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We study the evolution of the population size distribution of a critical Galton-Watson process with infinite variance of the offspring size of particles assuming that the population size is unusually small at the distant moment $n$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

Let $K(=K_{n,\theta})$ be a positive integer-valued random variable whose distribution is given by ${\rm P}(K = x) = \bar{s}(n,x) \theta^x/(\theta)_n$ $(x=1,\ldots,n) $, where $\theta$ is a positive number, $n$ is a positive integer,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Koji Tsukuda

Let $X^{(\delta)}$ be a Wishart process of dimension $\delta$, with values in the set of positive matrices of size $m$. We are interested in the large deviations for a family of matrix-valued processes $\{\delta^{-1} X_t^{(\delta)}, t \leq…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Catherine Donati-Martin

We study the length of cycles of random permutations drawn from the Mallows distribution. Under this distribution, the probability of a permutation $\pi \in \mathbb{S}_n$ is proportional to $q^{\textrm{inv}(\pi)}$ where $0<q\le 1$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-12 Alexey Gladkich , Ron Peled

We consider two Ito equations that evolve on different time scales. The equations are fully coupled in the sense that all coefficients may depend on both the "slow" and the "fast" processes and the diffusion terms may be correlated. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-13 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

Power-law distributions are typical macroscopic features occurring in almost all complex systems observable in nature. As a result, researchers in quantitative analyses must often generate random synthetic variates obeying power-law…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-11 Filippo Radicchi

We present a novel reshuffling exchange model and investigate its long time behavior. In this model, two individuals are picked randomly, and their wealth $X_i$ and $X_j$ are redistributed by flipping a sequence of fair coins leading to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Fei Cao , Nicholas F. Marshall

We study point processes that consist of certain centers of point tuples of an underlying Poisson process. Such processes arise in stochastic geometry in the study of exceedances of various functionals describing geometric properties of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-26 Moritz Otto

We study a universal object for the genealogy of a sample in populations with mutations: the critical birth-death process with Poissonian mutations, conditioned on its population size at a fixed time horizon. We show how this process arises…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-30 G. Achaz , C. Delaporte , A. Lambert

The recently introduced two-parameter infinitely-many neutral alleles model extends the celebrated one-parameter version, related to Kingman's distribution, to diffusive two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet frequencies. Here we investigate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-02 Matteo Ruggiero

We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Aryeh Kontorovich , Amichai Painsky

This work is devoted to the study of scaling limits in small mutations and large time of the solutions u^$\epsilon$ of two deterministic models of phenotypic adaptation, where the parameter $\epsilon$ > 0 scales the size of mutations. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-30 Nicolas Champagnat , Benoît Henry

We calculate analytically the probability of large deviations from its mean of the largest (smallest) eigenvalue of random matrices belonging to the Gaussian orthogonal, unitary and symplectic ensembles. In particular, we show that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 David S. Dean , Satya N. Majumdar

A properly scaled critical Galton-Watson process converges to a continuous state critical branching process $\xi(\cdot)$ as the number of initial individuals tends to infinity. We extend this classical result by allowing for overlapping…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Serik Sagitov

This paper deals with the large deviations behavior of a stochastic process called thinned Levy process. This process appeared recently as a stochastic-process limit in the context of critical inhomogeneous random graphs. The process has a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-08 Elie Aidekon , Remco van der Hofstad , Sandra Kliem , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden

For beta ensembles with convex poynomial potentials, we prove a large deviation principle for the empirical spectral distribution seen from the rightmost particle. This modified spectral distribution was introduced by Perret and Schehr (J.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-02 Catherine Donati-Martin , Alain Rouault

We prove a Large Deviations Principle (LDP) for systems of diffusions (particles) interacting through their ranks, when the number of particles tends to infinity. We show that the limiting particle density is given by the unique solution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-05 Amir Dembo , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov , S. R. Srinivasa Varadhan , Ofer Zeitouni

Standard regression approaches assume that some finite number of the response distribution characteristics, such as location and scale, change as a (parametric or nonparametric) function of predictors. However, it is not always appropriate…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 Fernand A. Quintana , Peter Mueller , Alejandro Jara , Steven N. MacEachern

We use the Stein-Chen method to prove new explicit inequalities for the total variation, Wasserstein and local distances between the distribution of a random diagonal sum of a Bernoulli matrix and a Poisson distribution. Approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Bero Roos

Consider the family of power divergence statistics based on $n$ trials, each leading to one of $r$ possible outcomes. This includes the log-likelihood ratio and Pearson's statistic as important special cases. It is known that in certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Fraser Daly