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We develop a modular approach to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for unnormalized target densities. In this approach, Markov chains are constructed in parallel, each constrained to a subset of the target space. The Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-05 Joonha Park

The use of non parametric hidden Markov models with finite state space is flourishing in practice while few theoretical guarantees are known in this framework. Here, we study asymptotic guarantees for these models in the Bayesian framework.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-30 Elodie Vernet

We describe a simple method that can be used to sample the rare fluctuations of discrete-time Markov chains. We focus on the case of Markov chains with well-defined steady-state measures, and derive expressions for the large-deviation rate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-28 Stephen Whitelam

This paper derives exponential tail bounds and polynomial moment inequalities for the spectral norm deviation of a random matrix from its mean value. The argument depends on a matrix extension of Stein's method of exchangeable pairs for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-06 Daniel Paulin , Lester Mackey , Joel A. Tropp

We derive uniform all-time concentration bound of the type 'for all $n \geq n_0$ for some $n_0$' for TD(0) with linear function approximation. We work with online TD learning with samples from a single sample path of the underlying Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Siddharth Chandak , Vivek S. Borkar

Let $Y$ be a nonnegative random variable with mean $\mu$ and finite positive variance $\sigma^2$, and let $Y^s$, defined on the same space as $Y$, have the $Y$ size biased distribution, that is, the distribution characterized by…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-20 Subhankar Ghosh , Larry Goldstein

In the theory of compressed sensing, restricted isometry analysis has become a standard tool for studying how efficiently a measurement matrix acquires information about sparse and compressible signals. Many recovery algorithms are known to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-29 Holger Rauhut , Justin Romberg , Joel A. Tropp

Viewing a two time scale stochastic approximation scheme as a noisy discretization of a singularly perturbed differential equation, we obtain a concentration bound for its iterates that captures its behavior with quantifiable high…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-29 Vivek S. Borkar , Sarath Pattathil

We consider Markov chains on the space of (countable) partitions of the interval $[0,1]$, obtained first by size biased sampling twice (allowing repetitions) and then merging the parts with probability $\beta_m$ (if the sampled parts are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eddy Mayer-Wolf , Ofer Zeitouni , Martin P. W. Zerner

Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers are a class of stochastic algorithms for Monte Carlo integral estimation w.r.t. probability distributions, which combine elements of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and importance sampling/resampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli

We introduce a framework to approximate a Markov Decision Process that stands on two pillars: state aggregation -- as the algorithmic infrastructure; and central-limit-theorem-type approximations -- as the mathematical underpinning of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Amy B. Z. Zhang , Itai Gurvich

We show that Markov couplings can be used to improve the accuracy of Markov chain Monte Carlo calculations in some situations where the steady-state probability distribution is not explicitly known. The technique generalizes the notion of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Jonathan B. Goodman , Kevin K. Lin

We give Hoeffding and Bernstein-type concentration inequalities for the largest eigenvalue of sums of random matrices arising from a Markov chain. We consider time-dependent matrix-valued functions on a general state space, generalizing…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Joe Neeman , Bobby Shi , Rachel Ward

Matrix concentration inequalities provide information about the probability that a random matrix is close to its expectation with respect to the $l_2$ operator norm. This paper uses semigroup methods to derive sharp nonlinear matrix…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-08 De Huang , Joel A. Tropp

We establish convergence to an invariant measure as time tends to infinity, for a large class of (possibly non-Markovian) stochastic volatility models. Our arguments are based on a novel coupling idea for Markov chains which also extends to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Balázs Gerencsér , Miklós Rásonyi

We prove a strong law of large numbers for a class of strongly mixing processes. Our result rests on recent advances in understanding of concentration of measure. It is simple to apply and gives finite-sample (as opposed to asymptotic)…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-07-30 Aryeh Kontorovich , Anthony Brockwell

We consider in this work a model for aggregation, where the coalescing particles initially have a certain number of potential links (called arms) which are used to perform coagulations. There are two types of arms, male and female, and two…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-09 Raoul Normand

Lifted Markov chains are Markov chains on graphs with added local "memory" and can be used to mix towards a target distribution faster than their memoryless counterparts. Upper and lower bounds on the achievable performance have been…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Simon Apers , Francesco Ticozzi , Alain Sarlette

In 1956, Dobrushin proved a definitive central limit theorem for non-homogeneous Markov chains. In this note, a shorter and different proof elucidating more the assumptions is given through martingale approximation.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Sunder Sethuraman , S. R. S. Varadhan

An important problem arising in the study of complex networks, for instance in community detection and motif finding, is the sampling of graphs with fixed degree sequence. The equivalent problem of generating random 0,1 matrices with fixed…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2018-07-27 Annabell Berger , Corrie Jacobien Carstens
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