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Speeding up Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) for datasets with many observations by data subsampling has recently received considerable attention. A pseudo-marginal MCMC method is proposed that estimates the likelihood by data subsampling…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-08 Matias Quiroz , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn , Khue-Dung Dang

Expectation Maximization (EM) is among the most popular algorithms for estimating parameters of statistical models. However, EM, which is an iterative algorithm based on the maximum likelihood principle, is generally only guaranteed to find…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-30 Ji Xu , Daniel Hsu , Arian Maleki

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are employed to sample from a given distribution of interest, whenever either the distribution does not exist in closed form, or, if it does, no efficient method to simulate an independent sample from…

Computation · Statistics 2008-07-22 Ioana A. Cosma , Masoud Asgharian

In the matter of selection of sample time points for the estimation of the power spectral density of a continuous time stationary stochastic process, irregular sampling schemes such as Poisson sampling are often preferred over regular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-19 Radhendushka Srivastava , Debasis Sengupta

We rely on Monte Carlo (MC) simulations to interpret searches for new physics at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) and elsewhere. These simulations result in noisy and approximate estimators of selection efficiencies and likelihoods. In this…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-04-22 Christopher Chang , Benjamin Farmer , Andrew Fowlie , Anders Kvellestad

We report multipronged progress on the stochastic averaging approach to numerical analytic continuation of quantum Monte Carlo data. With the sampled spectrum parametrized with delta-functions in continuous frequency space, a calculation of…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2023-01-11 Hui Shao , Anders W. Sandvik

Statistical inference methods are fundamentally important in machine learning. Most state-of-the-art inference algorithms are variants of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or variational inference (VI). However, both methods struggle with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-17 Yichuan Zhang , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

This paper considers an entropy-power inequality (EPI) of Costa and presents a natural vector generalization with a real positive semidefinite matrix parameter. This new inequality is proved using a perturbation approach via a fundamental…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-03-18 Ruoheng Liu , Tie Liu , H. Vincent Poor , Shlomo Shamai

We develop a theory of weak Poincar\'e inequalities to characterize convergence rates of ergodic Markov chains. Motivated by the application of Markov chains in the context of algorithms, we develop a relevant set of tools which enable the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-11 Christophe Andrieu , Anthony Lee , Sam Power , Andi Q. Wang

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods such as Gibbs sampling are finding widespread use in applied statistics and machine learning. These often lead to difficult computational problems, which are increasingly being solved on parallel and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-05 Alexander Terenin , Eric P. Xing

This paper studies the mixing time of certain adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms. Under some regularity conditions, we show that the convergence rate of Importance Resampling MCMC (IRMCMC) algorithm, measured in terms of the total…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-29 Yves Atchadé , Yizao Wang

We present an exact Monte Carlo algorithm designed to sample theories where the energy is a sum of many couplings of decreasing strength. The algorithm avoids the computation of almost all non-leading terms. Its use is illustrated by…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2009-10-31 T. Bakeyev , Ph. de Forcrand

Inference after model selection presents computational challenges when dealing with intractable conditional distributions. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a common method for sampling from these distributions, but its slow convergence…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-22 Sifan Liu

Estimation of covariance matrices or their inverses plays a central role in many statistical methods. For these methods to work reliably, estimated matrices must not only be invertible but also well-conditioned. In this paper we present an…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-06 Eric C. Chi , Kenneth Lange

The cross entropy (CE) method is a model based search method to solve optimization problems where the objective function has minimal structure. The Monte-Carlo version of the CE method employs the naive sample averaging technique which is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-02-01 Ajin George Joseph , Shalabh Bhatnagar

The Expected Value of Sample Information (EVSI) is used to calculate the economic value of a new research strategy. While this value would be important to both researchers and funders, there are very few practical applications of the EVSI.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-08 Anna Heath , Ioanna Manolopoulou , Gianluca Baio

In this paper we obtain the limit distribution for partial sums with a random number of terms following a class of mixed Poisson distributions. The resulting weak limit is a mixing between a normal distribution and an exponential family,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-08 Wagner Barreto-Souza , Gabriela Oliveira , Roger W. C. Silva

A constructive numerical approximation of the two-dimensional unsteady stochastic Navier-Stokes equations of an incompressible fluid is proposed via a pseudo-compressibility technique involving a parameter $\epsilon$. Space and time are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-02 Jad Doghman

Monte Carlo methods -- such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) samplers -- provide asymptotically exact estimators of expectations under a target distribution. There is growing interest in…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-09 Adrien Corenflos , Matthew Sutton , Nicolas Chopin

Deriving Bayesian inference for exponential random graph models (ERGMs) is a challenging "doubly intractable" problem as the normalizing constants of the likelihood and posterior density are both intractable. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-26 Linda S. L. Tan , Nial Friel
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