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Portfolio balancing requires estimates of covariance between asset returns. Returns data have histories which greatly vary in length, since assets begin public trading at different times. This can lead to a huge amount of missing data--too…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-02-27 Robert B. Gramacy , Ester Pantaleo

We consider the problem of optimizing a portfolio of financial assets, where the number of assets can be much larger than the number of observations. The optimal portfolio weights require estimating the inverse covariance matrix of excess…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-29 Anik Burman , Sayantan Banerjee

We study the design of portfolios under a minimum risk criterion. The performance of the optimized portfolio relies on the accuracy of the estimated covariance matrix of the portfolio asset returns. For large portfolios, the number of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-20 Liusha Yang , Romain Couillet , Matthew R. McKay

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for causal inference, and justify simple comparisons across treatment groups. Regression adjustment provides a convenient way to incorporate covariate information for additional efficiency. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Anqi Zhao , Peng Ding

In statistics, series of ordinary least squares problems (OLS) are used to study the linear correlation among sets of variables of interest; in many studies, the number of such variables is at least in the millions, and the corresponding…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-04-30 Alvaro Frank , Diego Fabregat-Traver , Paolo Bientinesi

Portfolio optimization requires sophisticated covariance estimators that are able to filter out estimation noise. Non-linear shrinkage is a popular estimator based on how the Oracle eigenvalues can be computed using only data from the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-14 Christian Bongiorno , Damien Challet

This paper investigates the large sample properties of the variance, weights, and risk of high-dimensional portfolios where the inverse of the covariance matrix of excess asset returns is estimated using a technique called nodewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-16 Laurent Callot , Mehmet Caner , Esra Ulasan , A. Özlem Önder

This paper investigates an important problem of an appropriate variance-covariance matrix estimation in the Modern Portfolio Theory. We propose a novel framework for variancecovariance matrix estimation for purposes of the portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-22 Maciej Wysocki , Paweł Sakowski

This paper presents how the most recent improvements made on covariance matrix estimation and model order selection can be applied to the portfolio optimisation problem. The particular case of the Maximum Variety Portfolio is treated but…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-03 Emmanuelle Jay , Eugénie Terreaux , Jean-Philippe Ovarlez , Frédéric Pascal

In portfolio risk minimization, the inverse covariance matrix of returns is often unknown and has to be estimated in practice. This inverse covariance matrix also prescribes the hedge trades in which a stock is hedged by all the other…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-15 Lim Hao Shen Keith

In portfolio analysis, the traditional approach of replacing population moments with sample counterparts may lead to suboptimal portfolio choices. I show that optimal portfolio weights can be estimated using a machine learning (ML)…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-31 Daniel Kinn

We introduce a novel covariance estimator for portfolio selection that adapts to the non-stationary or persistent heteroskedastic environments of financial time series by employing exponentially weighted averages and nonlinearly shrinking…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-23 Vincent Tan , Stefan Zohren

Model averaging methods have become an increasingly popular tool for improving predictions and dealing with model uncertainty, especially in Bayesian settings. Recently, frequentist model averaging methods such as information theoretic and…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-18 Kevin Huynh

We propose a model to forecast large realized covariance matrices of returns, applying it to the constituents of the S\&P 500 daily. To address the curse of dimensionality, we decompose the return covariance matrix using standard firm-level…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-29 Rafael Alves , Diego S. de Brito , Marcelo C. Medeiros , Ruy M. Ribeiro

According to recent findings [1,2], empirical covariance matrices deduced from financial return series contain such a high amount of noise that, apart from a few large eigenvalues and the corresponding eigenvectors, their structure can…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Szilard Pafka , Imre Kondor

Least squares linear regression is one of the oldest and widely used data analysis tools. Although the theoretical analysis of the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator is as old, several fundamental questions are yet to be answered.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-16 Arun K. Kuchibhotla , Lawrence D. Brown , Andreas Buja , Junhui Cai

Minimum-variance portfolio optimizations rely on accurate covariance estimator to obtain optimal portfolios. However, it usually suffers from large error from sample covariance matrix when the sample size $n$ is not significantly larger…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-04 JunTao Duan , Ionel Popescu

High-dimensional compositional data are commonplace in the modern omics sciences amongst others. Analysis of compositional data requires a proper choice of orthonormal coordinate representation as their relative nature is not compatible…

Large-dimensional factor model has drawn much attention in the big-data era, in order to reduce the dimensionality and extract underlying features using a few latent common factors. Conventional methods for estimating the factor model…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-02 Yong He , Xinbing Kong , Long Yu , Xinsheng Zhang

We address covariance estimation in the sense of minimum mean-squared error (MMSE) for Gaussian samples. Specifically, we consider shrinkage methods which are suitable for high dimensional problems with a small number of samples (large p…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-13 Yilun Chen , Ami Wiesel , Yonina C. Eldar , Alfred O. Hero
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