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Monte Carlo sampling techniques have broad applications in machine learning, Bayesian posterior inference, and parameter estimation. Often the target distribution takes the form of a product distribution over a dataset with a large number…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-19 Charles Matthews , Jonathan Weare

We propose a framework for computing, optimizing and integrating with respect to a smooth marginal likelihood in statistical models that involve high-dimensional parameters/latent variables and continuous low-dimensional hyperparameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Timothée Stumpf-Fétizon , Jonathan Weare

Partial least squares (PLS) is a simple factorisation method that works well with high dimensional problems in which the number of observations is limited given the number of independent variables. In this article, we show that PLS can…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-10 João B. Assunção , Pedro Afonso Fernandes

Non-linear least squares solvers are used across a broad range of offline and real-time model fitting problems. Most improvements of the basic Gauss-Newton algorithm tackle convergence guarantees or leverage the sparsity of the underlying…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Huu Le , Christopher Zach , Edward Rosten , Oliver J. Woodford

Subspace identification methods (SIMs) have proven very powerful for estimating linear state-space models. To overcome the deficiencies of classical SIMs, a significant number of algorithms has appeared over the last two decades, where most…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-08 Jiabao He , Cristian R. Rojas , Håkan Hjalmarsson

Growing scale of recommender systems require extensive tuning to respond to market dynamics and system changes. We address the challenge of tuning a large-scale ads recommendation platform with multiple continuous parameters influencing key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Kaushal Paneri , Michael Munje , Kailash Singh Maurya , Adith Swaminathan , Yifan Shi

Statisticians often use Monte Carlo methods to approximate probability distributions, primarily with Markov chain Monte Carlo and importance sampling. Sequential Monte Carlo samplers are a class of algorithms that combine both techniques to…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-20 Chenguang Dai , Jeremy Heng , Pierre E. Jacob , Nick Whiteley

High-dimensional data are routinely collected in many areas. We are particularly interested in Bayesian classification models in which one or more variables are imbalanced. Current Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for posterior…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-15 Deborshee Sen , Matthias Sachs , Jianfeng Lu , David Dunson

It has previously been shown that ordinary least squares can be used to estimate the coefficients of the single-index model under only mild conditions. However, the estimator is non-robust leading to poor estimates for some models. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 Marina Masioti , Joshua Davies , Amanda Shaker , Luke A. Prendergast

In this article we develop a new sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method for multilevel (ML) Monte Carlo estimation. In particular, the method can be used to estimate expectations with respect to a target probability distribution over an…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-16 Alexandros Beskos , Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Youssef Marzouk , Yan Zhou

This paper studies the subspace segmentation problem which aims to segment data drawn from a union of multiple linear subspaces. Recent works by using sparse representation, low rank representation and their extensions attract much…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-04-29 Can-Yi Lu , Hai Min , Zhong-Qiu Zhao , Lin Zhu , De-Shuang Huang , Shuicheng Yan

Bagging, a powerful ensemble method from machine learning, improves the performance of unstable predictors. Although the power of Bagging has been shown mostly in classification problems, we demonstrate the success of employing Bagging in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-03 Luoluo Liu , Sang Peter Chin , Trac D. Tran

Penalized least squares methods are commonly used for simultaneous estimation and variable selection in high-dimensional linear models. In this paper we compare several prevailing methods including the lasso, nonnegative garrote, and SCAD…

Computation · Statistics 2014-05-09 Ke Zhang , Fan Yin , Shifeng Xiong

Partial least squares (PLS) regression combines dimensionality reduction and prediction using a latent variable model. Since partial least squares regression (PLS-R) does not require matrix inversion or diagonalization, it can be applied to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-05 Tzu-Yu Liu , Laura Trinchera , Arthur Tenenhaus , Dennis Wei , Alfred O. Hero

We analyze the optimized adaptive importance sampler (OAIS) for performing Monte Carlo integration with general proposals. We leverage a classical result which shows that the bias and the mean-squared error (MSE) of the importance sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2024-01-30 Ömer Deniz Akyildiz

Multiple importance sampling (MIS) methods use a set of proposal distributions from which samples are drawn. Each sample is then assigned an importance weight that can be obtained according to different strategies. This work is motivated by…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-21 Víctor Elvira , Luca Martino , David Luengo , Mónica F. Bugallo

A novel IV estimation method, that we term Locally Trimmed LS (LTLS), is developed which yields estimators with (mixed) Gaussian limit distributions in situations where the data may be weakly or strongly persistent. In particular, we allow…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-24 Zhishui Hu , Ioannis Kasparis , Qiying Wang

We develop generic and efficient importance sampling estimators for Monte Carlo evaluation of prices of single- and multi-asset European and path-dependent options in asset price models driven by L\'evy processes, extending earlier works…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-17 Adrien Genin , Peter Tankov

Importance Sampling methods are broadly used to approximate posterior distributions or some of their moments. In its standard approach, samples are drawn from a single proposal distribution and weighted properly. However, since the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-05 Víctor Elvira , Luca Martino , David Luengo , Mónica F. Bugallo

We investigate the use of a stratified sampling approach for LIME Image, a popular model-agnostic explainable AI method for computer vision tasks, in order to reduce the artifacts generated by typical Monte Carlo sampling. Such artifacts…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-27 Muhammad Rashid , Elvio G. Amparore , Enrico Ferrari , Damiano Verda