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We investigate the Student-t process as an alternative to the Gaussian process as a nonparametric prior over functions. We derive closed form expressions for the marginal likelihood and predictive distribution of a Student-t process, by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-20 Amar Shah , Andrew Gordon Wilson , Zoubin Ghahramani

We revisit the classical problem of comparing regression functions, a fundamental question in statistical inference with broad relevance to modern applications such as data integration, transfer learning, and causal inference. Existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Jian Yan , Zhuoxi Li , Yang Ning , Yong Chen

A basic result is that the sample variance for i.i.d. observations is an unbiased estimator of the variance of the underlying distribution (see for instance Casella and Berger (2002)). But what happens if the observations are neither…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-12 Eric Benhamou

This paper proposes a new class of nonparametric tests for the correct specification of models based on conditional moment restrictions, paying particular attention to generalized propensity score models. The test procedure is based on two…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-18 Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna , Xiaojun Song

Continuing the analysis initiated in Lachi\'eze-Rey and Peccati (2011), we use contraction operators to study the normal approximation of random variables having the form of a U-statistic written on the points in the support of a random…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-04 Raphael Lachieze-Rey , Giovanni Peccati

This paper is concerned with testing normality in a Hilbert space based on the maximum mean discrepancy. Specifically, we discuss the behavior of the test from two standpoints: asymptotics and practical aspects. Asymptotic normality of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-12 Natsumi Makigusa , Kanta Naito

Given additional distributional information in the form of moment restrictions, kernel density and distribution function estimators with implied generalised empirical likelihood probabilities as weights achieve a reduction in variance due…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Vitaliy Oryshchenko , Richard J. Smith

We propose a new skewness test statistic for normality based on the Pearson measure of skewness. We obtain asymptotic first four moments of the null distribution for this statistic by using a computer algebra system and its normalizing…

Computation · Statistics 2012-02-24 Shigekazu Nakagawa , Hiroki Hashiguchi , Naoto Niki

Statistical models incorporating change points are common in practice, especially in the area of biomedicine. This approach is appealing in that a specific parameter is introduced to account for the abrupt change in the response variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Hongling Zhou , Kung-Yee Liang

Let $T$ be the Student one- or two-sample $t$-, $F$-, or Welch statistic. Now release the underlying assumptions of normality, independence and identical distribution and consider a more general case where one only assumes that the vector…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-23 Dmitrii Zholud

Recent observations, especially in cancer immunotherapy clinical trials with time-to-event outcomes, show that the commonly used proportial hazard assumption is often not justifiable, hampering an appropriate analyse of the data by hazard…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-23 Marc Ditzhaus , Menggang Yu , Jin Xu

A restrictive assumption in change point analysis is "stationarity under the null hypothesis of no change-point", which is crucial for asymptotic theory but not very realistic from a practical point of view. For example, if change point…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-01 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

In this article we investigate consistency and asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood and the posterior distribution of the parameters in the context of state space stochastic differential equations (SDEs). We then extend our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

In the common time series model $X_{i,n} = \mu (i/n) + \varepsilon_{i,n}$ with non-stationary errors we consider the problem of detecting a significant deviation of the mean function $\mu$ from a benchmark $g (\mu )$ (such as the initial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs

A model of Poissonian observation having a jump (change-point) in the intensity function is considered. Two cases are studied. The first one corresponds to the situation when the jump size converges to a non-zero limit, while in the second…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Serguei Dachian , Lin Yang

Most of the literature on change-point analysis by means of hypothesis testing considers hypotheses of the form H0 : \theta_1 = \theta_2 vs. H1 : \theta_1 != \theta_2, where \theta_1 and \theta_2 denote parameters of the process before and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-26 Holger Dette , Dominik Wied

Let $L$ be a linear differential operator acting on functions defined over an open set $\mathcal{D}\subset \mathbb{R}^d$. In this article, we characterize the measurable second order random fields $U = (U(x))_{x\in\mathcal{D}}$ whose sample…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Iain Henderson , Pascal Noble , Olivier Roustant

Let $(U_t,V_t)$ be a bivariate L\'evy process, where $V_t$ is a subordinator and $U_t$ is a L\'evy process formed by randomly weighting each jump of $V_t$ by an independent random variable $X_t$ having cdf $F$. We investigate the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-10 Peter Kevei , David M. Mason

From the sampling of data to the initialisation of parameters, randomness is ubiquitous in modern Machine Learning practice. Understanding the statistical fluctuations engendered by the different sources of randomness in prediction is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-03 Bruno Loureiro , Cédric Gerbelot , Maria Refinetti , Gabriele Sicuro , Florent Krzakala

The results in this paper provide new information on asymptotic properties of classical models: the neutral Kingman coalescent under a general finite-alleles, parent-dependent mutation mechanism, and its generalisation, the ancestral…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-08 Martina Favero , Henrik Hult
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