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This article is devoted to methods of construction and study of stochastic models based on Monte Carlo method. A model of Brownian motion, the construction and processing which brings to a world of random numbers and mathematical…

Physics Education · Physics 2018-09-18 Illia O. Teplytskyi , Serhiy O. Semerikov

We introduce time-inhomogeneous stochastic volatility models, in which the volatility is described by a nonnegative function of a Volterra type continuous Gaussian process that may have very rough sample paths. The main results obtained in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Archil Gulisashvili

Several well-established benchmark predictors exist for Value-at-Risk (VaR), a major instrument for financial risk management. Hybrid methods combining AR-GARCH filtering with skewed-$t$ residuals and the extreme value theory-based approach…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-25 Shige Peng , Shuzhen Yang , Jianfeng Yao

A variational representation for functionals of G-Brownian motion is established by a finite-dimensional approximate technique. As an application of the variational representation, we obtain a large deviation principle for stochastic flows…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-23 Fuqing Gao

The purpose of this paper is to establish a variational representation \log \E [e^{f(B)}] = \sup_h \E [f(B + \int_0^{\cdot} d<B>_s h_s) - 1/2 \int_0^1 h_s \cdot (d<B>_s h_s)] for functionals of the d-dimensional G-Brownian motion B. Here \E…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-04 Emi Osuka

In this paper we study the problems of invariant and ergodic measures under G-expectation framework. In particular, the stochastic differential equations driven by G-Brownian motion have the unique invariant and ergodic measures. Moreover,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-12 Mingshang Hu , Hanwu Li , Falei Wang , Guoqiang Zheng

A $G$-normal random variable $X\sim \mathcal{N}(0,[\underline{\sigma}^2,\overline{\sigma}^2])$ does not admit a unique probability law due to volatility uncertainty. For a given test function $\phi$, the $G$-expectation admits the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Ziting Pei , Shige Peng , Xingye Yue , Xiaotao Zheng

G-expectation, as a sublinear expectation, provides a powerful framework for modeling uncertainty in financial markets. Motivated by the need for robust valuation under model uncertainty, this work develops a unified risk-neutral valuation…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Ziting Pei , Xingye Yue , Xiaotao Zheng

In this paper, stability theorems for stochastic differential equations and backward stochastic differential equations driven by G-Brownian motion are obtained. We show the existence and uniqueness of solutions to forward-backward…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-24 Defei Zhang

The G-Brownian-motion-driven stochastic differential equations (G-SDEs) as well as the G-expectation, which were seminally proposed by Peng and his colleagues, have been extensively applied to describing a particular kind of uncertainty…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Xiaoxiao Peng , Shijie Zhou , Wei Lin , Xuerong Mao

We first introduce the calculus of Peng's G-Brownian motion on a sublinear expectation space $(\Omega, {\cal H}, \hat{\mathbb{E}})$. Then we investigate the exponential stability of paths for a class of stochastic differential equations…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-02 Weiyin Fei , Chen Fei

A new multivariate distribution possessing arbitrarily parametrized and positively dependent univariate Pareto margins is introduced. Unlike the probability law of Asimit et al. (2010) [Asimit, V., Furman, E. and Vernic, R. (2010) On a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-19 Jianxi Su , Edward Furman

The G-normal distribution was introduced by Peng [2007] as the limiting distribution in the central limit theorem for sublinear expectation spaces. Equivalently, it can be interpreted as the solution to a stochastic control problem where we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-10 Shige Peng , Quan Zhou

We utilize an ergodic theory framework to explore sublinear expectation theory. Specifically, we investigate the pointwise Birkhoff's ergodic theorem for invariant sublinear expectation systems. By further assuming that these sublinear…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Wen Huang , Chunlin Liu , Shige Peng , Baoyou Qu

A generalization of stable and casual stable probability distribution is proposed. The notion of $\go G$-casual stability can be used to introduce discrete analogues of stable distributions on the sent $\mathbb Z$ of integers. In contrary…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-09 Lev B. Klebanov

We introduce a new basic model for independent and identical distributed sequence on the canonical space $(\mathbb{R}^\mathbb{N},\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^\mathbb{N}))$ via probability kernels with model uncertainty. Thanks to the well-defined…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Xinpeng Li

An innovative extension of Geometric Brownian Motion model is developed by incorporating a weighting factor and a stochastic function modelled as a mixture of power and trigonometric functions. Simulations based on this Modified Brownian…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-09 Gurjeet Dhesi , Muhammad Bilal Shakeel , Ling Xiao

This paper presents a new Bayesian framework for quantifying discretization errors in numerical solutions of ordinary differential equations. By modelling the errors as random variables, we impose a monotonicity constraint on the variances,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Yuto Miyatake , Kaoru Irie , Takeru Matsuda

Estimation of tail quantities, such as expected shortfall or Value at Risk, is a difficult problem. We show how the theory of nonlinear expectations, in particular the Data-robust expectation introduced in [5], can assist in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-15 Samuel N. Cohen

In stochastic decision problems, one often wants to estimate the underlying probability measure statistically, and then to use this estimate as a basis for decisions. We shall consider how the uncertainty in this estimation can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Samuel N. Cohen