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We study Rademacher processes where the coefficients are functions evaluated at fixed, but arbitrary covariables. Specifically, we assume the function class under consideration to be parametrized by the standard cocube in l dimensions and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-10 Johannes Christof Lederer

We consider two Ito equations that evolve on different time scales. The equations are fully coupled in the sense that all coefficients may depend on both the "slow" and the "fast" processes and the diffusion terms may be correlated. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-13 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

First, we present a concise glossary of formulas for composition of standard, cumulant, factorial, and factorial cumulant moments in superposition (compound) models, where final particles are created via independent emission from a…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2017-06-28 Wojciech Broniowski , Adam Olszewski

Consider a sequence $(\eta^N(t) :t\ge 0)$ of continuous-time, irreducible Markov chains evolving on a fixed finite set $E$, indexed by a parameter $N$. Denote by $R_N(\eta,\xi)$ the jump rates of the Markov chain $\eta^N_t$, and assume that…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-22 C. Landim , T. Xu

We will consider multivariate stochastic processes indexed either by vertices or pairs of vertices of a dynamic network. Under a dynamic network we understand a network with a fixed vertex set and an edge set which changes randomly over…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-15 Alexander Kreiss

For discrete-time stochastic processes, there is a close connection between return/waiting times and entropy. Such a connection cannot be straightforwardly extended to the continuous-time setting. Contrarily to the discrete-time case one…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean-Rene Chazottes , Cristian Giardina , Frank Redig

Inferring models, predicting the future, and estimating the entropy rate of discrete-time, discrete-event processes is well-worn ground. However, a much broader class of discrete-event processes operates in continuous-time. Here, we provide…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-11 S. E. Marzen , J. P. Crutchfield

This paper compares two different frameworks recently introduced in the literature for measuring risk in a multi-period setting. The first corresponds to applying a single coherent risk measure to the cumulative future costs, while the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Dan A. Iancu , Marek Petrik , Dharmashankar Subramanian

In this paper we tackle the problem of fast rates in time series forecasting from a statistical learning perspective. In a serie of papers (e.g. Meir 2000, Modha and Masry 1998, Alquier and Wintenberger 2012) it is shown that the main tools…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-22 Pierre Alquier , Olivier Wintenberger

In Pires {\it et al.} [Phys. Rev. E 84, 066210 (2011)] intermittent maps are considered, and the tight relationship between correlation decay of smooth observables and large deviations estimates, as for instance employed in Artuso and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-01-30 Roberto Artuso , Cesar Manchein

We address the problem of estimating the mixing time of a Markov chain from a single trajectory of observations. Unlike most previous works which employed Hilbert space methods to estimate spectral gaps, we opt for an approach based on…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-13 Geoffrey Wolfer

We provide a novel characterization of semiparametric efficiency in a generic supervised learning setting where the outcome mean function -- defined as the conditional expectation of the outcome of interest given the other observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Harrison H. Li

When an experimentalist measures a time series of qubits, the outcomes generate a classical stochastic process. We show that measurement induces high complexity in these processes in two specific senses: they are inherently unpredictable…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-10-14 Ariadna E. Venegas-Li , Alexandra M. Jurgens , James P. Crutchfield

We consider the convergence of empirical processes indexed by functions that depend on an estimated parameter $\eta$ and give several alternative conditions under which the ``estimated parameter'' $\eta_n$ can be replaced by its natural…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-09-12 Aad W. van der Vaart , Jon A. Wellner

This paper provides extensions of the work on subsampling by Bertail et al. (2004) for strongly mixing case to weakly dependent case by application of the results of Doukhan and Louhichi (1999). We investigate properties of smooth and rough…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-07 Paul Doukhan , Silika Prohl , Christian Y. Robert

The WASA-at-COSY experiment has collected $3\times10^{7}$ events with $\eta$-mesons produced via the reaction $pd\rightarrow{^{3}\textrm{He}}\eta$ at $\textrm{T} = 1.0 \textrm{GeV}$. Using this data set, we evaluate the branching ratios of…

We propose deterministic timed automata (DTA) as a model-independent language for specifying performance and dependability measures over continuous-time stochastic processes. Technically, these measures are defined as limit frequencies of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Tomáš Brázdil , Jan Krčál , Jan Křetínský , Antonín Kučera , Vojtěch Řehák

A class of examples is constructed to show that for strictly stationary Markov chains that are reversible, the simultaneous mixing rates for the $\rho$-mixing and strong mixing ($\alpha$-mixing) conditions can be fairly arbitrary, within…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Richard C. Bradley

We obtain the posterior distribution of a random process conditioned on observing the empirical frequencies of a finite sample path. We find under a rather broad assumption on the "dependence structure" of the process, {\em c.f.}…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Wenqing Hu , Hong Qian

In this paper, we give estimates for the speed of convergence towards a limiting stable law in the recently introduced setting of mod-$\phi$ convergence. Namely, we define a notion of zone of control, closely related to mod-$\phi$…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-21 Valentin Féray , Pierre-Loïc Méliot , Ashkan Nikeghbali