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Radial velocity surveys are beginning to reach the time baselines required to detect Jupiter analogs, as well as sub-Saturn mass planets in close orbits. Therefore it is important to understand the sensitivity of these surveys at long…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 Andrew Cumming

Context. Distinguishing between a signal induced by either stellar activity or a planet is currently the main challenge in radial velocity searches for low-mass exoplanets. Even when the presence of a transiting planet and hence its period…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-05-17 A. Mortier , A. Collier Cameron

Period searches in event data have traditionally used the Rayleigh statistic, $R^2$. For X-ray pulsars, the standard has been the $Z^2$ statistic, which sums over more than one harmonic. For $\gamma$-rays, the $H$-test, which optimizes the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-12-05 G. Belanger

We consider the estimation of a common period for a set of functions sampled at irregular intervals. The problem arises in astronomy, where the functions represent a star's brightness observed over time through different photometric…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-15 James P. Long , Eric C. Chi , Richard G. Baraniuk

One of the main features of interest in analysing the light curves of stars is the underlying periodic behaviour. The corresponding observations are a complex type of time series with unequally spaced time points and are sometimes…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-21 Efthymia Derezea , Alfred Kume , Dirk Froebrich

We estimate the probability that random noise, of several plausible standard distributions, creates a false alarm that a periodicity (or log-periodicity) is found in a time series. We investigate general situations with non-Gaussian…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Wei-Xing Zhou , Didier Sornette

The aim of our paper is to investigate the properties of the classical phase-dispersion minimization (PDM), analysis of variance (AOV), string-length (SL), and Lomb-Scargle (LS) power statistics from a statistician's perspective. We confirm…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-03 Naomi Giertych , Ahmed Shaban , Pragya Haravu , Jonathan P Williams

Starspots are cooler and darker than the stellar surface. Therefore, the emitted flux of a star changes when spots are visible on its surface. The presence of spots together with the stellar rotation leads to a periodic modulation on the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-08 A. R. G. Santos , M. S. Cunha , P. P. Avelino , R. A. García , S. Mathur

This paper introduces a novel periodogram-like function, called the expectile periodogram, for modeling spectral features of time series and detecting hidden periodicities. The expectile periodogram is constructed from trigonometric…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Tianbo Chen , Ta-Hsin Li , Hanbing Zhu , Wenwu Gao

We consider the so-called Keplerian periodogram, in which the putative detectable signal is modelled by a highly non-linear Keplerian radial velocity function, appearing in Doppler exoplanetary surveys. We demonstrate that for planets on…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-10-29 Roman V. Baluev

Period estimation is one of the central topics in astronomical time series analysis, where data is often unevenly sampled. Especially challenging are studies of stellar magnetic cycles, as there the periods looked for are of the order of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-07-25 N. Olspert , J. Pelt , M. J. Käpylä , J. Lehtinen

Chirp signals are quite common in many natural and man-made systems like audio signals, sonar, radar etc. Estimation of the unknown parameters of a signal is a fundamental problem in statistical signal processing. Recently, Kundu and Nandi…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-05 Rhythm Grover , Debasis Kundu , Amit Mitra

While the Lomb-Scargle periodogram is foundational to astronomy, it has a significant shortcoming: the variance in the estimated power spectrum does not decrease as more data are acquired. Statisticians have a 60-year history of developing…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-18 Sarah E. Dodson-Robinson , Charlotte Haley

We demonstrate a simple method for testing the significance of peaks in the periodogram of red noise data. The procedure was designed to test for spurious periodicities in X-ray light curves of active galaxies, but can be used quite…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 S. Vaughan

Possible inaccuracies in the determination of periods from short-term time series caused by disregard of the real course of light curves and instrumental trends are documented on the example of the period analysis of simulated TESS-like…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-08 Zdeněk Mikulášek , Marek Skarka

Ongoing, extreme-precision Doppler radial velocity surveys seek planets with masses less than several M$_\oplus$; population-level studies to determine the distribution of planetary masses, however, remain difficult due to the required…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-20 Samuel H. C. Cabot , Gregory Laughlin

Time series analysis is fundamental to characterizing the variability inherent in multi-wavelength emissions from blazars. However, a major observational challenge lies in the need for well-sampled, temporally uniform data, which is often…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2025-10-23 P. Peñil , N. Torres-Albà , A. Rico , S. Buson , M. Ajello , A. Domínguez , S. Adhikari

This paper introduces a semiparametric regression estimator of the memory parameter for long-memory time series process. It is based on the regression in a neighborhood of the zero-frequency of the periodogram averaged over epochs. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-06 Valderio Reisen , Eric Moulines , Philippe Soulier , Glaura Franco

When the noise affecting time series is colored with unknown statistics, a difficulty for sinusoid detection is to control the true significance level of the test outcome. This paper investigates the possibility of using training data sets…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-08 Sophia Sulis , David Mary , Lionel Bigot

The periodogram is a widely used tool to analyze second order stationary time series. An attractive feature of the periodogram is that the expectation of the periodogram is approximately equal to the underlying spectral density of the time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-03 Sourav Das , Suhasini Subba Rao , Junho Yang