Related papers: Another Look at AR(1)
These lecture notes consist of three chapters. In the first chapter we present oracle inequalities for the prediction error of the Lasso and square-root Lasso and briefly describe the scaled Lasso. In the second chapter we establish…
Let $\{X_k\}_{k \in \mathbb{Z}}$ be a stationary Gaussian process with values in a separable Hilbert space $\mathcal{H}_1$, and let $G:\mathcal{H}_1 \to \mathcal{H}_2$ be an operator acting on $X_k$. Under suitable conditions on the…
The main result of this paper is a general central limit theorem for distributions defined by certain renewal type equations. We apply this to weakly self-avoiding random walks. We give good error estimates and Gaussian tail estimates which…
In this paper some general theory is presented for locally stationary processes based on the stationary approximation and the stationary derivative. Laws of large numbers, central limit theorems as well as deterministic and stochastic bias…
Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent copies of a random process $\{X(t), t\ge0\}$. For a given positive constant $u$, define the set of $r$th conjunctions $C_r(u):=\{t\in[0,1]: X_{r:n}(t)>u\}$ with $ X_{r:n}$ the $r$th largest…
We exploit analogies between first-order algorithms for constrained optimization and non-smooth dynamical systems to design a new class of accelerated first-order algorithms for constrained optimization. Unlike Frank-Wolfe or projected…
The paper studies an improved estimate for the rate of convergence for nonlinear homogeneous discrete-time Markov chains. These processes are nonlinear in terms of the distribution law. Hence, the transition kernels are dependent on the…
The structure of stationary first order max-autoregressive schemes with max-semi-stable marginals is studied. A connection between semi-selfsimilar extremal processes and this max-autoregressive scheme is discussed resulting in their…
Let $Q$ be a transition probability on a measurable space $E$ which admits an invariant probability measure, let $(X_n)_n$ be a Markov chain associated to $Q$, and let $\xi$ be a real-valued measurable function on $E$, and $S_n=\sum…
We study learning algorithms when there is a mismatch between the distributions of the training and test datasets of a learning algorithm. The effect of this mismatch on the generalization error and model misspecification are quantified.…
The forecasting problem for a stationary and ergodic binary time series $\{X_n\}_{n=0}^{\infty}$ is to estimate the probability that $X_{n+1}=1$ based on the observations $X_i$, $0\le i\le n$ without prior knowledge of the distribution of…
During the last two decades, locally stationary processes have been widely studied in the time series literature. In this paper we consider the locally-stationary vector-auto-regression model of order one, or LS-VAR(1), and estimate its…
We present a central limit theorem for stationary random fields that are short-range dependent and asymptotically independent. As an application, we present a central limit theorem for an infinite family of interacting It\^o-type diffusion…
A law of large numbers and a central limit theorem are derived for linear statistics of random symmetric matrices whose on-or-above diagonal entries are independent, but neither necessarily identically distributed, nor necessarily all of…
Let $H$ be a real separable Hilbert space and $(a_k)_{k\in\mathbb{Z}}$ a sequence of bounded linear operators from $H$ to $H$. We consider the linear process $X$ defined for any $k$ in $\mathbb{Z}$ by…
Linear processes are defined as a discrete-time convolution between a kernel and an infinite sequence of i.i.d. random variables. We modify this convolution by introducing decimation, that is, by stretching time accordingly. We then…
By well known results of probability theory, any sequence of random variables with bounded second moments has a subsequence satisfying the central limit theorem and the law of the iterated logarithm in a randomized form. In this paper we…
The calculation of partial decay rates in B --> X_u l nu decays at next-to-next-to-leading order (NNLO) in alpha_s and to leading order in 1/m_b is described. New results for the hard function are combined with known results for the jet…
We deal with a sequence of integer-valued random variables $\{Z_N\}_{N=1}^{\infty}$ which is related to restricted partitions of positive integers. We observe that $Z_N=X_1+ \ldots + X_N$ for independent and bounded random variables…
Suppose $X = (X_x, x$ in $Z^d)$ is a family of i.i.d. variables in some measurable space, $B_0$ is a bounded set in $R^d$, and for $t > 1$, $H_t$ is a measure on $tB_0$ determined by the restriction of $X$ to lattice sites in or adjacent to…