ that are random perturbations of a bounded, continuous map $F:M\to M$, where $M$ is a…
In this paper we consider the (weighted) spectral measure $\mu_n$ of a $n\times n$ random matrix, distributed according to a classical Gaussian, Laguerre or Jacobi ensemble, and show a moderate deviation principle for the standardised…