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In this article we show that the empirical measure of certain continuous time random walks satisfies a strong large deviation principle with respect to a topology introduced in~\cite{MV2016} by Mukherjee and Varadhan. This topology is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Dirk Erhard , Tertuliano Franco , Joedson de Jesus Santana

In this work, we present a detailed analysis on the exact expression of the $L^2$-norm of the symmetric-Stratonovich stochastic integral driven by a multi-dimensional fractional Brownian motion $B$ with parameter $\frac{1}{4} < H <…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Alberto Ohashi , Francesco Russo , Frederi Viens

We develop a theory of optimal transport for stationary random measures with a focus on stationary point processes and construct a family of distances on the set of stationary random measures. These induce a natural notion of interpolation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-02 Matthias Erbar , Martin Huesmann , Jonas Jalowy , Bastian Müller

Uniform large deviation principles for positive functionals of all equivalent types of infinite dimensional Brownian motions acting together with a Poisson random measure are established. The core of our approach is a variational…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Vasileios Maroulas

Donsker's invariance principle is shown to hold for random walks in rough path topology. As application, we obtain Donsker-type weak limit theorems for stochastic integrals and differential equations.

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-16 Emmanuel Breuillard , Peter Friz , Martin Huesmann

Extensive time-series encoding the position of particles such as viruses, vesicles, or individual proteins are routinely garnered in single-particle tracking experiments or supercomputing studies. They contain vital clues on how viruses…

We study the strong approximation of a rough volatility model, in which the log-volatility is given by a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with Hurst parameter $H<1/2$. Our methods are based on an equidistant discretization of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Andreas Neuenkirch , Taras Shalaiko

Many results in the theory of Gaussian processes rely on the eigenstructure of the covariance operator. However, eigenproblems are notoriously hard to solve explicitly and closed form solutions are known only in a limited number of cases.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Pavel Chigansky , Marina Kleptsyna

The Sobolev regularity of invariant measures for diffusion processes is proved on non-smooth metric measure spaces with synthetic lower Ricci curvature bounds. As an application, the symmetrizability of semigroups is characterized, and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-24 Kohei Suzuki

Fractional Brownian motion is a Gaussian process x(t) with zero mean and two-time correlations <x(t)x(s)> ~ t^{2H} + s^{2H} - |t-s|^{2H}, where H, with 0<H<1 is called the Hurst exponent. For H = 1/2, x(t) is a Brownian motion, while for H…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 Kay Jörg Wiese , Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso

These are lecture notes from a course given at the CRM in Montreal in 1992. They survey the author's attempts to find and understand canonical probabilistic entities in a local field (e.g. p-adic) setting. We propose answers to the related…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Steven N. Evans

This paper establishes a comprehensive concentration theory for truncated signatures of Gaussian rough paths. The signature of a path, defined as the collection of all iterated integrals, provides a complete description of its geometric…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Atef Lechiheb

We study the persistent homology of the offset filtration generated by the range of a planar Brownian motion with constant nonzero drift. The members of this filtration are the Wiener sausages of increasing radius, and the degree-one…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Tristan Guillaume

Basing on main principles of statistical mechanics only, an exact virial expansion for path probability distribution of molecular Brownian particle in a fluid is derived which connects response of the distribution to perturbations of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-02-05 Yuriy E. Kuzovlev

We discuss stochastic calculus for large classes of Gaussian processes, based on rough path analysis. Our key condition is a covariance measure structure combined with a classical criterion due to Jain and Monrad [Ann. Probab. 11 (1983)…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-11 Peter K. Friz , Benjamin Gess , Archil Gulisashvili , Sebastian Riedel

We develop a GMM approach for estimation of log-normal stochastic volatility models driven by a fractional Brownian motion with unrestricted Hurst exponent. We show that a parameter estimator based on the integrated variance is consistent…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-16 Anine E. Bolko , Kim Christensen , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Bezirgen Veliyev

We introduce a bootstrap procedure for high-frequency statistics of Brownian semistationary processes. More specifically, we focus on a hypothesis test on the roughness of sample paths of Brownian semistationary processes, which uses an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Ulrich Hounyo , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

Various approaches to stochastic processes exist, noting that key properties such as measurability and continuity are not trivially satisfied. We introduce a new theory for Gaussian processes using improper linear functionals. Using a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-15 Niels Lundtorp Olsen

In this paper, we construct consistent statistical estimators of the Hurst index, volatility coefficient, and drift parameter for Bessel processes driven by fractional Brownian motion with $H<1/2$. As an auxiliary result, we also prove the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-25 Yuliya Mishura , Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko

For a given normalized Gaussian symmetric matrix-valued process $Y^{(n)}$, we consider the process of its eigenvalues $\{(\lambda_{1}^{(n)}(t),\dots, \lambda_{n}^{(n)}(t)); t\ge 0\}$ as well as its corresponding process of empirical…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Arturo Jaramillo , Juan Carlos Pardo , José Luis Pérez
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