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We present an optimization process to estimate parameters in systems of ordinary differential equations from chaotic time series. The optimization technique is based on a variational approach, and numerical studies on noisy time series…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-07-31 Jose-Maria Fullana

Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) are central to science and engineering. Since solving them is computationally expensive, a lot of effort has been put into approximating their solution operator via both traditional and recently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Alessandro Longhi , Danny Lathouwers , Zoltán Perkó

In system identification, estimating parameters of a model using limited observations results in poor identifiability. To cope with this issue, we propose a new method to simultaneously select and estimate sensitive parameters as key model…

We propose a novel method for fast and scalable evaluation of periodic solutions of systems of ordinary differential equations for a given set of parameter values and initial conditions. The equations governing the system dynamics are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-05-30 I. Yu. Tyukin , A. N. Gorban , T. A. Tyukina , J. Al Ameri , Yu. A. Korablev

In this paper, we study the estimation for a partial-linear single-index model. A two-stage estimation procedure is proposed to estimate the link function for the single index and the parameters in the single index, as well as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-05-14 Jane-Ling Wang , Liugen Xue , Lixing Zhu , Yun Sam Chong

In this article, we introduce a novel parallel-in-time solver for nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs). We state the numerical solution of an ODE as a root-finding problem that we solve using Newton's method. The affine…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Casian Iacob , Hassan Razavi , Simo Särkkä

In this paper we describe simode: Separable Integral Matching for Ordinary Differential Equations. The statistical methodologies applied in the package focus on several minimization procedures of an integral-matching criterion function,…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-09 Rami Yaari , Itai Dattner

This work aims at making a comprehensive contribution in the general area of parametric inference for discretely observed diffusion processes. Established approaches for likelihood-based estimation invoke a time-discretisation scheme for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos , Matthew M. Graham

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs) have proven to be a powerful modeling tool for approximating (interpolation) and forecasting (extrapolation) irregularly sampled time series data. However, their performance degrades…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-29 Hammad A. Ayyubi , Yi Yao , Ajay Divakaran

Variance estimation is important for statistical inference. It becomes non-trivial when observations are masked by serial dependence structures and time-varying mean structures. Existing methods either ignore or sub-optimally handle these…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-03 Kin Wai Chan

We consider state-dependent delay equations (SDDE) obtained by adding delays to a planar ordinary differential equation with a limit cycle. These situations appear in models of several physical processes, where small delay effects are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-13 Jiaqi Yang , Joan Gimeno , Rafael de la Llave

The promising increase of Electric Vehicles (EVs) in our society poses a challenging problem on the impact assessment of their charging/discharging to power distribution grids. This paper addresses the assessment problem in a framework of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-04 Haruki Tadano , Yoshihiko Susuki , Atsushi Ishigame

Hazard functions play a central role in survival analysis, providing insight into the underlying risk dynamics of time-to-event data, with broad applications in medicine, epidemiology, and related fields. First-order ordinary differential…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-02 Dananjani Liyanage , Mahmudul Bari Hridoy , Fahad Mostafa

Neuroscientists fit morphologically and biophysically detailed neuron simulations to physiological data, often using evolutionary algorithms. However, such gradient-free approaches are computationally expensive, making convergence slow when…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-23 Ilenna Simone Jones , Konrad Paul Kording

Differential Equation (DE) is a commonly used modeling method in various scientific subjects such as finance and biology. The parameters in DE models often have interesting scientific interpretations, but their values are often unknown and…

Computation · Statistics 2020-11-24 Ying Zhou , Hongqiao Wang

Mechanistic dynamic models of biochemical networks such as Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) contain unknown parameters like the reaction rate constants and the initial concentrations of the compounds. The large number of parameters as…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-08-14 Clemens Kreutz , Andreas Raue , Jens Timmer

Many physical systems are governed by ordinary or partial differential equations (see, for example, Chapter ''Differential equations'', ''System of Differential Equations''). Typically the solution of such systems are functions of time or…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Clarissa Astuto , Giovanni Russo

In this work, we present a method of generating a class of nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs), representing the dynamics of appropriate nonlinear oscillators, that have the characteristics of either amplitude independent…

Exactly Solvable and Integrable Systems · Physics 2022-04-12 J. Ramya Parkavi , R. Mohanasubha , V. K. Chandrasekar , M. Senthilvelan , M. Lakshmanan

The understanding and modeling of complex physical phenomena through dynamical systems has historically driven scientific progress, as it provides the tools for predicting the behavior of different systems under diverse conditions through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Karin L. Yu , Eleni Chatzi , Georgios Kissas

Partial differential equation (PDE) models are widely used in engineering and natural sciences to describe spatio-temporal processes. The parameters of the considered processes are often unknown and have to be estimated from experimental…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-12-21 Romana Boiger , Jan Hasenauer , Sabrina Hross , Barbara Kaltenbacher