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Quantum gravity has long remained elusive from an observational standpoint. Developing effective cosmological models motivated by the fundamental aspects of quantum gravity is crucial for bridging theory with observations. One key aspect is…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-06-02 Emma Albertini , Arad Nasiri , Emanuele Panella

We consider Bayesian inverse problems arising in data assimilation for dynamical systems governed by partial and stochastic partial differential equations. The space-time dependent field is inferred jointly with static parameters of the…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-20 Baptiste Simandoux , Nikolas Kantas , Dan Crisan

We demonstrate two examples of stochastic processes whose lifts to geometric rough paths require a renormalisation procedure to obtain convergence in rough path topologies. Our first example involves a physical Brownian motion subject to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-14 Yvain Bruned , Ilya Chevyrev , Peter K. Friz

Bayesian optimisation (BO) is a powerful framework for global optimisation of costly functions, using predictions from Gaussian process models (GPs). In this work, we apply BO to functions that exhibit invariance to a known group of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Theodore Brown , Alexandru Cioba , Ilija Bogunovic

This survey explores the foundational theory and recent developments in the study of hyperuniformity. We present a comprehensive mathematical framework in the context of weakly stationary random measures, emphasizing spectral…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Raphaël Lachièze-Rey

We consider finite dimensional rough differential equations driven by centered Gaussian processes. Combining Malliavin calculus, rough paths techniques and interpolation inequalities, we establish upper bounds on the density of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-18 Benjamin Gess , Cheng Ouyang , Samy Tindel

This paper develops a methodology for robust Bayesian inference through the use of disparities. Metrics such as Hellinger distance and negative exponential disparity have a long history in robust estimation in frequentist inference. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-28 Giles Hooker , Anand Vidyashankar

We find exact small deviation asymptotics with respect to weighted Hilbert norm for some well-known Gaussian processes. Our approach does not require the knowledge of eigenfunctions of the covariance operator of a weighted process. Such a…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-15 Ya. yu. Nikitin , R. S. Pusev

We define compositions $\varphi(X)$ of H\"older paths $X$ in $\mathbb{R}^n$ and functions of bounded variation $\varphi$ under a relative condition involving the path and the gradient measure of $\varphi$. We show the existence and…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Michael Hinz , Jonas M. Tölle , Lauri Viitasaari

We describe two efficient methods of estimating the fluid permeability of standard models of porous media by using the statistics of continuous Brownian motion paths that initiate outside a sample and terminate on contacting the porous…

Materials Science · Physics 2009-10-31 Chi-Ok Hwang , James A. Given , Michael Mascagni

The expected signature uniquely determines the law of a random rough path under a moment-growth condition, yet finite-sample bounds for estimating it from a single long dependent trajectory have been lacking. We study a stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Bryson Schenck

This article is concerned with stochastic differential equations driven by a $d$ dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/4$, understood in the rough paths sense. Whenever the coefficients of the equation satisfy a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Xi Geng , Cheng Ouyang , Samy Tindel

We introduce a new Gaussian process, a generalization of both fractional and subfractional Brownian motions, which could serve as a good model for a larger class of natural phenomena. We study its main stochastic properties and some…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Mounir Zili

We show that for $\gamma<\sqrt{4/3}$, it is possible to define the Levy area of a planar Brownian motion with the Liouville measure of intermittency parameter $\gamma$ as the underlying area measure. We also consider the case of smoother…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-05 Isao Sauzedde

Motivated by a problematic coming from mathematical finance, this paper is devoted to existing and additional results of continuity and differentiability of the It\^o map associated to rough differential equations. These regularity results…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-16 Nicolas Marie

We consider a system of multiscale stochastic differential equations whose slow component is drivenby a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H greater than 1/2. Under ergodic assumptions ensuring the applicability of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-10 Xue-Mei Li , Colin Piernot , Szymon Sobczak , Kexing Ying

We consider invariant transports of stationary random measures on $\mathbb{R}^d$ and establish natural mixing criteria that guarantee persistence of asymptotic variances. To check our mixing assumptions, which are based on two-point Palm…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Michael A. Klatt , Günter Last , Luca Lotz , D. Yogeshwaran

We consider a stationary queueing process $Q_X$ fed by a centered Gaussian process $X$ with stationary increments and variance function satisfying classical regularity conditions. A criterion when, for a given function $f$, $\mathbb P…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Kamil Marcin Kosiński , Peng Liu

This paper first strictly proved that the growth of the second moment of a large class of Gaussian processes is not greater than power function and the covariance matrix is strictly positive definite. Under these two conditions, the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-21 Shifei Luo

In this paper we introduce a topology under which the pair empirical measure of a large class of random walks satisfies a strong Large Deviation principle. The definition of the topology is inspired by the recent article by Mukherjee and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Dirk Erhard , Julien Poisat