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We consider a class of branching processes called Markovian binary trees, in which the individuals lifetime and reproduction epochs are modeled using a transient Markovian arrival process (TMAP). We estimate the parameters of the TMAP based…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-26 Sophie Hautphenne , Melanie Massaro , Katharine Turner

The ongoing explosion of genome sequence data is transforming how we reconstruct and understand the histories of biological systems. Across biological scales, from individual cells to populations and species, trees-based models provide a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-08 Yun Deng , Shing H. Zhan , Yulin Zhang , Chao Zhang , Bingjie Chen

We derive tractable criteria for the consistency of Bayesian tree reconstruction procedures, which constitute a central class of algorithms for inferring common ancestry among DNA sequence samples in phylogenetics. Our results encompass…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Alisa Kirichenko , Luke J. Kelly , Jere Koskela

The Bayesian Context Trees (BCT) framework is a recently introduced, general collection of statistical and algorithmic tools for modelling, analysis and inference with discrete-valued time series. The foundation of this development is built…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Rooted phylogenetic networks are used to describe evolutionary histories that contain non-treelike evolutionary events such as hybridization and horizontal gene transfer. In some cases, such histories can be described by a phylogenetic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-03 Laura Jetten , Leo van Iersel

Phylogenetic networks generalise phylogenetic trees and allow for the accurate representation of the evolutionary history of a set of present-day species whose past includes reticulate events such as hybridisation and lateral gene transfer.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-05 Joan Carles Pons , Charles Semple , Mike Steel

Genetic sequence data of pathogens are increasingly used to investigate transmission dynamics in both endemic diseases and disease outbreaks; such research can aid in development of appropriate interventions and in design of studies to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-01-24 Hesam Montazeri , Susan Little , Niko Beerenwinkel , Victor DeGruttola

We study the growth of a time-ordered rooted tree by probabilistic attachment of new vertices to leaves. We construct a likelihood function of the leaves based on the connectivity of the tree. We take such connectivity to be induced by the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Nomvelo Sibisi

TraitLab is a software package for simulating, fitting and analysing tree-like binary data under a stochastic Dollo model of evolution. The model also allows for rate heterogeneity through catastrophes, evolutionary events where many traits…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-21 Luke J. Kelly , Geoff K. Nicholls , Robin J. Ryder , David Welch

Predicting the ancestral sequences of a group of homologous sequences related by a phylogenetic tree has been the subject of many studies, and numerous methods have been proposed to this purpose. Theoretical results are available that show…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-05 Olivier Gascuel , Mike Steel

In a population with haploid reproduction any individual has a single parent in the previous generation. If all genealogical distances among pairs of individuals (generations from the closest common ancestor) are known it is possible to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-13 Luce Prignano , Maurizio Serva

The statistical estimation of phylogenies is always associated with uncertainty, and accommodating this uncertainty is an important component of modern phylogenetic comparative analysis. The birth-death polytomy resolver is a method of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-18 Daniel L. Rabosky

Bayesian Decision Trees are known for their probabilistic interpretability. However, their construction can sometimes be costly. In this article we present a general Bayesian Decision Tree algorithm applicable to both regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-23 Giuseppe Nuti , Lluís Antoni Jiménez Rugama , Andreea-Ingrid Cross

Phylogenetic mixtures model the inhomogeneous molecular evolution commonly observed in data. The performance of phylogenetic reconstruction methods where the underlying data is generated by a mixture model has stimulated considerable recent…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-06-30 Frederick A. Matsen , Mike Steel

The history of gene families -- which are equivalent to event-labeled gene trees -- can to some extent be reconstructed from empirically estimated evolutionary event-relations containing pairs of orthologous, paralogous or xenologous genes.…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Manuel Lafond , Marc Hellmuth

Nicholls and Gray (2008) describe a phylogenetic model for trait data. They use their model to estimate branching times on Indo-European language trees from lexical data. Alekseyenko et al. (2008) extended the model and give applications in…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-13 Robin J. Ryder , Geoff K. Nicholls

Recent work has proven the existence of extreme inbreeding in a European ancestry sample taken from the contemporary UK population \cite{nature_01}. This result brings our attention again to a math problem related to inbreeding family trees…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-08 C. Jarne , F A. Gómez Albarracín , M. Caruso

Phylogenetic networks generalize phylogenetic trees by allowing the modelization of events of reticulate evolution. Among the different kinds of phylogenetic networks that have been proposed in the literature, the subclass of binary…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Gabriel Cardona , Joan Carles Pons , Celine Scornavacca

Tree shape statistics quantify some aspect of the shape of a phylogenetic tree. They are commonly used to compare reconstructed trees to evolutionary models and to find evidence of tree reconstruction bias. Historically, to find a useful…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Frederick A. Matsen

The time process of transport on randomly evolving trees is investigated. By introducing the notions of living and dead nodes a model of random tree evolution is constructed which describes the spreading in time of objects corresponding to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 L. Pal