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The random forest (RF) algorithm has become a very popular prediction method for its great flexibility and promising accuracy. In RF, it is conventional to put equal weights on all the base learners (trees) to aggregate their predictions.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-18 Xinyu Chen , Dalei Yu , Xinyu Zhang

A learned generative model often produces biased statistics relative to the underlying data distribution. A standard technique to correct this bias is importance sampling, where samples from the model are weighted by the likelihood ratio…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-05 Aditya Grover , Jiaming Song , Alekh Agarwal , Kenneth Tran , Ashish Kapoor , Eric Horvitz , Stefano Ermon

The present work provides an application of Global Sensitivity Analysis to supervised machine learning methods such as Random Forests. These methods act as black boxes, selecting features in high--dimensional data sets as to provide…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-22 Giulia Vannucci , Roberta Siciliano , Andrea Saltelli

In this paper, we consider a perturbation-based metric of predictive faithfulness of feature rankings (or attributions) that we call PGI squared. When applied to decision tree-based regression models, the metric can be computed accurately…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Mateusz Gajewski , Adam Karczmarz , Mateusz Rapicki , Piotr Sankowski

Binary search trees (BST) are a popular type of data structure when dealing with ordered data. Indeed, they enable one to access and modify data efficiently, with their height corresponding to the worst retrieval time. From a probabilistic…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Benoît Corsini , Victor Dubach , Valentin Féray

Feature selection with high-dimensional data and a very small proportion of relevant features poses a severe challenge to standard statistical methods. We have developed a new approach (HARVEST) that is straightforward to apply, albeit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-01 Herbert Weisberg , Victor Pontes , Mathis Thoma

Quantile Regression Forests (QRF) are widely used for non-parametric conditional quantile estimation, yet statistical inference for variable importance measures remains challenging due to the non-smoothness of the loss function and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-01 Tomoshige Nakamura , Hiroshi Shiraishi

Variational inference approximates the posterior distribution of a probabilistic model with a parameterized density by maximizing a lower bound for the model evidence. Modern solutions fit a flexible approximation with stochastic gradient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-13 Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

Estimating the strength of dependency between two variables is fundamental for exploratory analysis and many other applications in data mining. For example: non-linear dependencies between two continuous variables can be explored with the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-21 Simone Romano , Nguyen Xuan Vinh , James Bailey , Karin Verspoor

This paper proposes FREEtree, a tree-based method for high dimensional longitudinal data with correlated features. Popular machine learning approaches, like Random Forests, commonly used for variable selection do not perform well when there…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-18 Yuancheng Xu , Athanasse Zafirov , R. Michael Alvarez , Dan Kojis , Min Tan , Christina M. Ramirez

Modern data acquisition based on high-throughput technology is often facing the problem of missing data. Algorithms commonly used in the analysis of such large-scale data often depend on a complete set. Missing value imputation offers a…

Applications · Statistics 2014-06-03 Daniel J. Stekhoven , Peter Bühlmann

Random Forests (RF) is a popular machine learning method for classification and regression problems. It involves a bagging application to decision tree models. One of the primary advantages of the Random Forests model is the reduction in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-06 Sai K Popuri

Random forests are a learning algorithm proposed by Breiman [Mach. Learn. 45 (2001) 5--32] that combines several randomized decision trees and aggregates their predictions by averaging. Despite its wide usage and outstanding practical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Erwan Scornet , Gérard Biau , Jean-Philippe Vert

In discriminative settings such as regression and classification there are two random variables at play, the inputs X and the targets Y. Here, we demonstrate that the Variational Information Bottleneck can be viewed as a compromise between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-18 Alexander A Alemi , Warren R Morningstar , Ben Poole , Ian Fischer , Joshua V Dillon

While circular data occur in a wide range of scientific fields, the methodology for distributional modeling and probabilistic forecasting of circular response variables is rather limited. Most of the existing methods are built on the…

Feature importance scores are ubiquitous tools for understanding the predictions of machine learning models. However, many popular attribution methods suffer from high instability due to random sampling. Leveraging novel ideas from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-08 Jeremy Goldwasser , Giles Hooker

Variable importance in regression analyses is of considerable interest in a variety of fields. There is no unique method for assessing variable importance. However, a substantial share of the available literature employs Shapley values,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Sinan Acemoglu , Christian Kleiber , Jörg Urban

Within machine learning, the supervised learning field aims at modeling the input-output relationship of a system, from past observations of its behavior. Decision trees characterize the input-output relationship through a series of nested…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-20 Arnaud Joly

Random forests (RFs) are well suited for prediction modeling and variable selection in high-dimensional omics studies. The effect of hyperparameters of the RF algorithm on prediction performance and variable importance estimation have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-28 Cesaire J. K. Fouodo , Lea L. Kronziel , Inke R. König , Silke Szymczak

Several real-world and abstract structures and systems are characterized by marked hierarchy to the point of being expressed as trees. Because the study of these entities often involves sampling (or discovering) the tree nodes in a specific…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-18 Alexandre Benatti , Luciano da F. Costa
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